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Message
re: 5 Reasons Renting Still Beats Buying
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:17 pm to Cash
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:17 pm to Cash
good advice.... I just wish I could know in advance if the government is going to extend the 8,000 tax credit to 2010. I hate to just throw away 8 grand in free money like that... I know i know you gotta think about the 150 grand + interest you assume to get the 8 grand free....
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:23 pm to GeneralLee
You never have to pay the 8K back?
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:25 pm to Tiger JJ
correct, 2009 only. My thought is that the economy will still be in dire straits a year from now and so maybe they will extend that to 2010. Hell they're wasting trillions now in DC, what's another 5-10 billion in 2010??
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:35 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
You are incorrect for a very specific reason: you have to make a mortgage payment every month. That's not included in your example. And if you are claiming that it IS included, then your example is just really stupid.
Ok, tell me if you understand this.
BUY:
160k home. mortgage + all escrow + rolled closing costs = 1050 a mo.
at five years, you have a 65k cost of buying.
at a quick glance of an amortization schedule, you now still owe 140k on the loan.
RENT:
1400/mo
80,000 cost
assuming no renters insurance)
ANSWER:
you've spent 15k more on rent than you have by paying your mortgage and escrow. You have also potentially built some equity in the home. You now owe 140k, theoreticly, you make 20k.
So in order for the renting to be considered a better deal, you would have to realize a $35k loss on the home (22% loss)
If you think the chances of a <22% loss over five years are good, then rent. If you think the chances of a <22% or greater loss is poor, then buy.
WTF am I not getting?
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:52 pm to TortiousTiger
quote:
WTF am I not getting?
You have not done any maintenance on your home in those 5 years, a possibility that is hard to imagine.
You also forgot to take into account costs to sell the home at the end of the 5 years.
That's two at first glance...I may be missing something.
I think JT's point, though I don't want to speak for him, is that the rent vs buy argument is not as clear cut as most think initially, and certainly not as clear cut as you made it out to be in your original post.
Posted on 3/9/09 at 11:56 pm to NOMT
im not saying this is by any means a comprehensive analysis, but just a rough way of looking at it.
You also have pride in home ownership and more freedom in how you choose to live. These factors non-quantitative factors cant have a value assigned.
This is also for a townhouse which is free from most big ticket repairs since that comes out of HOA fees.
You also have pride in home ownership and more freedom in how you choose to live. These factors non-quantitative factors cant have a value assigned.
This is also for a townhouse which is free from most big ticket repairs since that comes out of HOA fees.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 12:03 am to TortiousTiger
quote:
WTF am I not getting?
Well for one thing, this is much more in depth than your original casual remarks?
quote:
RENT:
1400/mo
33% more expensive? OK, so we don't need to go much further. I wholeheartedly agree that buying is much more amenable when rent means you pay a 33% monthly premium over P and I. So, I guess we can debate about whether or not the example is fair. In most areas, it simply is not.
You also didn't mention anything about maintenance or insurance or property taxes.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 12:05 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
You also didn't mention anything about maintenance or insurance or property taxes.
a slush fund for maintenance was not provided for, but the insurance and property taxes were included in the above mentioned escrow.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 12:06 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
33% more expensive? OK, so we don't need to go much further. I wholeheartedly agree that buying is much more amenable when rent means you pay a 33% monthly premium over P and I. So, I guess we can debate about whether or not the example is fair. In most areas, it simply is not.
Good pernt. In most cases, I would imagine it to be reversed if anything.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 12:07 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
So, I guess we can debate about whether or not the example is fair. In most areas, it simply is not.
most areas in the nation, perhaps, but here in La, i think thats the norm as long as the house is not too big or expensive.
the past two years I've rented a 1500 sq foot house in BR for 1900 a mo.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 12:10 am to Tiger JJ
I have seen this debate for a while now.
I think that the person who overpays for a home he buys, generally overpays for rent as well. Bargain hunters find a good deal either way whether it is renting or buying.
No matter how many angles you look at this these principles seem to be universal (aside from the occasional blind luck).
I will slip back to only reading for a while.
I think that the person who overpays for a home he buys, generally overpays for rent as well. Bargain hunters find a good deal either way whether it is renting or buying.
No matter how many angles you look at this these principles seem to be universal (aside from the occasional blind luck).
I will slip back to only reading for a while.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 1:04 am to TortiousTiger
quote:
a slush fund for maintenance was not provided for,
Maintenance is 1% per year. So that would add over $100/month.
quote:
but the insurance and property taxes were included in the above mentioned escrow.
Then your figures are just wholly ludicrous and apply to less than 1% of the country - if any place at all.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 1:23 am to Tiger JJ
A few real world examples from BR off of Craigslist:
$1349 / 3br - NEWER HOUSE**NEAR LSU* (Nicholson Lakes).
LINK
Midrange of Zillow estimate is $198K. Just P and I will be at least $1K if not $1.1K. Throw in taxes, insurance, etc. and your monthly payment is equal to or greater than the monthly rental payment.
LINK
$1345 / 3br - Great House & Backyard, 3 BR 2-1/2 BA, Corner Lot (Sherwood Forest), 2300 sq ft. I realize SF is not what it used to be, but you get the idea.
I agree with you that Baton Rouge less out of whack on a price-to-rent basis than a lot of areas, though.
$1349 / 3br - NEWER HOUSE**NEAR LSU* (Nicholson Lakes).
LINK
Midrange of Zillow estimate is $198K. Just P and I will be at least $1K if not $1.1K. Throw in taxes, insurance, etc. and your monthly payment is equal to or greater than the monthly rental payment.
LINK
$1345 / 3br - Great House & Backyard, 3 BR 2-1/2 BA, Corner Lot (Sherwood Forest), 2300 sq ft. I realize SF is not what it used to be, but you get the idea.
I agree with you that Baton Rouge less out of whack on a price-to-rent basis than a lot of areas, though.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 1:25 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
$1349 / 3br - NEWER HOUSE**NEAR LSU* (Nicholson Lakes).
She was listing that house at $1500 just 6 weeks ago.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 7:19 am to TortiousTiger
What planet do you live on that pays a 33% premium for renting over PI?
I can make up ridiculous ratios too and come up with whatever answer works
I can make up ridiculous ratios too and come up with whatever answer works
Posted on 3/10/09 at 8:10 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
Weird. Powerman was just telling me yesterday how inflated BR prices seemed and that he could rent an awesome place for much less.
Right. And as usual I'm right and everyone else is stupid.
LINK
Sure you'll pay 1000 a month for a 1 bedroom. But that's going to be a luxury apartment with high speed internet lumped into the price.
You'd be hard pressed to find any newly constructed home worth a shite in that town for less than 200K. They don't exist.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 8:14 am to Tiger JJ
quote:
33% more expensive? OK, so we don't need to go much further. I wholeheartedly agree that buying is much more amenable when rent means you pay a 33% monthly premium over P and I. So, I guess we can debate about whether or not the example is fair. In most areas, it simply is not.
You also didn't mention anything about maintenance or insurance or property taxes.
There is also the whole down payment thing...
I'd hate to let go of 20K in liquid assets to tie myself down to some shitty 1200 foot house in Baton Rouge.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 8:14 am to Golfer
quote:
She was listing that house at $1500 just 6 weeks ago.
i guess what i said earlier is becoming less applicable to BR. looks like the oversaturation of the rental options have started to cause lower prices. or that house is just a POS
my last renal in BR was 800/month my last year and it was a 2 BR/2.5 BA..rent when up 50/year. it was old, however
lots of people were paying 500-600/person in 2-3 BR apartments/townhouses all over BR when i left...some 1 BR apartments int he "luxury" places went as high as like $1k/month. it was fricking ridiculous
Posted on 3/10/09 at 8:30 am to igoringa
quote:
What planet do you live on that pays a 33% premium for renting over PI? I can make up ridiculous ratios too and come up with whatever answer works
that ridiculous planet of lafayette louisiana.
This is not a hypothetical, this is the actual figures of my townhouse, and I'm sure the figures of several more.
Posted on 3/10/09 at 8:33 am to TortiousTiger
quote:
that ridiculous planet of lafayette louisiana.
THat is not the first time this phrase could be stated.
quote:
This is not a hypothetical, this is the actual figures of my townhouse, and I'm sure the figures of several more.
I cant comment on one anectdotal claim, but you seriously do not think that is representative do you? In an era where in the past few years anyone can get a house, and currently you need 3% down... you think any market, on average, puts a 33% premium on rent? Please say you dont believe that.
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