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Official Adam4848 Baseball Preview Feb 10th (Pro Prospects)

Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:31 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:31 am
February. Is. Here.

-Everything you will read in this preview is "my" opinion and analysis, as always I welcome others opinions and criticism. I do this preview annually for those friends, family, and alumni who follow the sport but aren't able to see the team in action or the ones living out of state etc...

-The lineup I predict is based on what I have seen thus far and how I see the respective positions shaping up. In many instances I try to gauge how the depth chart will not only look like opening weekend but as the season progresses and how each player fits into the equation.

-At the end of each position is a final grade based on the entire unit as a whole.

Feb 1st-C (Mike Papierski)
Feb 2nd-1B (Greg Deichmann)
Feb 3rd-2B (Kramer Robertson)
Feb 4th-SS (Trey Dawson)
Feb 5th-3B (Cole Freeman)
Feb 6th-OF (Beau Jordan, Jake Fraley, Antoine Duplantis)
Feb 7th-DH (Bryce Jordan)
Feb 8th-SP (Alex Lange, Jared Poche, Riley Smith, Austin Bain)
Feb 9th-RP (Jesse Stallings, Parker Bugg, Hunter Newman, Doug Norman, Russell Reynolds)
Feb 10th-Pro Prospects (Each class) & SEC Preview

Grade Breakdown
80 Top of the Scale
70 Well Above Average
60 Above Average
50 Average
40 Below Average
30 Well Below Average
20 Bottom of the Scale
This post was edited on 2/10/16 at 8:50 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:31 am to
CATCHER



1) Mike Papierski So. 6’3 205lbs (2)*
2) Jordan Romero Jr. 6’2 225lbs (28)
3) Bryce Jordan So. 5’9 215 lbs (25)

Kade Scivique and Chris Chinea depart, both players who well exceeded expectations a season ago and were each key pieces in LSU’s power surge seen in 2015. As both depart a heralded sophomore will enter the picture. Mike Papierski will start day 1 followed in the pecking order by Jordan Romero, Bryce Jordan, and Chris Reid if needed.

Mike Papierski is both a rare and unique catcher in today’s college game. You look at him physically and swear you’re eyeing an MLB backup catcher, his frame is there, he switch hits with his power coming from the left side, arm strength is well above average…creating a catcher from scratch it’s all there. Papierski did in fact come to LSU a season ago as the highest drafted high school catcher to skip pro ball and attend college. The talent is there it just hasn’t made its way to the stats sheet as of his freshman campaign. We can argue Papierski wasn’t ready as a freshman granted his sample size was small, only 42 at bats, although Mainieri had the luxury of using him as a reserve while he adjusted to the college game. Catching in the SEC is one of the most challenging positions as freshman and Paul Mainieri knew exactly what he was doing grooming Mike under both Scivicque and Chinea. Here we stand in February and there is no way to sugar coat this…if LSU is to make a deep run into the tournament Papierski is going to need to be a mainstay in the heart of the batting order. Mike’s best tool is the glove along with a well above average arm, make no mistake he will be a smooth transition from the ‘15 ALL-SEC Kade Scivicque. It should be noted LSU's pitching staff absolutely loves having the ability to throw any pitch in the dirt without hesitation. In terms of his bat he’ll hit for a higher average as a righty with much more power coming from the left side which is typical, the patience he shows at the plate as this young of an age cannot be emphasized enough, not many empty at bats coming from this young man. Speed is slightly below average to average he won’t steal a base this year however isn’t a liability on the base path. Look for him to hit anywhere from 4-6 in the order as the lineup will shuffle quite a few times before SEC play.

Jordan Romero is another talented big bodied catcher who I see alleviating Papierski in spells as well as contenting for the DH role. Romero a standout from Catholic High and transfer from LSU-Eunice is another hardnosed catcher who excels defensively much like Papierski although his bat hasn’t stood out as of yet.

After Papierski and Romero you have a couple of guys in Bryce Jordan, Chris Reid, and Trent Forshang who can play multipole positions as well as step in behind the plate as needed. As the group rounds out Mike Papierski not only has the best glove of the group but the highest ceiling and will start from day one.

An eye popping stat…Papierski ranked #4 in BB’s last year although he was #12 on the team in recorded at bat’s with 42 while the starters averaged 235. What this tells you is not only does he have great vision but patience which will serve him well as he matures and is able to work counts which will only favor him. Look for a breakout year from Mike Papierski.


Papierski
Power------60
Hitting------55
Speed------45
Fielding----65
Arm---------65

FINAL GRADE: 60
This post was edited on 2/1/16 at 7:47 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:31 am to
FIRST BASE



Greg Deichmann 6’2 185lbs So.* (7)
Bryce Adams 6’4 210lbs Jr. (4)
Bryce Jordan 5’9 215lbs So. (25)
Brody Wofford 6’2 180lbs Fr. (14)

First base has been a revolving door under Mainieri ever since 2010. The only player in the past five years who has held down the position for the majority of back to back seasons was Mason Katz in 2012-2013 and yet piecing it together has worked. Make no mistake if there’s a weakness to Paul’s recruiting proficiency it has been without a doubt his tendency of putting all of his eggs in one basket with big bodied corner infielders. Over the years guys such as Joey Gallo ‘12, Nick Longhi ‘13, Bobby Bradley ’14 have all signed pro contracts in the weeks leading up to the deadline…leaving Mainieri to scramble. The college game is unique in that lineups really are pieced together year by year with some coaches putting emphasis solely on defense while others try to get the best 9 hitters no matter where they play. Replacing Chris Chinea will be Greg Deichmann to begin the season.

Greg Deichmann was without a doubt the jewel bat from the #1 recruiting class in 2014. After suffering a stress fracture in his foot exactly a year ago during spring practice the idea of securing a starting spot in the infield was all but lost with the veteran presence in LSU’s lineup. After suffering a slow start in summer ball Greg’s game slowly started taking form as the game started to slow down again for him. You can tell by watching him the patience is coming back, his ankle is healed, and he’s playing loose as he did as a high school senior in 2014 for Brother Martin. Taking a sneak peek into Deichmann’s game it’s immediate he shows all five tools. I think Greg will hit above average this season I see him hovering right around the .300-.315 mark with his power numbers increasing. Deichmann for his frame has such a compact and powerful swing it almost creates a natural loft which shows for major power numbers yet leaves room for an above average number swings and misses. The arm is above average and glove slightly above average, he’s played everywhere on the infield growing up and I don’t see first base giving him trouble defensively with his athleticism. Speed for his frame is plus plus and his greatest tool, he really is an outstanding baserunner. I do like Deichmann at the 5 hole where Mainieri currently has him as power threat/table setter for the bottom of the lineup, I could see him excelling at the 2 hole also given his speed.

Bryce Adams the projectable big bodied first baseman out of Delgado will be pushing for time at 1B, DH, and RF and right now I have him backing up Deichmann. Obvious to the point in Bryce you get a huge target on the right side of the infield with power potential as well as an experienced bat. At 6’4 Adams has your prototypical frame to sit at the first base bag. His upper body strength and leverage will create power on its own especially with these new balls. What he does need to improve on is his strikeouts as he is a big swing and miss casualty. Adam’s if not immediate will make an impact late in games when depth becomes an issue and having a power bat on the bench becomes vital.

Bryce Jordan in my assessment will become the backup for 1B if he doesn’t lock down the DH spot, as opening day looms he still is in a brace but it’s looking like it should be good to go for Cincinnati. For now I’ll cover more on him at the DH spot. Brody Wofford the lanky freshman from Georgia will be backing up 1B and while raw in his game has an exceptional arm. He may be a project now but I think he has a bright future at LSU, he’s one of those sleeper freshman that will improve tremendously from freshman to sophomore year under Cannizaro.

Expect to see Greg Deichmann trot out to first base in 3 weeks when LSU opens up against Cincinnati. Greg is a vocal leader on the infield and like Papierski, Robertson, and Fraley is going to need to show results immediately in the heart of the order. The good news for Tiger fans is when Deichmann’s bat is hot he has the tools to not only become that ALL-SEC type player but All-American.

Power------65
Hitting------60
Speed------70
Fielding----55
Arm---------55

FINAL GRADE: 55

This post was edited on 2/2/16 at 8:08 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
SECOND BASE



Kramer Robertson Jr.* 5’10 165lbs (3)
O'Neal Lochridge Fr. 6'1 195lbs (9)
Greg Deichmann So. 6’2 185lbs (7)
Cole Freeman Jr. 5’9 170lbs (22)

Kramer’s been in this position before, it’s nothing new for him. Fool me once…fool me twice…but hey players always succeed after being given second chances right? Looking ahead to the depth chart you have Kramer Robertson vying for the starting position with Greg Deichmann the likely candidate to slide over in case of a defensive shakeup. And then there’s JUCO transfer Cole Freeman who can play any position on the infield with seamless transition as it stands today depth will not be an issue at this spot.

Kramer Robertson’s had his fair shares of ups and downs while at LSU to say the least. After having hit .200 in 2014 and .232 in 2015 he’s been supplanted both seasons for a hotter bat in the lineup, both in season’s going in different directions. The way I’m looking at Robertson’s junior season these next few weeks will be the period he breaks out the gate quickly or finds himself being passed over for the younger prospects to start receiving reps and creating a name for themselves respectively. At second Kramer is an above average defender, not quite the range of a longer Jared Foster but a quicker first step which helps him. To be specific he joins an infield that will be exceptionally athletic and fast at every position and the most agile infield I’ve seen in quite some time in regards to LSU. Robertson’s arm is well above average this should be no surprise of a former quarterback from Midway high school in Waco; he’ll make all the routine throws with ease and has the strength to go behind the bag at second at any time. Speed is well above average, he has the chance to steal 20 bases this coming year working under Cannizaro. Mainieri is placing Robertson at the leadoff spot in one of those calculated risk moves that screams “you are the man for the job now or you aren’t at all”. Robertson’s ceiling for hitting will be average to slightly above average, he’s not a power threat with his frame although that’s nothing unusual. When Kramer is locked in you’ll see him spray the outfield gaps from center to right and honestly all LSU needs him to be is to show plate discipline and be a nuisance on the base paths.

Greg Deichmann and Cole Freeman both targeting starting spots on the infield can shuffle over to second base without hiccup as both have started the position in the past. Chris Reid is another freshman who may get a chance in this spot.

Second base in my eyes won’t be a weakness in 2016…I mean it doesn’t have to be, Kramer is more than capable with the bat his key will be displaying patience at the plate which has plagued him as an underclassman in college. To be fair when he got off to a slow start last year he wasn’t given another opportunity to redeem himself because frankly there were too many bats in the middle of that lineup. I feel confident in Robertson’s ability to be an above average defender and a serviceable bat in the lineup…at this point what choice does he have.

Power------35
Hitting------45
Speed------65
Fielding----60
Arm---------65

FINAL GRADE: 50
This post was edited on 2/7/16 at 5:06 pm
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
SHORTSTOP



Trey Dawson Fr.* 6'1 190lbs (10)
Kramer Robertson Jr. 5'10 165lbs (3)
Cole Freeman Jr. 5'9 170lbs (22)
Chris Reid Fr. 5'9 180lbs (17)

You don't just replace a guy like Alex Bregman; what he did in three years of collegiate ball was both fun to watch and a sincere treat to any baseball fan. Similar to Austin Nola and Alex Bregman a freshman by the name of Trey Dawson will be given the keys as a freshman not because he can hit but because Mainieri has full confidence in his glove defensively. Backing up Trey will be a combination of Kramer Robertson, Cole Freeman, and Chris Reid.

Trey Dawson the top high school baseball prospect out of the state of West Virginia in 2015 was drafted in the 32nd Round by the Detroit Tigers before turning down any offers and attending college. Dawson to date is purely a defensive minded shortstop and what I mean by that is the hitting and power haven't peaked to where he is defensively. MLB teams have wondered just how stiff his competition was in West Virginia and how his offensive game would translate into college. I hate comparing freshman to former LSU baseball players but you're essentially getting an Austin Nola...well above average defender, great arm, smart kid, good base runner with room to grow in regards to power. Currently his defense is ready right now; actually it's exceptional for his age and he should be noted for coming out of high school as one of the premium defenders in his class. The arm is good to boot as well and will only get stronger as he works under professional strength and conditioning coaches and I think in years to come will be his best tool. With the bat the power numbers won't show up this year, he'll get stronger as time progresses although I wouldn't look for him to become a middle of the lineup type shortstop. I love the way he uses his hands at the plate and as it allows him to stay back in the batters box in a relaxed approach. Baseball is about repetition and the weaker out of conference schedule much like Deichmann will hopefully allow Dawson to adapt before SEC play. In pure speed he's slightly above average think 8-12 stolen bases range, he's more quick than a straight line runner. In summary the hitting will be the wild card here and anything around average to above average in year one will be icing on the cake for the Tigers lineup. I would have him in the 8 or 9 hole which is where he should start the year.

What I do love about this infield defensively is guys such as Kramer Robertson and Cole Freeman having the ability to slide over to shortstop at any given time period. Greg Deichmann if worst comes to worst could fill this role as well as Chris Reid who has been working out at multiple positions try to gauge where he's most comfortable.

Even though Dawson is polished in his defensive game I continue hearing people familiar with his game tell me after having split time between both basketball and baseball his entire high school career that he hasn't come close to his ceiling in the diamond. Trey is used to winning and it will serve him well as LSU fans expect no less. With all this in mind appreciate the effort he gives and talent he has knowing that he is only starting to blossom in a young career.

Power------35
Hitting------40
Speed------55
Fielding----65
Arm---------60

FINAL GRADE: 50
This post was edited on 2/4/16 at 8:32 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
THIRD BASE



Cole Freeman Jr.* 5'9 170lbs (22)
Chris Reid Fr. 5'9 180lbs (17)
O'Neal Lochridge Fr. 6'1 195lbs (9)

The reason Conner Hale was a mainstay in the lineup the last two years was in part because of above average defense, leadership, and the ability to hit in the middle of the order. I think Freeman while a totally different player can jump in and run with the job. You'll have Cole Freeman, O'Neal Lochridge, and Greg Deichmann as the depth at 3rd. Bryce Jordan in my opinion would be better suited at 1B if worst came to worst sliding Deichmann over.

Cole Freeman doesn't have that star tool that helps him stand out on the field and yet out of the Delgado trio he's the only one in the bunch that is in the hunt to start opening night. With a frame similar to Robertson I think Cole can and will do much of the same things defensively. A converted SS/2B Freeman has superb defensive skills and is incredibly savvy of the game which he's played his whole life. Now Cole wasn't a guy who was heavily recruited out of high school and now he's a probable starter for LSU, this gives you a sense of how much of a hard worker he always has been. I love his glove and the way he makes plays look like he's just going through the motions; his arm strength will translate when he changes positions. Speed will allow him the green light almost at all times. Although I don't view him as a power threat I get the feeling he and Fraley could contend for the lead in doubles this season. He's best with his line drive approach although he'll get streaky where everything coming off the bat is dead pull. And yet third base is the most intriguing position to me with two weeks left to go.

The reason, O'Neal Lochridge. In my opinion the most ready bat out of the freshman class, O'Neal has extremely strong lower body strength and grew up following LSU. His caveat is defensively he's just not to what Freeman is right now and for that I have to believe Mainieri is not going to recreate a 2010 situation at the hot corner. What I do see happening is O'Neal being given an opportunity here or there as well as DH where I think he can become a full time starter later in the year.

Although I've only listed two players at the position there won't be any extreme depth issues from a single injury if so one occurs. At the same time I hate to grade this position anything other than average until we see both Cole and O'Neal get more experienced as neither have taken a pitch in an LSU uniform. Still expect exciting things from both of these young men. Expect Freeman to bat anywhere from 7-9 at the beginning of the year, the only other spot I could see him in is replacing Robertson at leadoff.

Power------45
Hitting------55
Speed------60
Fielding----60
Arm---------60

FINAL GRADE: 50
This post was edited on 2/7/16 at 5:07 pm
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
OUTFIELD

Beau Jordan


Jake Fraley


Antoine Duplantis


Beau Jordan So.* 5’9 210lbs (24)
Jake Fraley Jr.* 6’0 190lbs (8)
Antoine Duplantis Fr.* 5’11 175lbs (20)
Cody Ducote Jr. 5’9 200lbs (5)
Brennan Breaux Fr. 6’0 170lbs (6)
Bryce Adams Jr. 6’4 210lbs (4)
Trent Forshag Fr. 5’8 190lbs (43)

Andrew Stevenson and Mark Laird exit stage right Jake Fraley enters center stage. I look at the outfield as a whole there’s definitely SEC talent although it’s a bit top heavy to an extent. For almost the entirety of spring ball Beau Jordan – LF, Jake Fraley – CF, and Antoine Duplantis – RF have been trotting out for the starters and barring any huge turn of events that’s what it’ll be vs Cincinnati. Backing up will be Brennan Breaux, Bryce Adams, Trent Forshag, and Cody Ducote. Cody Ducote the first reserve off the bench is presently injured with an off the field incident, I don’t think the coaching staff has a timetable yet.

Beau Jordan the probable starter in left is the quicker more athletic of the Jordan twins…don’t tell that to Bryce. This gets overplayed for good reason, the Jordan twins are ball players, as a coach you throw them out there without a worry. In Beau you’re going to get max effort he doesn’t have a big frame, unlimited power, or well above average speed and yet it doesn’t seem to make a difference. Beau’s bat is what I think he’s improved on the most, Mainieri has inserted smack dab in the heart of the order and he’s been contending to hold it for as long as he can. Beau’s day to day actions remind me of a senior in the field, he’s patient at the plate, makes the correct reads in the outfield, and uses “wreck less abandon” on the base paths. Hitting and power will both be slightly above average with his speed above average. Now if there’s a weakness to his game he doesn’t possess great range for an outfielder however that’s being masked by playing in a short left field. Expect to see Beau Jordan as a mainstay in the lineup and hit anywhere from 4-7 in the lineup.

Jake Fraley is the backbone of both the outfield and the lineup this year, as he goes the team will follow. After having played left field and almost to perfection Mainieri is allowing Jake the opportunity to play centerfield. A lot of coaches allow the best athletes to play centerfield and short stop because in theory they will have more opportunities to make plays. Jake Fraley along with Greg Deichmann is a solid 5 tool player right now and he is the top pro prospect in this current class. If the MLB draft was next week Fraley would go anywhere as high as the 2nd round, in laymen’s terms as long as Jake does not suffer an indefinite injury enjoy watching him this season. Jakes best tool is his speed, along with Deichmann and Duplantis they will form a three headed monster that will wreak havoc on the base paths. Hitting is above average to well above average. Jake’s power has curiously been absent in his collegiate career and at times he’ll yank one to the intiminator and you ask yourself why he can’t do this consistently. Glove is well above average with his arm slightly below make no mistake although his arm is a as strong as his lower bodies its nowhere near a liability. The three hole is where Fraley will hit and it’s going to depend on who can protect him in the cleanup hole that’s going to factor into having pitchers even battle with him.

Antoine Duplantis is currently slated to start in right and fortunately/unfortunately he is the freshman receiving the most headlines. Aaron Fitt from D1baseball.com even thinks Antoine will compete and win freshman of the year in the SEC award, if that were to happen it wouldn’t surprise a single coach in the LSU dugout the slightest. People are comparing Duplantis to Stevenson, it’s a good comparison but I like to think he’s his own player creating his own story. What you’ll get in Duplantis is exceptional speed in the outfield and a well above average glove and for this reason he’s not going to sit the bench. Any LSU fan can tell you the importance of an athletic outfield and what it takes away from your team with liabilities in the outfield (example-Stony Brook SR 2012).

Out of the backups look for Brennan Breaux to time as well as Bryce Adam’s in case of an emergency. Cody Ducote an excellent bat would have been the top backup at the spot but for now we don’t know the extent of his injury. As a whole this group is above average and will flash glove in the field with more power at the plate than in years past.

Jordan
Power------55
Hitting------60
Speed------60
Fielding----50
Arm---------55

Fraley
Power------60
Hitting------60
Speed------75
Fielding----70
Arm---------60

Duplantis
Power------45
Hitting------55
Speed------75
Fielding----65
Arm---------55

FINAL GRADE: 60
This post was edited on 2/6/16 at 9:06 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
DESIGNATED HITTER



Bryce Jordan So.* 5'9 215lbs (25)
O'Neal Lochridge Fr. 6'1 195lbs (9)
Bryce Adams Jr. 6'4 210lbs (4)
Jordan Romero 6'2 210lbs (28)
Brennan Breaux Fr. 6'0 170lbs (6)

Looking ahead DH will without a doubt be the biggest question mark. You basically have 4-5 guys all with different approaches at the plate you can mix and match to fit the teams needs with Bryce Jordan leading the way. I'll go over each and how I think they'll fit.

Bryce Jordan although suffering a leg injury in which he's continued wearing a brace for protective measurements has been making exceptional progress and will be ready to go opening night. Still with this being said I want to reserve my optimism until he runs full speed in a game situation. In Bryce Jordan you're getting another solid bat in the lineup, out of the Jordan's I think Bryce will show a tad more power this year while hitting is around the same. In terms of speed he's an above average runner although slightly less than his brother and with the leg injury I don't seem them pushing it for at least the first month. Look for Bryce to hit around 6 or 7 in the order as another power option behind Papierski.

O'Neal was moved from 3B to 2B 3 days ago and while this move was made an insurance in case Robertson falters at 2B I still think Lochridge will be a viable DH option early on in his career. With O'Neal you're getting an all around great bat who shows power to all fields because of his great hands. Lochridge as a freshman would be a solid bottom of the lineup type hitter who would outhit his spot in the order, again expect big things from this kid when he gets his chance. Out of these 5 players listed Lochridge has the highest ceiling and will be a starter somewhere on the field either this year or next.

Bryce Adams another power threat is a perfect DH option against power lefties. You're not going to get a ton out of his defense besides 1B and while he has struggled to put the ball in play at times his upside may be higher than anyone currently fighting for the DH spot at this present time. Look out for late game situations to have him pinch hit at the very least. Jordan Romero much like Adams is an experienced bat that will get a chance before the freshmen to prove his worth.

Brennan Beaux, Broddy Wofford, and Chris Reid all freshmen may be given an opportunity at DH. I expect the three of them to see late game actions for their respective positions they are currently backing up.

All in all the DH for now grades out as average with too many question marks that can't be answered until we see these kids play. Still there is experience at the position and room for Mainieri to mix and match in late game situations. I think Jordan and Lochridge will both see the most playing time and out of the group. You can the coaches are trying to get O'Neal on the field in some fashion whether it's DH or 2B as soon as possible. For now I'm predicting Bryce to hit in the 7 hole come opening night.

Jordan
Power------55
Hitting------60
Speed------55
Fielding----50
Arm---------50

FINAL GRADE: 50
This post was edited on 2/7/16 at 12:35 pm
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:32 am to
STARTING PITCHING

Alex Lange


Jared Poche


Riley Smith


Austin Bain


Alex Lange So. 6’3 200lbs (35)
Jared Poche Jr. 6’1 210lbs (16)
Riley Smith Jr. 6’2 190lbs (44)
Austin Bain So. 6’1 195lbs (18)

In what LSU will lack in the field it should more than makeup with the pitching staff in what may be the deepest staff as a whole Paul Mainieri has fielded as the head coach of the Tigers. The only pitcher to exit that logged any kind of significant innings as a part time starter was Jake Godfrey who struggled more times than not and finished the season with the second highest ERA on the staff. Under the highly respected Alan Dunn LSU returns both its Friday and Saturday night pitchers in Alex Lange and Jared Poche. Building depth as well as a strong #3 and #4 will be the main focal point moving forward, currently JUCO transfer Riley Smith and sophomore Austin Bain are heading that category.

Alex Lange is the next Coleman, Ranaudo, Gausman, Nola, he’s the current face of the program, and he’s a guy that you give the ball in a do or die situation with absolutely zero hesitation. Let’s not sugar coat this what Alex Lange did last year as a freshman in the SEC was not only remarkable it was almost video game esque. Exactly a year ago starting rotation desperately needed one of the freshmen to step up big and he shattered expectations. I think Alex should assume the role of the Friday night starter as in most cases you typically want your power arm to pitch the first game of a series. With Alex you’re getting a poised flame thrower who will consistently pop the mit 94-95mph by SEC play with his fastball hitting 96mph towards the later months of the season. What MLB teams are drooling over is the curve ball, a true 12-6 and the reason it works so well for him is the arm angle and release point. To the batter both come out within inches apart from each other and at the speed he throws it typically in the mid 80’s by the time the hitter recognizes the rotation there is nothing that can be done. The game he pitched against Cal State Fullerton in the elimination game of the College World Series from the 2nd inning on was almost comparable to that of clinic video…this all as a freshman. His changeup is improving and when he can consistently get it over the plate Lange will have every tool he needs to dominate on the collegiate level, it is not a coincidence the roll Alan Dunn has played in his extremely young career, the future is bright…very bright.

Jared Poche is as steady as they come; as a freshman he was thrown into the starting rotation to compete and hold down a spot which he did as a sophomore was thrown into the Friday night role and asked to carry the team and he did. If Poche gets the nod on Saturday’s you’re getting a plus #2 starter who can hit 92-93mph from the left side although he tends to sit around 89-90mph. Jared pitches almost exclusively to contact unlike Lange who is your prototypical strikeout flamethrower. Pitching behind a hard throwing righty with a deceptive lefty not only throws the opposing hitters timing off balance it gives them an entirely new arm angle to focus in on. While Poche has an above average fastball and well above average changeup what gives teams fits over the past two years is a curve ball that is blossoming and may be his second best pitch. At times Poche has been susceptible to running into an off game every couple of starts or a big inning although for the most part he’s been as consistent an arm as you could ask for. The now junior can mix and match off speed at any time in the count as well as anyone on the roster. Look for Poche to be a top 10 round draft pick if he puts up another solid campaign as a starter.

Riley Smith who may get the first crack at the Sunday spot is an outstanding JUCO transfer who was selected in the 31st round by the Pittsburgh Pirates in last year’s draft and will be a top draft prospect this year as well. Smith has a fluid delivery coming out of a 3/4 slot creating downhill run on his fastball that can consistently hit 93mph when he’s on. What he does have as well is an excellent slider which he has fine-tuned in junior college under Tom Arrington. I like that he has both the capacity to become a starter or a lockdown closer, but seeing the amount of depth returning for LSU both Dunn and Mainieri elected to try him as a starter and he hasn’t second guessed that decision yet. I do think Smith will get his opportunity to run with the Sunday job and maintain it as long as he’s effective. Like Jared Poche with a solid season as an LSU starter Smith will be taken in the top 10 rounds of the MLB draft.

Austin Bain will be a wildcard for this pitching staff. While at the moment LSU appears to be stockpiled with weekend starters it doesn’t need to be said that lack of fourth starter was a topic brought up to the coaching staff multiple times last June and an emphasis for 2016. Bain is another young electric arm who has pitched both as a starter and out of the pen. How fitting that “The Big Four” of Lange, Godfrey, Marshall, and Latz did not include this young man only to find him in a much bigger role than many anticipated due to his tremendous hard work. The fastball will sit 90-91mph with sink to it which is how he induces many ground ball outs, when he needs to he can run his fastball higher. The secondary pitches were a tad on the raw side coming out of high school; if he can develop at least one to be above average he’ll be a very solid fourth starter. Now after all of this where does he fit in the rotation? I think a sensible plan of action would be to groom Austin as the midweek starter with the likelihood he could assume the role of long relief in SEC play a job he excelled at more times than not as a true freshman. While midweek play is not as vital to a season’s success my reasoning for keeping Bain at that spot at least until SEC play would be to keep his pitching on a set schedule as well as give Dunn another option for the Sunday spot. As the season matures I do think Mainieri may try and groom a pitcher such as Caleb Gilbert or Cole McKay to be that fifth emergency starter, both young power throwing righties who will be starters at LSU before their careers are over. For now I will cover those two freshmen with the relievers.

As a unit this group is balanced with experience as well as potential and is one of the overwhelming strengths of the 2016 baseball roster. If it does indeed set up as Alex Lange-Friday, Jared Poche-Saturday, Riley Smith-Sunday, and Austin Bain-Midweek you’ll have 4 quality starters with the option of slowly working one to two of the freshmen in as Dunn deems fit. I could see Smith and Bain each be given the opportunity as to why they should be given the Sunday spot; however these situations tend to work themselves out.

Lange
Arm Strength---------70
Movement-------------70
Stamina----------------65
Control-----------------60

Poche
Arm Strength---------55
Movement-------------65
Stamina----------------60
Control-----------------65

Smith
Arm Strength---------65
Movement-------------60
Stamina----------------55
Control-----------------50

Bain
Arm Strength---------60
Movement-------------60
Stamina----------------50
Control-----------------50


FINAL GRADE: 70
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 9:18 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:33 am to
RELIEF PITCHING

Jesse Stallings


Parker Bugg


Hunter Newman


Doug Norman


Russell Reynolds


Jesse Stallings So. 6’2 200lbs (37)
Parker Bugg Jr. 6’6 220lbs (46)
Hunter Newman Jr. 6’3 190lbs (55)
Doug Norman So. 6’3 190lbs (21)
Russell Reynolds Jr. 6’2 195lbs (45)
Alden Cartwright So. 6’0 180lbs (32)
Jake Latz RFr. 6'2 195lbs (67)
John Valek III Sr. 6'0 175lbs (27)
Collin Strall Jr. 5’10 180lbs (30)
Hunter Devall Sr. 5’8 180lbs (12)
Cole McKay Fr. 6'5 230lbs (33)
Caleb Gilbert Fr. 6'2 180lbs (41)

The bullpen will lose Kyle Bouman and Zac Person but return every other arm from a year ago. Similar to the starting rotation the bullpen will be a major strength of the team. As important as having numerous quality arms is this should show the effort Mainieri and Dunn put in to make deep runs in Omaha these next few years. As far as pitching goes so do teams deep in the year. Looking at the bullpen Parker Bugg, Hunter Newman, Jessie Stallings, Alden Cartwright, Doug Norman, Russell Reynolds, Colin Strall, Hunter Devall, and Jake Latz return while John Valek III, Cole McKay, and Caleb Gilbert will appear in a Tiger uniform for the first time. I will list the guys in no particular order.

Jesse Stallings returns as a redshirt sophomore and one of the liveliest arms with outstanding velocity who tend to run into trouble last year in SEC with his inability to get an off speed consistently for a strike. A year later it is still unclear in what specific spot Mainieri plans for the power arm although it is evident he needed an offseason refining the off speed pitches. Don’t count Stallings out, this will be an extremely important arm for LSU.

Parker Bugg will be the utility man this season. After having pitched in almost any situation you can think of in his freshman and sophomore years Parker is both a very poised and imposing figure on the mound. His velocity is only average but can mix and match speed as well as location at any time. What you’ll get in Bugg is a lockdown arm who can come in as setup or closer.

Hunter Newman was the outstanding freshman arm that was sidelined in 2014 and for the most part was a complete unknown going into 2015. After having the lowest ERA on the team a season ago in relief appearances it became apparent Newman was that fire stopper in big time situations, I don’t look for this to change. Expect to see Newman in that same situation where he could be called upon for 1 innings stints multiple times a weekend.

Doug Norman was a part of the talented freshman pitching crop a season ago and for a couple weeks got off to a slow start before etching a role. With his funky delivery and release he makes an excellent option to bring out the pen for 2-3 innings as he faces the order one time through. What I love about Doug is he can give you an inning and stretch it to four if need be, as one of the more powerful arms in the bullpen his role will expand in 2016.

Russell Reynolds the other outstanding freshman injured in 2014 came back a season ago and put up good numbers when his he had control of his pitches. When he’s on he becomes an instant setup man/closer. He’s much like Newman to an extent that you’ll be able to use at any time period or situation.

Alden Cartwright to me this season will be a situational fire stopper, think of someone who will come in to get 1-2 guys out when playing matchups. With an above average curve ball and life on his fastball he’s a perfect candidate see multiple appearances in a weekend and is another important piece of the puzzle.

Jake Latz one of the prized recruits of the 2014 class and highest drafted player to turn down a pro contract a year ago hopes to make a return early to mid-April. Although he has run into arm soreness and setbacks over the past year and a half he’s nearing the tossing stages of rehab in the next couple of weeks and is optimistic he will be at full speed by tournament time. The added depth and firepower to the already loaded pitching staff would be big if and when Latz returns. When Latz is at his best he’ll sit at 91mph from the left side with a great changeup, look for him to remain a relief man at least in 2016.

John Valek III the senior transfer from Akron is a bit of an unknown to me currently on where the coaches deem fit. As Akron’s Friday night starter a year ago he has the ability to stretch innings and for that reason I like him in a long reliever role. Now John doesn’t have great velocity but he pounds every inch of the zone and has been one of the shining stars in spring ball.

Colin Strall and Hunter Devall both add depth to the bullpen both from the right hander as a side winder and from the left side respectively. Look for both to see multiple appearances in midweek games as well as to eat up innings in mop up duty.

Cole McKay was the highest rated prospect from the 2015 class to attend LSU and was approached by multiple teams in the top 10 rounds before declining each respectively. I see Cole as your typical power arm who in a year or two with more refined pitches can be very very good and apart of the weekend rotation. As it sits right now he’ll slowly work his way into playing time as he fine tunes both his curve ball and slider. He’s not as polished as Alex Lange coming out of high school but he has an extremely similar ceiling and with the frame he has can push his velocity in the upper 90’s over the next couple of springs.

Caleb Gilbert may be my favorite freshman who has continued to impress every outing he has been put in during both the fall and spring ball, his poise allows him to go after hitters when typically young arms tend to shy away. If I had one pick of a player from this group to become a midweek starter I could see Caleb taking over the role if Bain or Smith is moved to the pen. Expect to see a lot out of him early in the year.

Nick Bush a freshman arm from the left side is out indefinitely with Tommy John Surgery.

I don’t want to utter the phrase there are too many arms on this staff…because there is no such thing nonetheless the depth will be outstanding in a year it will be desperately needed. Now while Mainieri hasn’t made any final decisions on how he’s going to piece together his bullpen it will slowly show itself. I think guys such as Doug Norman, John Valek III, Cole McKay, and Caleb Gilbert will fit into some form of long relief. Then you have Alden Cartwright, Hunter Newman, and Russell Reynolds as inning stoppers. Colin Strall and Hunter Devall would be hitter by hitter situational pieces as well as serve mop up duty. That leaves you with both setup man and closer which I still think Parker Bugg and Jesse Stallings hold the edge for. Don’t be surprised to see a guy like Reynolds or Norman be given an audition here as well. When Latz returns I see him fitting into a setup/inning type of relief depending on how he velocity matures. In summary I think this bullpen is very deep with large quantity of still young arms that will get the job done more times than not. Because LSU does not have a true no doubt closer heading into the year I can’t grade them as high as the starters but I look for Dunn to etch that out sooner rather than later.

GRADES ARE FOUND IN BELOW POST
This post was edited on 2/9/16 at 9:56 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:33 am to
Relief Pitching Grades (Top 5 out of the pen)

Stallings
Arm Strength---------65
Movement-------------50
Stamina----------------50
Control------------------55

Bugg
Arm Strength---------50
Movement-------------65
Stamina----------------50
Control------------------60

Newman
Arm Strength---------55
Movement-------------60
Stamina----------------55
Control------------------60

Norman
Arm Strength---------60
Movement-------------55
Stamina----------------55
Control------------------65

Reynolds
Arm Strength---------60
Movement-------------60
Stamina----------------55
Control------------------50

FINAL GRADE: 65

____________________________________________________

PRO PROSPECTS

2016 CLASS

1 Jake Fraley CF JR
2 Riley Smith RHP JR
3 Jared Poche LHP JR
4 Hunter Newman RHP JR
5 Rusell Reynolds RHP JR
6 Parker Bugg RHP JR
7 Greg Deichmann 2B SO (Birthday)
8 Jesse Stallings RHP SO (Redshirt)
9 Austin Bain RHP SO (Birthday)
10 John Valek III LHP SR


2017 CLASS

1 Alex Lange RHP SO
2 Jake Latz LHP FR (Redshirt)
3 Mike Papierski C SO
4 Doug Norman RHP SO

2018 CLASS

1 Cole McKay RHP FR
2 O'Neal Lochridge 2B FR
3 Trey Dawson SS FR
4 Caleb Gilbert RHP FR
5 Antoine Duplantis CF FR

___________________________________________________

SEC EAST
1 Florida 22-8
2 Vanderbilt 18-12
3 South Carolina 16-14
4 Missouri 14-16
5 Kentucky 14-16
6 Tennesee 13-17
7 Georgia 11-19

SEC WEST
1 Texas A&M 19-11
2 Arkansas 17-13
3 LSU 16-14
4 Mississippi St. 14-16
5 Ole Miss 13-17
6 Alabama 12-18
7 Auburn 9-21

SEC Regular Season Champion-Florida
SEC Tournament Champion-Vanderbilt
This post was edited on 2/10/16 at 12:21 pm
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22155 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:37 am to
Posted by ColeLSU
Member since Jul 2008
5856 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:42 am to
O boi, here we go!
Posted by LSUSoulja08
Member since Oct 2007
16969 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:46 am to






Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85035 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 7:59 am to
So the grade isn't for the whole position this year?
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 8:03 am to
quote:

So the grade isn't for the whole position this year?



quote:

-At the end of each position is a final grade based on the entire unit as a whole.


My man...reading comprehension
Posted by MegaTiger3
League City, TX
Member since Jan 2014
2141 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 8:04 am to
Can't wait for this baseball season
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85035 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 8:05 am to
We had this same exact argument last year. I thought the laughing emote would help convey the sarcasm.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 8:05 am to
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18963 posts
Posted on 2/1/16 at 8:05 am to
Dammit throw in a winky face next time
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