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re: Some basic numbers about CWS game 1 losers since 1995

Posted on 6/15/15 at 2:46 pm to
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
13624 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

25% of the teams that made it to the final started off in the loser bracket.


Well, considering no one starts in the loser's bracket because every team starts the CWS with a 0-0 record, I'd say your horribly wrong.
This post was edited on 6/15/15 at 2:46 pm
Posted by NotRight37
Nashville, TN
Member since Jul 2014
5843 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 2:49 pm to
Basically losing either of the first two games in a four team double elimination bracket puts a team behind the eight ball. If you lose the first game you have to win four straight, if you lose the second game after winning the first one, you have to win three straight. Either way a 4-1 record is required to make the finals.

Hopefully the opponent is not 3-0 at that point and in their normal rotation.
Posted by Indigold
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2013
1702 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Obviously he meant to word it "came out of the loser's bracket," which would have accounted for the other 5. But yay nitpicking.

Well that's not what he said. If he's trying to relate it to LSU, we have a 12.5% chance based on the last 20 years, not 25%
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 3:10 pm to
Basically we fricked
Posted by Gulf Coast Tiger
Ms Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2004
18681 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

gizmoflak


Great research
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56746 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 4:25 pm to
We have to win 4.

We basically need to have Lange and Poche each get one, and then win two with the rest of the staff. To say it is unlikely is an understatement.

We will be significant underdogs in every game except this next one.
Posted by HonoraryCoonass
Member since Jan 2005
18109 posts
Posted on 6/15/15 at 4:28 pm to
I have been curious to know all this. Thanks for taking the time to research it.
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