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The probability that Lee throws 2 or more picks vs Bama?

Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:54 pm
Posted by Fighting Tigers
Member since Aug 2008
2167 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:54 pm
60%? 70%?
This post was edited on 11/3/08 at 2:56 pm
Posted by Doom
Dallas
Member since Jul 2004
3448 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:55 pm to
69%
Posted by lsugunner
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2008
362 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:55 pm to
0%
Posted by Longdriver98
Alpharetta, GA
Member since Nov 2005
3094 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:55 pm to
Assuming Saban brings 8 or more rushers I would go as high as 85%
Posted by Fighting Tigers
Member since Aug 2008
2167 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

0%


Posted by bodean45
Ville Platte
Member since Oct 2007
1099 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:58 pm to
100%

And at least 1 of them will be returned for a touchdown.

We should just start the game down 7-0 and keep his INT stats down. He's scored 36 points already for our opponents.
Posted by BT
North La
Member since Aug 2008
9766 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:58 pm to
probability that you are a toonces supporter..100

Posted by Tiger Authority
Member since Jul 2007
29476 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 2:58 pm to
Love these threads.
Posted by GOBAMA90
Member since Oct 2008
2840 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:02 pm to
If he has to throw 30+ times there is a huge chance that happens.

IMO he has to throw at least 30 to make it a game.
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
12183 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

The probability that Lee throws 2 or more picks vs Bama?


The probability that you suck at life? 90%.....100%?

Posted by Tiger Authority
Member since Jul 2007
29476 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:04 pm to
He has to throw 30 to make it a game. Actually the opposite is true. If we are forced to throw it 30 times we are going to be losing anyway. Your logic is flawed gump.
Posted by That One
Northern Virginia
Member since Jul 2004
6014 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:04 pm to
Very low probability ...considering his poor performances, he is due for a good game. Law of averages!
Posted by NLabosstiger
Member since Mar 2008
1279 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:05 pm to
he will throw none!
Posted by guttata
prairieville
Member since Feb 2006
22509 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:06 pm to
He's a gun-slinger, I'll give him that. His aim may be off and he may hit the other team, but he continues to throw it.
Posted by Geauxing for 3
TX Tiger
Member since Mar 2008
1948 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:07 pm to
50% and probability that jefferson doesn't get any pt is 99.99%
Posted by LSU4life22
Member since Sep 2008
124 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:08 pm to
Honestly 0%. It won't happen. BOOK IT.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123951 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:08 pm to
Unfortunately, Saban's "D" is perfectly designed to tear up a kid like JL. So . . .

1 - 99%
2 - 95%
3 - 80%
4 - 50%
5 - 20%
Posted by Tiger Authority
Member since Jul 2007
29476 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:09 pm to
This thread personifies why certain LSU fans are douches.
Posted by Fighting Tigers
Member since Aug 2008
2167 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

He has to throw 30 to make it a game. Actually the opposite is true. If we are forced to throw it 30 times we are going to be losing anyway. Your logic is flawed gump.


His logic is that Bama is #1 in the nation when it comes to fewest rushing attempts per game against them (25.22 rushes/per game), while they are #104 in the nation when it comes to fewest passing attempts per game agaisnt them (35.4 passes/per game).

In other words, Bama forces teams to throw the ball.
Posted by Tiger Authority
Member since Jul 2007
29476 posts
Posted on 11/3/08 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

He has to throw 30 to make it a game. Actually the opposite is true. If we are forced to throw it 30 times we are going to be losing anyway. Your logic is flawed gump.




His logic is that Bama is #1 in the nation when it comes to fewest rushing attempts per game against them (25.22 rushes/per game), while they are #104 in the nation when it comes to fewest passing attempts per game agaisnt them (35.4 passes/per game).

In other words, Bama forces teams to throw the ball.


And who has come close to beating them this year? Hence my comment. If we have to throw the ball over thirty times, we will be one dimensional and will likely lose. Throwing under thirty times will point towards an adequate rushing attack which would prove to me that we're rushing the ball effecively.

But I would hate to actually discuss the game with you in your attempt to bet against our quarterback in a stupid fvcking thread like this one. Thanks for joining this board prior to the season, you have been an asset.
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