*LSU must win out in all of these Scenarios*

*2 of scenarios 2-8 must happen (only some scenarios are possible to happen if certain scenarios do happen)* (don't quote me on this one)

*The voting committee must not be bias and purposely keep 2 SEC teams out of the playoffs for scenarios 2 and on*

(ex of bias voting - having a team such as Ohio State jump LSU at the end if these scenarios happen just to keep 2 SEC teams out)

*A team currently ranked lower that 9 must not jump LSU*

*when teams lose in the below scenarios i am assuming that LSU passes them in the rankings, so timing is also key. Based on the timing of the upcoming top 9 teams schedules, it looks to be in our favor*

By "Default" LSU will be ranked number 6 at the end of confrence championship weekend without a SINGLE upset happening for the rest of the year due to numbers 3-8 all playing a team that is currently ranked 3-8.

In my scenarios i assume that Alabama(exclude scenario 1) and Clemson win out (highly likely)

Scenario 1 (not 100% of LSU ending in top 4 but SEC champion should make it in by default IMO)

-Alabama loses to either Mississippi State or Auburn
-LSU beats Florida in SEC championship game

Scenario 2
Ohio State Loses to either Illinois Michigan, Michigan State and beats Iowa in Big 10 Chamionship game (Iowa wins out regular season in this scenario)

*and Ohio State does not jump LSU the final week of the season after beating Iowa. This scenario could be to one that causes Bias voting and screws us)

Scenario 3
Iowa loses a regular season game and Wisconson passes up Iowa in the Big 10 West standings and beats Ohio State in Big 10 Championship game

Scenario 4
Notre Dame Beats Standford and loses to either Wake Forrest or Boston College

Scenario 5
Iowa loses regular season game and beats Ohio State in Big 10 Championship game

Scenario 6 Baylor Beats Oklahoma State and loses to either TCU or Texas

Scenario 7
Standford beats Notre Dame and loses to either Oregon or Cal or pack 12 championship game.

Scenario 8
Oklahoma State beats Baylor and loses to either Iowa State or Oklahoma *Oklahoma must not jump LSU is this scenario*

Scenario 9
LSU wins out and only one of scenarios 2-8 happen and the voters are generous and put us in over the number 5 team

Scenario 10
LSU wins out and none of the above scenarios happen and the voters are very generous and put us in over number 5 and 6 teams

Scenario 11 Something random happens that i have not discussed and puts LSU in the top 4 by seasons end

pulling percentages out of my arse, I say we have about a 75% chance of winning out and a 45% chance of 2 of the above happening, so roughly a 34% chance of making the playoffs with scenarios 2-8 happening. take out a few percent for bias voting and thats about a 32% chance

more statistics pulled out of my arse for scenario 1

75% chance of winning out 75% chance of beating Florida and 30% chance Bama loses
roughly 17 % chance here

What sceanarios above do you think are most likely to happen?

This post was edited on 11/12/15 at 1:19 am