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Missouri in the 10th

Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:30 am
Posted by a_n_d_y
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2014
122 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:30 am
Why didn't Missouri walk Fraley to load the bases?
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68316 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:32 am to
There was nobody out, a double play wasn't in order so walking Fraley only sets up your odds worse because now a walk ends the game.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56010 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:32 am to
they didn't want to face Chinea one of LSUs best hitters, you strike Fraley out or get him to ground out, you walk Chinea and face the 8 and 9 hitters in LSUs lineup.
Posted by FalseProphet
Mecca
Member since Dec 2011
11707 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:32 am to
BRB. I'll go call Missouri's head coach and let you know his thought process.
Posted by LSUTygerFan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
33232 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:33 am to
they were tired and were ready to get out of Baton Rouge.
Posted by dagrippa
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
11292 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:35 am to
Yea, when Scv doubled with no outs, Mizzou's head was in the guillotine.
Posted by Jay Quest
Once removed from Massachusetts
Member since Nov 2009
9801 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:36 am to
That would have been the right move. Missouri had a right hander on the mound and that favored left handed hitting Fraley. A slow running Chinea was on deck.
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
73144 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:37 am to
go look at the stats on runs scoring with no one out and the bases loaded versus no one out and runners on 2nd and 3rd

expected runs go up like 25% if you load the bases, presumably in part because a walk now scores a run
This post was edited on 5/11/15 at 9:38 am
Posted by crewdepoo
Hogwarts
Member since Jan 2015
9597 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:40 am to
Also Fraley has one of the lower averages on the team
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96012 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:42 am to
yeah i really think they were trying to get fraley on a strikeout or groundout with the infield in and then would have walked chinea.
Posted by OneMoreTime
Florida Gulf Coast Fan
Member since Dec 2008
61834 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:43 am to
We had no outs and Fraley hasn't been swinging the bat nearly as well as chinea. We made a similar move in the top of the 10th (although Missouri had guys on 1st and 3rd with no outs as opposed to our 2nd and 3rd). And we got a ground out, intentional walk, and then a dp. I think they made the correct call by pitching to fraley, even though it didn't work out.
Posted by White Shadeaux
In the nicest parts of hell
Member since Jan 2006
24114 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:46 am to
I can't believe people need to ask this question.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61822 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:47 am to
quote:

they didn't want to face Chinea one of LSUs best hitters, you strike Fraley out or get him to ground out, you walk Chinea and face the 8 and 9 hitters in LSUs lineup.



/thread



Well done, CTF
Posted by civiltiger07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
14031 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:51 am to
Pitching to Fraley is much better than pitching to Chinea with bases juiced and no outs. Fraley had two ground ball hits all weekend if I remember right
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
73044 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:54 am to
Yeah, it's all about playing the percentages. Missouri was in a bad spot regardless with runners on 2nd and 3rd and no outs, but pitching to Fraley was still a better play than walking him and facing Chinea with the bases loaded. Neither was a great option, but Missouri made the right call, just didn't work out.
This post was edited on 5/11/15 at 9:55 am
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96012 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:59 am to
The worst play of the inning was Scivicque almost getting thrown out at second. But i'll cut him a bit of slack since he had a huge hit.
Posted by Holden Caulfield
Hanging with J.D.
Member since May 2008
8308 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:59 am to
Its all a crap shoot and Tim jamieson lost this one. I would have walked Fraley and set up a force at home and a righthand on righthand pitching/hitting situation with Chinea.

Tim picked his posion with Fraley
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56010 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 10:01 am to
quote:

The worst play of the inning was Scivicque almost getting thrown out at second. But i'll cut him a bit of slack since he had a huge hit.



yeah that was stupid, everyone was excited and I was like WTF are you doing Kade stay at first
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 10:01 am to
quote:

expected runs go up like 25% if you load the bases, presumably in part because a walk now scores a run



And because there is another runner on base...
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68316 posts
Posted on 5/11/15 at 10:03 am to
quote:

The worst play of the inning was Scivicque almost getting thrown out at second. But i'll cut him a bit of slack since he had a huge hit.


Yeah I was yelling at the tv when that was happening thinking WTF are you doing you aren't important. 1 out with a runner at 3rd just sets up the DP when you walk Fraley then have the slow moving Chinea up to bat
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