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Hypothetical dilemma for Miles in Dec/Jan

Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:16 pm
Posted by therocketscientist
too far away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2007
5010 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:16 pm
Let's say Miles gets the Tigers back on track, and LSU beats 1 out of 2 of Florida or Alabama, and then wins the rest of the games except for one, going 10-2 in the regular season, and then wins a New Years Day Bowl game to finish the season 11-2.

Meanwhile, Michigan loses to Ohio State and wins a total of 7 games or less.

Under this hypothetical scenario, Michigan goes after Miles during the whole month of December, ESPN once again claims that "Miles-to-Michigan" is a done deal, and Michigan is rightful for luring him under this hypothetical scenario,

What are the odds under this scenario that Miles bolts to Michigan to save his Alma Mater?

A) <25% ?
B) 25-50% ?
C) 51-75% ?
D) >= 75% ?

What do you all think?

This is actually a very realistic scenario, moreso than many Ranters will agree...Miles would have turned down Michigan once, watched his Alma Mater disgress further, would have encoutered the fireMiles mantra for 2-3 years, and would have regained his stature as a strong national coach with 11 wins in 2010.



This post was edited on 8/27/10 at 9:19 pm
Posted by graychef
Member since Jun 2008
28340 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:19 pm to
Who's to say that Michigan would go after Miles? There is a guy at Stanford who is probably a hotter commodity than Miles right now. If Miles can turn things around, he may gain momentum.

To answer your question: B, but closer to 30%
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22767 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:20 pm to
It would be quite the switch o roo..........Miles to Michigan.........In comes Harbaugh another Michigan Alum.
Posted by jlsutiger
Member since Nov 2004
3523 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

This is actually a very realistic scenario
sorry, nothing about LSU going 11-2 this year is realistic.
Posted by Duckie
Tippy Toe, Louisiana
Member since Apr 2010
24314 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:29 pm to
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
31956 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

sorry, nothing about LSU going 11-2 this year is realistic.


i knew there would be a dick in here somewhere



i say A
This post was edited on 8/27/10 at 9:30 pm
Posted by Brett425
West Monroe, La.
Member since Jun 2010
1758 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:29 pm to
b
Posted by Lacour
Member since Nov 2009
32949 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:32 pm to
I think D.

If he gets the chance to go "home" again, I don't think he would turn it down.

I wouldn't.
Posted by LSUinMA
Commerce, Texas
Member since Nov 2008
4776 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

disgress



Posted by Lacour
Member since Nov 2009
32949 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:40 pm to
Que?
Posted by HooDooWitch
TD Bronze member
Member since Sep 2009
10269 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:43 pm to
D, It would be a win win for everyone. If it happens I'll help him load the truck.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21663 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:46 pm to
If he's actually offered the job, I don't see him turning it down unless LSU is coming off another national championship, and even then I'm not sure he'd turn it down.
Posted by Dead Fish
In the swamps
Member since Mar 2010
1586 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 9:53 pm to
Personally, I would hope Miles takes the Michigan job. Nevertheless, how does anyone know he wants to go back to Michigan? I mean Michigan is one pretty fricked up and depressed state today. Not to mention that it gets pretty fricking cold up there.
Posted by ottothewise
Member since Sep 2008
32094 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 10:10 pm to
you need to make percentages for Harbaugh.

he has Stanford in the top ten of national recruiting as of this second, for 2011.

Stanford requires national recruiting although they are in a good but not great recruiting area. Mich requires national recruiting.

LSU does not require national recruiting as Louisiana contains a FEW of the concentrations of football players on a par with any anywhere. BR. NO. West Monroe, Shreve.Bossier and the cajun parishes from LC, to Plaquemines. LA is much better recruiting than Mich, even though MIch has 3 times the people.
And while Mich goes to Ohio for half its roster, LSU goes to Tex and the gulf states for many.


I will go with 30% in your Miles scenario, but 40% for Harbaugh if he is 9-3 in the PAC 10, at a very high end academic school.



Posted by therocketscientist
too far away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2007
5010 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

ean Michigan is one pretty fricked up and depressed state today


kind of like Louisiana/NO was in 2005, huh?
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 11:00 pm to
quote:

It would be a win win for everyone.


how you figure?
Posted by inadaze
Member since Aug 2010
4856 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

D, It would be a win win for everyone. If it happens I'll help him load the truck.


Ya, I mean, I'm not ready to run him out of here yet, but if he wants to go, fine. No hard feelings. I would want to see him do well at Michigan, same way I wanted to see Saban succeed in Miami. Miles has done well overall at LSU, but I almost feel like LSU could use a fresh face (fresh voice for sure) to give the program a jolt of energy and optimism.


Posted by rjokerlsu
Big Spring, TX
Member since Apr 2007
6890 posts
Posted on 8/27/10 at 11:56 pm to
Maybe if Miles took the job, then LSU could hire Harbaugh! Well, can we at least dream?
Posted by peopleschamp
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
6576 posts
Posted on 8/28/10 at 1:15 am to
Unfortunately I have heard that Michigan is historically not at school willing to pay alot of money.
Posted by Hitchcock
Member since Oct 2008
2889 posts
Posted on 8/28/10 at 1:37 am to
quote:


Personally, I would hope Miles takes the Michigan job.


he wlll, proving yet again, LSU is just a stepping stone job.

quote:

Nevertheless, how does anyone know he wants to go back to Michigan? I mean Michigan is one pretty fricked up and depressed state today. Not to mention that it gets pretty fricking cold up there.
UM has more wins than anyone in D1a football.
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