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LSU (21-8, 10-6) vs Tennessee (14-14, 6-10) - Wed 6:00 - PMAC - SECN

Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:12 am
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:12 am


Who: LSU Tigers (21-8, 10-6) vs Tennessee Volunteers (14-14, 6-10)
When: Wednesday, March 4 - 6:00pm
Where: PMAC (13,215 - 45th NCAA) Baton Rouge, LA
How:
***TV: SECN
***Radio: 98.1FM
***Stream: SECN+ via ESPN3.com

On February 14th LSU headed to Knoxville to take on Tennessee in the first game after a hard-fought loss to Kentucky. While many were looking for some kind of hangover, the Tigers came out and played one of their best first halves of the season leading 47-20 at the half. The Volunteers have yet to win a game since that beat down by LSU.

Tennessee runs a zone that forces teams to shoot from outside. In their previous meeting, LSU made 9 of 19 three's to soften up the Vol zone, but if shots don't fall this time around, LSU will have to find ways to score. They'll also have to find ways to stop Josh Richardson, Tennessee's do-everything man. The 6'6" PG has a game very few people can stop, and Tim Quarterman will likely get the nod to try his best this go around.



While Tennessee isn't particularly tall down low, Tennessee uses a lot of length on the perimeter to make their zone tough to pass through. They are 16th in the country in turnover % defense, forcing turnovers in over 23% of opponents possessions.

Offensively they play patient. They are by far the slowest paced team in the conference averaging only 60.9 possessions per game (LSU averages 70.6). It will be interesting to see what kind of pace this one has.

With Selection Sunday only one and a half weeks away, LSU cannot afford to lose this game. It is imperative that LSU comes out with intensity and drive to get a big win here. Currently, LSU is being seeded anywhere between 6 and 11 with the average being a mid 9 seed, however, losing to Tennessee and Arkansas moving forward could be catastrophic to the Tigers NCAA Tournament aspirations. According to playoffstatus.com, LSU has a 99% chance of making the NCAA tournament if the season ended today, yet less than a 1% chance if they lose their remaining 3 games. That number will drastically increase with a win Wednesday night.

Matchup to Watch:
It's not very often that you find a matchup between two 6'6" PGs, especially in college basketball, but Richardson and Quarterman will be a very exciting matchup in this game. For Tennessee to win, Richardson has to be his best both at scoring and distributing. If Quarterman can pester him defensively, LSU could all but lock up the game with a solid offensive outing.

Keys to the Game:
Defensive Intensity - LSU has had an issue keeping the defensive intensity up when playing against the lower teams in the conference. Hopefully the Tigers have turned a corner on this front, but if it sneaks it's head back into this game, it could be trouble.

Turnovers - LSU has been much better lately, and they only turned the ball over 10.5 times per contest last week. Tennessee likes to force turnovers so LSU has to have crisp passes and stay under control.

Rebound - Lately, Jordan Mickey has not been the rebounding machine he was early in the year. Jarell Martin has picked up the slack, but if both have an off night, Tennessee could take advantage of offensive boards. LSU has the better team, so they cannot allow mental errors like not boxing out to let Tennessee stay in this one.

Prediction:
LSU 70, Tennessee 55
This post was edited on 3/3/15 at 9:54 am
Posted by stonedbegonias
Member since Jan 2010
11580 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Prediction:
LSU 70, Tennessee 55



This post was edited on 3/3/15 at 9:22 am
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
25946 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:21 am to
quote:

yet less than a 1% chance if they lose their remaining 3 games. That number will drastically increase with a win Wednesday night.


Paging Burgeman
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:22 am to
South, whats your take on Mickey's recent struggles?
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202891 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:24 am to
This is the game where the 2nd season really starts.. An important win for sure and a win that WILL put LSU in the dance.....

Tey should be able to take advantadge of size like they did in the 1st meeting. I doubt they come out on fire like they did at enn, but focus on beating them up down low... Tenn has noting t lose in this game and will come out loose and want to play spoilers....
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:25 am to
quote:

South, whats your take on Mickey's recent struggles?


I'm not sure. I think it all starts with rebounding. He hasn't been getting his boards and I think it has forced him to try too hard to be an offensive presence. He is best as a guy who gets rebounds and blocks and finishes easy buckets or open 15 foot jumpers.

He has gotten frustrated and tried to do too much. I don't like him posted up one on one nearly as much as I like Martin doing the same thing.

He has to be more aggressive on the glass though to get rebounds both offensive and defensive.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
57681 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:25 am to
quote:

South, whats your take on Mickey's recent struggles?


Teams are double and tripling him and forcing him to try to dribble/pass which he can't do well, leading to turnovers. That plus his lack of strength, makes it hard for him to get his easy baskets. He can't back down bigger forwards in the post like he was earlier in the season against inferior opponents
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
40926 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:29 am to
Win and they are definitely in.
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
73160 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:30 am to
Not to be forgotten in all the NCAA talk is the fact that a double bye in the SEC Tournament is still in play for us. We win this, and we go to Fayetteville with a top 4 seed on the line.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Not to be forgotten in all the NCAA talk is the fact that a double bye in the SEC Tournament is still in play for us. We win this, and we go to Fayetteville with a top 4 seed on the line.


I hate to root for Bama in anything, but we really need Bama to beat Ole Miss tonight. LSU could lock up the 4 seed tomorrow if Bama beats Ole Miss (and UK beats UGA).
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96013 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:36 am to
Not even worried about the 4 seed. We're going to be the 2 seed.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:37 am to
You think USC can beat Arkansas?

Would make for an epic Saturday game...

This post was edited on 3/3/15 at 9:38 am
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96013 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:37 am to
They'll beat them by 20.
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
73160 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:39 am to
That's true, it'd be nice to lock it up sooner and not have any pressure at Arkansas. I hate to root for Bama and Kentucky though...
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:41 am to
We would also need Texas A&M to lose to Florida AND Bama... I don't see it. I could see us getting 3rd with Texas A&M getting 2nd.
This post was edited on 3/3/15 at 9:42 am
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96013 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:42 am to
well no shite man. i wasnt being serious.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:43 am to
Honestly, 3rd isn't out of the picture with it being

UK
Texas AM
LSU
Ark

USC is favored over Ark in KenPom... Then it would just take us winning our last two.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22148 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:44 am to
I originally thought that the Ole Miss game would be the key to LSU's tourney bid. In hindsight, UT is the type of team that LSU has struggled with all season. With LSU coming off a big win, JJ needs to find a way to get his team re-focused - something his has continually struggled with in the past.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96013 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:46 am to
Not really. UT matches up terribly with LSU. We smoked them in knoxville, we'll win by 10+ at home.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 3/3/15 at 9:49 am to
The great thing about winning, is the key game is always the next one.

With each win, the next one becomes more and more important. It makes for a riveting end to the season.
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