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re: Les Miles projections - wins, losses, final season
Posted on 10/11/13 at 4:41 pm to PeaRidgeWatash
Posted on 10/11/13 at 4:41 pm to PeaRidgeWatash
quote:
I don't think Les will have that many losses by the time he reaches 138.
And I agree - I was doing modest projections (for which many think he will be fired) - that he will reach 138 well before 42 losses, and probably before 40 losses.
If he's indeed 95-24 at the end of this season, it would not be a huge stretch for him to be 138-34 at the end of the 2017 season (he went 43-10 from 2009-2012, inclusive, and 42-11 from 2005 through 2008, inclusive).
Even if he misses 138 by a game or two at the end of 2017, he's likely to still be in the mid to upper 30s, losses wise, when he reaches 138 wins - but my 40 to 42 assumed more modest production, and perhaps another season like 2008.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 4:52 pm to Ace Midnight
the amount of suttle attempts to troll in this thread by you are ridiculous, i know you won't admit it but its pretty obvious
This post was edited on 10/11/13 at 4:54 pm
Posted on 10/11/13 at 4:58 pm to Ignignot
quote:
the amount of suttle attempts to troll in this thread by you are ridiculous, i know you won't admit it but its pretty obvious
Subtle, but whatever.
I apologized for it getting off track.
What do you think about Miles becoming LSU's all time win leader? Is it possible without another national championship? Is it possible if he only wins 9 games per year?
Posted on 10/11/13 at 5:06 pm to Ace Midnight
quote:
What do you think about Miles becoming LSU's all time win leader? Is it possible without another national championship? Is it possible if he only wins 9 games per year?
He'd never survive that,IMO.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 5:57 pm to Ace Midnight
You do not understand. This is not Chollie Mack's team. The expectations are way, way higher. He has got to win the SEC which means he must beat Saban and the Gumps. Period. If LSU loses to TAMU and 'Bama this year, there will be a lot of discord in Tiger Nation.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 6:13 pm to White Tiger
quote:
White Tiger
who do you think we could get to replace him?
lets play this game after 08, who did you want that has won more than lm since 08?
i'm waiting.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 8:00 pm to Ace Midnight
Doesn't his contract run through 2017? So your saying he will sign another extension but not complete it? I think with the current administrations attitude toward championships Miles will be here as long as he wants. Winning Championships is not a stated goal of the administration. Being in the hunt is. So if he finishes 9-4 or 8-5 each year from here on out and is in the "hunt" for an SEC Championship, he is golden here. When Alleva said it is not about winning Championships but about being in the hunt for them, Miles seat was assured of never getting warm as long as he wins 8 games.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 8:01 pm to White Tiger
Wrong!! He has got to be in the hunt for the SEC Championship, not win it. That is the stated goal by his boss, remember?
Posted on 10/11/13 at 8:09 pm to DIGGY
]8-5 9-4 isn't being in the hunt. Especially with an extra 10000 tickets to sell.
This post was edited on 10/11/13 at 8:10 pm
Posted on 10/11/13 at 8:45 pm to PeaRidgeWatash
That's the problem in a nutshell. Alleva never clarified what being in the hunt means. We are in the hunt this year and according to some in this board could lose 3 or more additional games. But at one time in the middle of the season we were in the hunt.
Posted on 10/11/13 at 9:02 pm to Ace Midnight
quote:
Les Miles projections - wins, losses, final season Posted by Ace Midnight on 10/11 at 3:20 pm We are at the mid-point of 2013. Assuming LSU has no problems with Furman, and takes 3/5 of the remaining conference games, that is a 9-3 regular season, and a likely mid-tier bowl. With Les' recent history, I can't assume the bowl win, but I spot him that. So, it looks like a 10-win season, and he'll be 95-24 (just a sliver under 80%) at the conclusion of 2013. That will also leave him just 42 wins short of tying (43 short of surpassing) Charles McClendon's 137 wins. At a modest rate of 9 wins per year, that puts Miles as the winningest LSU coach sometime in the middle of 2018 - and, he will have something like 40 to 42 losses to go with that, whereas Mac lost 59 (and tied 7). He's already at 80%, far in excess of any long-tenured LSU coach. Assuming that holds, I actually see him retiring at the end of the 2018 season. He'll turn 65 and probably start to have a few grandchildren popping up. Of course, that kind of money will be hard to walk away from, but I don't see him as the kind of guy who is driven by money. I also see him retiring in and around Baton Rouge, unless family issues drive a move. Thoughts? This post was edited on 10/11 at 3:32 pm Reply • Options • Back to Top
I think LSU will average 10 wins over the next five seasons
I expect LSU to win 4 of the last 5 this year. Calling the loss vs A&M. You can call me crazy, but I feel more confident about beating Bama than I so Florida. And I'm fairly confident about beating Florida.
In six of the last seven meetings (with of course the huge exception) LSU has outplayed Bama.
I see A&M declining next year with Manzeil gone for sure and Sumlin possibly gone.
So ill put us an average of 10-2 regular seasons the next five years. Say we get to two SEC-c and go 1-1, and five bowls and go 3-2. That's 54 wins
Unless he wins a national championship in 2018, I think he'll coach till age 67 or 68
Posted on 10/11/13 at 9:13 pm to lsusa
What if he does as many on here say could happen and loses 3 more games this year and struggles next year?? He will then have only 3 years on his contract. Do you extend him for recruiting stability?? Do you let him roll through 2017 then change?? Could really be interesting if that plays out.
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