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re: Would 2012 LSU football have won the SEC if honey badger didn’t get suspended?

Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:51 pm to
Posted by Beef Supreme
Member since Apr 2008
1920 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

I mean shite JLee deserved a shot against Georgia in the SEC championship when our offense couldn’t do anything prior to the Tyrann PR TD


If I remember correctly Lee did not see the field at all on senior night against Arkansas including on the final drive up 41-17 when we ran out the clock. He did get on the field in the Georgia Dome for 1 snap - the final kneel down. Then of course we all know how it went in the superdome. The way our pervert coach handled Lee's end of his career despite all that he went through for 4 years and how great of a redemption season he was having.... frick Les Miles.
Posted by TNoon
Member since Nov 2020
2443 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:54 pm to
Great hypothetical observation
Posted by s2
Southdowns
Member since Sep 2016
5565 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Turned out differently when Saban had a month to prepare.


CLM had a month to prepare as well but with the apparent confusion with clock management he lost count in regards to which month.








Posted by SCTmo
Des Moines
Member since Aug 2007
2860 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

If by disingenuous you mean he was the highest rated passer in the SEC at the time he was demoted, then yes it is disingenuous.



He was outright bad against Bama. It is what it is and the team looked horrible with him in the game. I agree that he should have seen the field again after that game, but I think Les had flashbacks to freshman Jarrett Lee after the second INT against Bama. That 2008 season fricked with Miles' head and entire offensive philosophy. I don't know if he ever fully trusted Lee after that.
Posted by lsupicker
Member since Oct 2015
1283 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 10:15 pm to
Definitely, in my opinion. Would have beaten Bama then demolished Notre Dame
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16410 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 10:55 pm to
Yes
Posted by AlaTiger
America
Member since Aug 2006
21120 posts
Posted on 4/22/24 at 11:56 pm to
Yes. We win the national championship that year. Losing Honey Badger took the fire out of that team too. He was the spark plug for the whole team.
Posted by HappyTigerDay
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2011
827 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 12:10 am to
quote:

Definitely, in my opinion. Would have beaten Bama then demolished Notre Dame


People always assume that if we had beaten Bama that night, we would’ve rolled to a national championship. Of course we would have curb stomped Notre Dame but everyone who says this always leaves Georgia & the SEC championship game out of this scenario. They were a tipped pass inside the 10 yard line away from beating Alabama. There’s no guarantee LSU wins that game. Not saying they couldn’t, but people just never consider UGA in this hypothetical.
Posted by GorgeousGeorge
Nola
Member since Jul 2014
1986 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 1:31 am to
Chris Faulk injury was rough. Without that injury, he’s a starting NFL left tackle for a long time. Such a smooth athlete for a man his size.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20367 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:12 am to
quote:

quote:

Turned out differently when Saban had a month to prepare.



CLM had a month to prepare as well but with the apparent confusion with clock management he lost count in regards to which month.

Oh, come on now

I get the "let's bash Les" sentiment, but be real: those two teams were very evenly matched. Bama completely destroyed Lee the first game, he was reverting back to the Pick 6 guy we'd seen in the past. Heavy pressure and no time to throw. We were going backwards with him in.
Our defense held, but they moved better. They got into a lot of long field goal situations, which they missed. But they'd get 30 or so yds per drive, and we'd go 3 and out, and punt well if we don't turn it over first.

Les found the one answer in that game, which was running JJ. That tipped it to our favor, we got yards, and eventually wore them down. We should have punched in the TD in OT, which we would have done.

But leading up to game 2, Saban had time to counter the one thing that worked for us, JJ running. Nothing worked for them the first time, nothing for Les to counter. And let's look at Bama's scoring drives:
1) 49 yd punt return, got to the 26. They drove 20 yds and kicked a FG.
2) drove 58 yds, their longest of the night. Got inside the 20, kicked a FG.
3) drove 52 yds to get to the 24, kicked another FG to end the half.
That's only a hair better than game one, where they drove to the 27, the 33, and the 31 and missed, and made one from the 17 in the first half.


In the second half, they drove 50 yds to get to the 18, made a kick.
Intercepted at the 27, moved 4 yds and missed from the 23.
Drove 20 yds to get to the 27 and made the kick.

At this point, we have zero offense against their defense, but it's still a 2 score game in the second half and they can't move much at all. The 3 differences between those two games, is:
1) a big punt return to give them a chip shot, something they never did in game 1.
2) Remove that score, and their kicker made 4 FG in 5 drives, instead of 2 like in the first game.
3) JJ moved on them when he came into the first game, he didn't in the second. So, we have 0 pts instead of 6 on 2 FG.

They had 300 yds of offense in the 1st game, and just over 400 in game 2. We had 230 in the first game, and just over 100 in the 2nd. They really should have won the first one, but couldn't kick the ball.
Posted by turnpiketiger
Southeast Texas
Member since May 2020
9440 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 5:51 am to
quote:

I think we beat Bama because of the emotion in Tiger stadium that night.


So Tyrann tackles Yeldon?
Posted by MetryTyger
Metro NOLA, LA
Member since Jan 2004
15590 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:26 am to
quote:

Would 2012 LSU football have won the SEC if honey badger didn’t get suspended?
whichyalnoaboutseven
Both losses were one possession Games. And even if we lose to Florida, I think we beat Bama because of the emotion in Tiger stadium that night.



Maybe Bama. HB would maybe not have allowed bama to go right down the field at the end.

But that game was lost when Miles didn't try to get one more first down after reaching the bama 28, going BACKWARD, then missing the FG.

Fun fact, before bama got the ball back at the very end, they had as a TEAM - 5 ("FIVE") yards Total Offense in the entire second half. Five.

What's even more sobering is the fact that LSU destroyed it's last 3 opponents after the bama game.

We very easily should have been 11-1 and in the SECCG and NC conversation. STILL pisses me off...
Posted by StPeteLSU
St Petersburg, FL
Member since Oct 2011
1938 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:36 am to
After having quit smoking for 20 years I was so mad that I lit one at the tailgate after the game and was back to a pack a day habit. Took 5 more years before I quit again for good. I could see Yeldon right in front of where we were sitting Tyrann was my first thought when we blew it. The GOAT defensive player in LSU history. His highlite film most would think covers 4 years.
Posted by sta4ever
The Pit
Member since Aug 2014
15144 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:38 am to
That UGA team would have been very hard to beat. 2012 LSU, Bama, and UGA were almost all equally as good.
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
22375 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 7:50 am to
quote:

Both losses were one possession Games. And even if we lose to Florida, I think we beat Bama because of the emotion in Tiger stadium that night.


Defense wasn’t the issue with the 2012 team. Honestly think not playing Mett in 2011 was the biggest issue with 2012. He made tremendous strides in 2013 after taking his lumps in 2012.
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
44561 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:40 am to
quote:

Chris Faulk injury was rough. Without that injury, he’s a starting NFL left tackle for a long time. Such a smooth athlete for a man his size.


I don't know if he's a LT in the NFL, but I definitely felt like he could've carved out an 8-10 year career without the injury. He was projected to be a top 2 round pick going into the 2012 season.

Kinda crazy how 3 of our top OL who had high draft projections (Ciron, Faulk, and La'el) all went undrafted for whatever reason over the course of like 5 years.
Posted by Putty
Member since Oct 2003
25486 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 8:43 am to
quote:

Both losses were one possession Games.


IMO, he probably accounted for a 6 point per game swing (returns, turnovers, sacks, passes defended, tackles, and, of course, defensive scores). Insane how big his impact on the game was. I'd like to see some sophisticated better's individual line on how much Mathieu was worth all by himself.

ETA link:

CBS Sports

quote:

Based strictly on his actual scoring plays and the field-flipping effects of the turnovers he forced, Mathieu's presence was worth somewhere in the vicinity of a touchdown per game, without taking a single snap on offense.


This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 8:59 am
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5530 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 9:49 am to
quote:

If by disingenuous you mean he was the highest rated passer in the SEC at the time he was demoted, then yes it is disingenuous.
Wrong. At the time Lee was demoted, Lee had a lower rating than Jefferson.

From the moment that Jefferson threw his first pass in the Florida game in 2011, he had a higher rating than Lee. Jefferson's higher rating continued for the rest of the regular season. From his first pass until the end of the regular season, Jefferson was more efficient than Lee.

Lee's rating was not higher than Jefferson's rating until after LSU played against Georgia in the SECCG and Alabama in the BCSCG, two of the top three defenses in the NCAA that year.

You are wrong when you say that Lee was the "highest rated passer in the SEC at the tie he was demoted." At no point during the regular season, from the time Jefferson threw his first pass until the end of the regular season, was Lee more efficient than Jefferson.

Jefferson (2011 Regular Season)
64.3%, 9.34 YPA, 5 TDs, 1 INT, INT% 1.43%, Overall Rating 163.48

Lee (2011 Regular Season)
62.3%, 7.82 YPA, 14 TDs, 3 INTs, INT% 1.80%, Overall Rating 152.04

Post-season numbers cannot be compared. Jefferson played in the Championship games. Lee didn't.


Jefferson's three regular season starts in 2011 were the three best offensive games of the season.

It wasn't that one of Jefferson's games was better than one of Lee's games. It wasn't that the average of Jefferson's three starts was better than the average of Lee's starts. Every regular season game that Jefferson started in 2011 was better than every regular season game that Lee started in 2011.

LSU's best rushing game happened when Jefferson started.

LSU's best total offense game happened when Jefferson started.

LSU's best completion percentage game happened when Jefferson started.

In the nine games that Lee started during the regular season, LSU gained over 450 yards just once. In the three games that Jefferson started during the regular season, LSU gained more than 450 yards in every game. Every game.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
3490 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 11:10 am to
quote:

YES and if Jarrett Lee wouldn't have been replaced with Les Miles blow up doll, JJ. That team was incredible when Lee was running the show.


Ehhh, idk. I watched Lee in the GOTC and it was abundantly clear that the stage was just too big for him. All of the bad habits came back to haunt him again.


That whole entire situation was a cluster of epic proportions. Miles bungled sooooo many things leading up to the 2011 natty.

Not finding or preparing a legitimate weapon at QB cost this team more than just the 2011 title. Running the guys into the ground with his junction boys practices didn't help matters. The amount of offensive talent that was wasted under Les Miles is just astounding.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
3490 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 11:10 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 11:11 am
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