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How LSU earns Top 4 by Final CFP Rankings
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:47 pm
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:47 pm
LSU may be more likely to earn #3 than #4:
LSU (7-2)
Week 11: at Arkansas
Week 12: UAB
Week 13: at Texas A&M
*SEC CG vs UGA
11-2 SEC Champion = IN
TCU (9-0)
Week 11: at Texas
Week 12: at Baylor
Week 13: Iowa State
*Likely B12 CG vs Texas or Baylor
11-1 or worse -- OUT
Oregon (8-1)
Week 11: Washington
Week 12: Utah
Week 13: Oregon State
*Likely Pac12 CG vs USC/UCLA winner
ONLY a 12-1 Pac12 Champion = IN
Michigan (9-0)
Week 11: Nebraska
Week 12: Illinois
Week 13: at Ohio State
11-1 -- OUT (IN if Pac12 Champion has 2 losses)
Ohio State (9-0)
Week 11: Indiana
Week 12: at Maryland
Week 13: Michigan
13-0 or 12-1 -- IN
Georgia (9-0)
Week 11: at Mississippi State
Week 12: at Kentucky
Week 13: Georgia Tech
*SEC CG vs LSU
13-0 or 12-1 -- IN
Tennessee (8-1)
Week 11: Missouri
Week 12: at South Carolina
Week 13: at Vanderbilt
11-1, a 3rd SEC team = OUT
LSU (7-2)
Week 11: at Arkansas
Week 12: UAB
Week 13: at Texas A&M
*SEC CG vs UGA
11-2 SEC Champion = IN
TCU (9-0)
Week 11: at Texas
Week 12: at Baylor
Week 13: Iowa State
*Likely B12 CG vs Texas or Baylor
11-1 or worse -- OUT
Oregon (8-1)
Week 11: Washington
Week 12: Utah
Week 13: Oregon State
*Likely Pac12 CG vs USC/UCLA winner
ONLY a 12-1 Pac12 Champion = IN
Michigan (9-0)
Week 11: Nebraska
Week 12: Illinois
Week 13: at Ohio State
11-1 -- OUT (IN if Pac12 Champion has 2 losses)
Ohio State (9-0)
Week 11: Indiana
Week 12: at Maryland
Week 13: Michigan
13-0 or 12-1 -- IN
Georgia (9-0)
Week 11: at Mississippi State
Week 12: at Kentucky
Week 13: Georgia Tech
*SEC CG vs LSU
13-0 or 12-1 -- IN
Tennessee (8-1)
Week 11: Missouri
Week 12: at South Carolina
Week 13: at Vanderbilt
11-1, a 3rd SEC team = OUT
This post was edited on 11/6/22 at 9:02 pm
12
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:49 pm to Lalo Salamanca
quote:
*SEC CG vs LSU
12-1 IN
Disagree
Consider the SEC CG the 1st round of the playoffs. Winner is in, loser is out.
This post was edited on 11/6/22 at 7:57 pm
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:55 pm to Lalo Salamanca
If we win out (including the SECCG) we will have a very strong case.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:58 pm to Lalo Salamanca
LSU does not need TCU or Oregon to lose to make the CFP. The criteria for the CFP gives preference to conference champions. Non-champs must be clearly better. Georgia, Tennessee and LSU would all be 1-1 against each other. LSU, as champion, would be in before the other two. The Ohio St/Michigan loser will not have the credentials to be deemed clearly better. The same with the PAC-12 non-champs. LSU would be one of the top 4 champions. The only question is if Georgia gets in over the PAC-12 champ by virtue of their blowout of Oregon.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 7:59 pm to Lalo Salamanca
Let's beat Arky and A&M, first......
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:00 pm to Lalo Salamanca
We need lsumatt here
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:01 pm to lsufb1912
UGA gets two bites at the apple. And probably rightfully so.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:01 pm to Lalo Salamanca
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:01 pm to Lalo Salamanca
Three SEC teams aren't getting in. This is nonsense.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:02 pm to Lalo Salamanca
I’ll simplify all the words you wrote.
Win out and LSU makes the playoff. Nothing anyone else does matters.
That’s literally all that’s needed.
Win out and LSU makes the playoff. Nothing anyone else does matters.
That’s literally all that’s needed.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:02 pm to justsaygeaux2
quote:
UGA gets two bites at the apple. And probably rightfully so.
Over an 11-1 Tennessee that beat LSU by 27? I don’t think so
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:05 pm to lsufb1912
quote:
Over an 11-1 Tennessee that beat LSU by 27? I don’t think so
Over the Tennessee team they beat by 14 in a game that wasn’t even that close.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:11 pm to tibebecolston
LSU will make it at 11-2.
People are talking about no 2 loss team ever making it but Auburn would have been in at 11-2 in 2017 had Auburn won the SECCG.
People are talking about no 2 loss team ever making it but Auburn would have been in at 11-2 in 2017 had Auburn won the SECCG.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:20 pm to Lalo Salamanca
FYI, you left out the Big 10 Championship game…even if it’s a waste
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:37 pm to The Boat
We need an arse load of help to sniff a playoff spot. Any team with one or two less less losses has an easier route. We have two ugly losses. What just guessing FSU is 6-3 and Tennessee who skull drug us is 8-1. Tennessee beat Alabama. Then the Bigs have undefeated teams Multiple teams 9-0 and 8-1. Then you have the pac 12 who hasn’t had a representative in a while will get a sympathy vote with one loss. There is a mathematical chance we could get in but we have a slightly higher chance than having a 30 day lunar eclipse.
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:40 pm to SirWinston
Lsumatt is why my husband and I went to the 2007 NCG. I literally wrote out the list of what he said needed to happen, bought 2 $5 reserves at ticketreserve.com and crossed each “requirement” off of my list as they happened.
I will forever be grateful to him for his posts thst year!! I remember thinking g at the time it was probably like putting $15 for the reserves/fees into the trash. Alas, it all worked out!
I will forever be grateful to him for his posts thst year!! I remember thinking g at the time it was probably like putting $15 for the reserves/fees into the trash. Alas, it all worked out!
This post was edited on 11/6/22 at 8:42 pm
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:41 pm to Menatiger
That was
quote:
an arse load to sniff
Posted on 11/6/22 at 8:42 pm to Lalo Salamanca
The ONLY way they get into top 4 is by winning out
There is no other way and scenario analysis is irrelevant
There is no other way and scenario analysis is irrelevant
Posted on 11/6/22 at 9:02 pm to Lalo Salamanca
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 11/6/22 at 9:10 pm to Lalo Salamanca
There’s no way if we knock off their #1 they keep us out. There just isn’t.
No one else will have the case. Tennessee lost to them. OSU/Mich winner will also be in, but the loser will have no notable wins. Same with USC and Oregon.
Arguably if we beat Georgia we have the best case for #2 behind the Michigan/OSU winner.
No one else will have the case. Tennessee lost to them. OSU/Mich winner will also be in, but the loser will have no notable wins. Same with USC and Oregon.
Arguably if we beat Georgia we have the best case for #2 behind the Michigan/OSU winner.
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