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Hypothetically, why can't LSU make it to the big game?
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:55 am
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:55 am
Obviously, LSU will never get to the BCSNC game. What if every possibly scenario happened that would move LSU into the number 2 spot in the polls?
It sounds like it is impossible for LSU to get there, but sitting at #7, is it really?
Let's say TCU beats K-State. K-State to 6 or 7, LSU up to 6
Stanford/Oregon State upsets Oregon. Oregon to 6 or 7, LSU to 5
USC beats ND. ND to 6 or 7, LSU to 4
Florida State beats Florida. LSU to 3
Alabama beats Georgia. LSU to 2
While I know this is 99.99% unlikely to happen, but if this was the scenario (also assuming there is still time for upsets from other teams), would LSU still have a chance to get into the national championship game?
Watching BCS countdown last night, it felt that LSU had 0% chance to make it even with the previous scenarios playing out. Am I missing something with how the National Championship teams are picked?
It sounds like it is impossible for LSU to get there, but sitting at #7, is it really?
Let's say TCU beats K-State. K-State to 6 or 7, LSU up to 6
Stanford/Oregon State upsets Oregon. Oregon to 6 or 7, LSU to 5
USC beats ND. ND to 6 or 7, LSU to 4
Florida State beats Florida. LSU to 3
Alabama beats Georgia. LSU to 2
While I know this is 99.99% unlikely to happen, but if this was the scenario (also assuming there is still time for upsets from other teams), would LSU still have a chance to get into the national championship game?
Watching BCS countdown last night, it felt that LSU had 0% chance to make it even with the previous scenarios playing out. Am I missing something with how the National Championship teams are picked?
13
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:57 am to 1MileTiger
You answered your question yourself.
Yes, if everything were to happen LSU could still make it 2007 style. Very unlikely, but possible nonetheless.
Yes, if everything were to happen LSU could still make it 2007 style. Very unlikely, but possible nonetheless.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:57 am to 1MileTiger
That's what I asked, it'd be complete chaos, but when it comes down to it.
Does a 2-loss SEC team (where both losses come to top-10 opponents) get in over a 1-loss AQ? I'm not sure
But it doesn't matter because this requires a lot to go right, and somewhere in that chain it will go against us this time.
Does a 2-loss SEC team (where both losses come to top-10 opponents) get in over a 1-loss AQ? I'm not sure
But it doesn't matter because this requires a lot to go right, and somewhere in that chain it will go against us this time.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:57 am to PurpleAndGold86
Ok, I wasn't sure if it was impossible or improbable.
There is a big difference.
There is a big difference.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:58 am to 1MileTiger
you forgot Miles joining the gameday panel and begging for a rematch
Posted on 11/5/12 at 10:58 am to 1MileTiger
Of course it will go against us. I guess my question was does the BCSNC game take #1 and #2, or is there another method of selecting the two teams.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:00 am to 1MileTiger
I was thinking about it last night and it is certainly possible.
Colin Klein got hurt against OSU and didnt return about halfway through the third quarter? Does he miss a game or two? If so they lose one.
Oregon still has 3 tough games. Stanford, OSU, and Pac 12 Championship. They could lose.
ND will lose a game. They just aren't that great of a football team. UGA will lose to Bama in the SEC Championship.
Florida could certainly lose to FSU in that game.
Rematch baby!
Colin Klein got hurt against OSU and didnt return about halfway through the third quarter? Does he miss a game or two? If so they lose one.
Oregon still has 3 tough games. Stanford, OSU, and Pac 12 Championship. They could lose.
ND will lose a game. They just aren't that great of a football team. UGA will lose to Bama in the SEC Championship.
Florida could certainly lose to FSU in that game.
Rematch baby!
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:01 am to 1MileTiger
we are a 2 loss team, the others would be one loss for the most part. human voters would most likely keep them above us.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:03 am to 1MileTiger
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:03 am to 1MileTiger
I just don't know for sure if we'd be ahead of all three of those one-loss teams even after they lose their first game.
Probably Notre Dame, but I'm not sure about the other two.
Cal has given Oregon trouble the last two years, even though they have been bad each of those seasons. Oregon losing to Cal, and Kansas State losing to TCU would probably do the trick.
It's pretty much impossible though.
Probably Notre Dame, but I'm not sure about the other two.
Cal has given Oregon trouble the last two years, even though they have been bad each of those seasons. Oregon losing to Cal, and Kansas State losing to TCU would probably do the trick.
It's pretty much impossible though.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:03 am to 1MileTiger
Impossible? No.
Improbable? Yes.
It was possible but highly improbably in 2007 and we know how that turned out.
If I remember correctly, we jumped from #7 ranking all the way up to #2 after beating Tennessee in Atlanta.
So yeah it's improbably, but crazier things have happened.
Improbable? Yes.
It was possible but highly improbably in 2007 and we know how that turned out.
If I remember correctly, we jumped from #7 ranking all the way up to #2 after beating Tennessee in Atlanta.
So yeah it's improbably, but crazier things have happened.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:05 am to PurpleAndGold86
voters wont let it happen again. They will put a 1 loss over LSU, unless everyone else also has 2 losses. i doubt that happens
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:05 am to Hermit Crab
quote:
the others would be one loss for the most part. human voters would most likely keep them above us.
Not if they lose to an unranked team, ala Florida State and USC...if ND loses to Wake Forest for example, they are gone.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:05 am to BayouBengals03
We'd also probably need Florida to lose to Florida State. Otherwise we definitely get stuck behind them should they have 1 loss and we have 2. But yea if those losses happen it's possible, just not likely
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:06 am to 1MileTiger
What would happen in the MNC game if a 13-0 Alabama lost to a 10-2 LSU? You'd award the trophy to the 11-2 team over the 13-1 team?
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:06 am to AlexLSU
AlexLSU
I see what you did there.
I see what you did there.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:07 am to AlexLSU
quote:
You'd award the trophy to the 11-2 team over the 13-1 team?
Well if that was the matchup, then yes.
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:07 am to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
ND will lose a game. They just aren't that great of a football team.
Who? They have 3 games left.
2-7 Boston
5-4 Wake
6-3 USC.
Obviously USC is their toughest game, but USC isn't what USC was preseason. Notre Dame is beatable but I don't think that's going to happen until their bowl game.
This post was edited on 11/5/12 at 11:09 am
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:07 am to 1MileTiger
Anybody remember 2007...?
Posted on 11/5/12 at 11:07 am to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Not if they lose to an unranked team,
bullshite. After the rest of the country cried about the SEC lockdown in the title game last year, there's zero chance it happens again if they can stick someone else in there.
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