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SEC Defense National Rankings - Bama Edition

Posted on 10/27/16 at 3:10 am
Posted by Addison Tiger
Antwerp, Belgium
Member since Jul 2005
640 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 3:10 am
After looking at some threads saying that Bama's offense is one-dimensional, not that good, etc, I was curious about the quality of their opponent's defenses. They have scored a lot of points on teams, but how good are these defenses they are facing. This is what I found (Bama opponents in bold):

1. Florida 252.5 yds/game;
4. Alabama 274.5 yds/game;
14. LSU 313.9 yds/game;
18. Auburn 328.0 yds/game;
20. Georgia 339.7 yds/game;
56. Miss State 388.9 yds/game;
58. South Carolina 394.7 yds/game;
62. Vanderbilt 398.0 yds/game;
80. Kentucky 426.3 yds/game;
82. Tennessee 427.1 yds/game;
84. Arkansas 428.0 yds/game;
96. Texas A&M 439.4 yds/game; LOL Chavis
107. Ole Miss 455.9 yds/game;

110. Missouri 460.4 yds/game;

So, they have really been dominating the worst defenses in the SEC to this point. The other incredible thing I saw was that they have at least one defensive/special teams touchdown in EVERY SINGLE GAME they have played this year.

While this obviously doesn't tell the whole story, I think this does show that Bama has not faced a defense even close to as good as ours. And for us to win the game, we absolutely have to play great special teams (god help us) and protect the ball.
Posted by TriDitty
New Iberia
Member since Aug 2016
1272 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 3:33 am to
Good stats

The only catch there is that we will have to hang our statistical hats on the Miss State game otherwise our offense is pretty much in the same untested boat as theirs. The abysmal production against AU doesn't look good on paper but we've got the whole CEO/No CLM thing going for us there.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
93724 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 4:01 am to
BAMAs defense to this is they want to see these numbers BEFORE they played. The numbers you've posted here are inflated because.......

Well, they've already played BAMA and they've rolled up so many yards that it inflated those defensive numbers.
Posted by Aussietigerfan
Sydney, Australia
Member since May 2015
2316 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 4:36 am to
Lol, these are averages. Bama would of had to put up 1000 yards against each team to single handedly put them at the bottom
Posted by Addison Tiger
Antwerp, Belgium
Member since Jul 2005
640 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 4:42 am to
Agree that Bama's been over the average yards these teams have allowed (450-500), but these teams have all played 6-7 games at this point. I think Bama's offensive numbers have been close enough to not skew these to where the numbers are inflated (except against Tennessee).
Posted by Addison Tiger
Antwerp, Belgium
Member since Jul 2005
640 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 4:49 am to
Yeah, our offense is in a similar boat, but hard to compare becuase of the coaching change and small sample size. We know Bama has a good defense and will be a challenge. I was more interested in whether their offense was really as good as their numbers indicate.
Posted by Tigerpaul1969
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jan 2010
4452 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 6:49 am to
We ran for 6.9 yards per carry on an Auburn defense giving up 3.7 per carry.
Posted by Blanky6715
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2014
4377 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:09 am to
quote:

BAMAs defense to this is they want to see these numbers BEFORE they played. The numbers you've posted here are inflated because.......

Well, they've already played BAMA and they've rolled up so many yards that it inflated those defensive numbers.


Not 100% true. Look how many yards Tennessee and A&M put up against each other for instance, before playing bama.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118854 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:21 am to
quote:

We ran for 6.9 yards per carry on an Auburn defense giving up 3.7 per carry.




Under Miles when we were much more predictable and refused to line up in spread formations.
Posted by mikeytig
NE of Tiger Stadium
Member since Nov 2007
7079 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:24 am to
You have throw out any offensive stat by a Les Miles coached offense.
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8975 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:29 am to
Misconception. We ran more "spread" formations under CLM, the difference is, that our formations no longer telegraph the play. For example, every time we lined up in 22 personnel with twins to one side and a TE on each side of the line, it was almost guaranteed to be a toss dive. CEO put an end to the predictability.
Posted by Sterling Archer
Austin
Member since Aug 2012
7325 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:33 am to
quote:

LOL Chavis


This made me chuckle
Posted by Tigerdev
Member since Feb 2013
12287 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 9:45 am to
quote:

The abysmal production against AU doesn't look good on paper
Etling has to play better than he did vs Au or we lose.
Posted by victoire sécurisé
Member since Nov 2012
4917 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 10:50 am to
Bama Yards vs:
KY: 488
AR: 517
TN: 594
TAMU: 451
OM: 503

TOTAL YARDS ALLOWED (SEASON)
KY: 7 games x 426.3 = 2984.
AR: 8 games x 428.0 = 3424.
TN: 7 games x 427.1 = 2989.
OM: 6 games x 455.9 = 2735.

Adjusted Ypg (excludes Bama yds.)
KY: 416.0
AR: 415.2
TN: 399.3
TAMU: 437.5
OM: 446.5

Adjusted National rank in ypg
KY: #74 (Bama factor = -6)
AR: #73 (Bama factor = -11)
TN: #63 (Bama factor = -19)
TAMU: #96 (Bama factor = 0)
OM: #103 (Bama factor = +4)
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30386 posts
Posted on 10/27/16 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

So, they have really been dominating the worst defenses in the SEC to this point. The other incredible thing I saw was that they have at least one defensive/special teams touchdown in EVERY SINGLE GAME they have played this year.



That is not totally correct. They have at least 1 non offensive TD. Against Kent State they had a punt return for a TD. Kent State did not turn the ball over. Actually 0 turnovers in that game.


If you look at SEC teams only, Alabama defense is giving up 319.4 YPG and 19.4 PPG and their offense is averaging 508.4 YPG and 30.2 PPG

If you look at SEC teams only, Alabama is giving up 424.33 YPG and 27 PPG and their offense is averaging 486.67 YPG and 29.67 PPG

quote:

84. Arkansas 428.0 yds/game;
96. Texas A&M 439.4 yds/game; LOL Chavis
107. Ole Miss 455.9 yds/game;



In the Alabama game:
Arkansas 517 yards allowed; 20.8% higher than average
Texas A&M 451 yards allowed; 2.6% higher than average
Ole Miss 492 yds/game; 7.9% higher than average

Average without the Alabama game:
73. Arkansas 415.3 yds/game;
94. Texas A&M 437.5 yds/game; LOL Chavis
105. Ole Miss 449.9 yds/game;

Not a big change except for Arkansas. Ole Miss's offense outscored Bama 36-27. Bama had 2 foumbles that turned into touchdowns and a punt return for a TD.

If LSU can avoid turnovers, we can definitely win but I think it'll be a war.

ETA: started this much earlier but got called away.




This post was edited on 10/27/16 at 12:51 pm
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