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Question for lsumatt

Posted on 12/5/11 at 8:52 am
Posted by Tiger 1964
Tampa
Member since Mar 2007
161 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 8:52 am
The difference in BCS points for UA and OSU was 0.0086 What would it have been if Saban had voted OSU third rather than fourth?
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51225 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 8:53 am to
0.0085
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:01 am to
It wouldn't have made much of a difference. OSU needed one computer and a dozen or so votes. That would have been 1 vote
Posted by Cash
Vail
Member since Feb 2005
37247 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:02 am to
If Calhoun would have voted Okie State 3rd instead of 5th that would have been two more.
Posted by Tiger 1964
Tampa
Member since Mar 2007
161 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:04 am to
OK...thanks
Posted by islstl
Austin, TX
Member since Nov 2006
794 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 9:16 am to
If all the voters in both human polls had placed Oklahoma State no lower than 3rd, it would have made up .0038 of the .0086 deficit.

Resulting in

Alabama .9419
Okie St .9371

At this point, Oklahoma State would have fallen about 15 voters (placing them 2nd over Bama) short of overtaking the #2 spot in the BCS.

The Wolfe poll would have truly decided the outcome (or Sagarin, for that matter), given the scenario above.



Posted by LSUtigersarefun
Member since Aug 2009
9602 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 12:17 pm to
Question about the Sarigan Poll
With OK state having the (6)th ranked Schedule and Bama having the (23) ranked schedule that means that losing to LSU was worth 17 schedule rankings or a total of
99.49-74.27= 25.22 points
97.81-80.28= 17.21 points
According to this quality of loss has to equate to between 8 and 25.22 points? What other items could be figured into this equation.
based on a history of the ratings system over many years wouldn't it be possible to create a reproduction of it. and to test it
Posted by Me Bite
A.K.A. - Bite Me
Member since Oct 2007
7148 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 12:20 pm to
What about crunching the numbers if LSU would have lost the SECCG? Of course, winning was much more enjoyable!
Posted by LSUtigersarefun
Member since Aug 2009
9602 posts
Posted on 12/5/11 at 12:30 pm to
also my calculations which may be wrong say that if Sarigan came in with OK st. #2
it would have been
OK State:
.9231+.9268+.96=2.8099 average .936633
Bama
.9471+.9485+.92=2.8156 average .938533
So it still would have ended with a LSU/Bama Rematch.
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