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re: EXXI - hitting new lows everyday

Posted on 1/22/16 at 11:45 am to
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 11:45 am to
I went back and looked at how the stock moved during the BP disaster as well as how it recovered after 2008. Almost seems like a great rolling stock at times. If they have the same leadership in place maybe they can pull it off.

I'm prepared to lose the money if that's what's in store. But I'll be entertained either way.
Posted by NOLAGT
Over there
Member since Dec 2012
13529 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:26 pm to
Closed at .82...like over 100% since midweek
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80770 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:26 pm to
Must be nice to call $15,000 "not a lot of money"
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:36 pm to
I guess I meant not a lot compared to how some of y'all on here roll.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97632 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I went back and looked at how the stock moved during the BP disaster as well as how it recovered after 2008. Almost seems like a great rolling stock at times. If they have the same leadership in place maybe they can pull it off.



They didn't have the debt they do now back then
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:38 pm to
.829


+1,663.08 gonna let it go for the long run (unless I turn chicken which I probably will )
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

They didn't have the debt they do now back then



Where can I research this? Fidelity shows only 11mm debt as of 6/2015 but that was the latest financial data they have

Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97632 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 4:10 pm to
you are just looking at current maturities

LINK

pg 94
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2472 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 4:55 pm to
Don't forget, crude prices were crushed in late 2008, early 2009 but bounced back relatively fast.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 4:56 pm to
So if I read that right it had over 150mm in debt as of 6/2015, I'll be honest that document was 95% Greek to me and I feel bad for the poor souls that have to prepare those 300 pages.


I don't know how that debt compares to other similar companies. If I come out way ahead on this purchase it will be no different than a blind squirrel finding a nut though
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2472 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 5:06 pm to
Read the investor presentation they link on their home page - $3.6 billion in debt

Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97632 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 5:10 pm to
I'd maybe pass on investing anymore if you can't read a financial stmt
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 5:14 pm to
So they are 6 months away from having to either restructure or payback 720.6mm


I should have a quick exit strategy
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 5:16 pm to
Yeah it's the equivalent of a female picking football teams based off of the colors of their uniforms


But I did make over $1,500 today, I may let it ride tomorrow
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2472 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 6:04 pm to
I would take that $1500 and walk away, you're making out like a bandit with this turd stock. Unless you want to spin the roulette wheel again.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 7:14 pm to
I have all weekend to think about it but I'm pretty sure I'm going to let it ride to see if it will keep climbing. The potential payday if it keeps going up even if it's only to 2 or 3 dollars is worth the risk.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97632 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 7:37 pm to
The flip side of that is it going to zero which could happen
Posted by Tshiz
Idaho
Member since Jul 2013
7563 posts
Posted on 1/22/16 at 10:51 pm to
Just bought 3000 shares. In it for the long haul. Let's do this.
Posted by warau
Member since Nov 2010
2576 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 9:12 am to
Anyone who buys this stock should be prepared to lose whatever they put in it. They buried themselves when they bought EPL and massively overpaid. Company leadership was EXTREMELY slow to react when the downturn started.
They have increased production in certain fields but most of the stuff they have is old and those work overs only help for so long. Bankruptcy in the next year or so IMO
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55285 posts
Posted on 1/23/16 at 9:48 am to
Of course I'm prepared to lose it, but I'm also prepared to double my money if it goes to 1.50 or triple my money if it climbs to 2.25
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