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re: Here are the facts about the SEC's bowl tie-ins & LSU's bowl chances

Posted on 11/26/13 at 1:11 am to
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
31971 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 1:11 am to
quote:

f this was the case they would probably pick a non SEC at-large

we aren't going to the BCS


Michigan vs VT-seemingly an ideal non SEC matchup had the third lowest sugar bowl attendance in history at the time. That was outdone last year by UF vs UL.

Sugar is dying for fans.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36130 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 1:55 am to
quote:

That's not how tie ins work.

Bowls are not locked into seeds.

That is the order that the bowls select.



kige

it is more an order of selection than ranking they are locked into. as many have already pointed out there is also a gentleman's agreement for some bowls to take teams from the east and some bowls to take teams from the west.

Cotton usually takes a SEC west team (13 of the last 15 years)

Outback usually takes a SEC east team (14 of the last 15 years)

We still have to see how things play out, if Bama were to get a NCG bid then maybe:

BCS NCG: Alabama
Sugar: probably Auburn
Capital One: maybe USC
Cotton: maybe LSU
Outback: maybe MU
Chick Fil: maybe A&M or Ole Miss (woo hoo, they found Atlanta!)
Gator: maybe UGA or Ole Miss
Music City: maybe UGA or Ole Miss
Liberty: Vandy
Compass: no eligible SEC team unless MSU upsets Ole Miss this week
Posted by Dudebro2
San Diego
Member since Dec 2011
8967 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 4:36 am to
quote:

Based on rankings, which is more important than standings, LSU will potentially finish with the 3rd highest ranking in the SEC West. The biggest thing standing in the way of LSU to the Cotton Bowl, in my opinion, is the SEC not getting two teams in a BCS bowl.


Sound thoughts, if it comes down to UGA and LSU to the Cotton don't see how Cotton chooses UGA when all factors are considered and loosing Murray for the season is definitely one of the factors as to how competitive UGA will be. We will see against GT this weekend but you can expect a healthy diet of Gurley and does that get anyone on the Cotton Bowl committee excited. SI " we all know about how good they are" has LSU going to Cotton Bowl right now.

If LSU comes out and takes care of business against Ark in impressive fashion and the rest of the chips fall where they may, Bama beats AU, Bama beats Mizz, Mizz beats A&M & AU goes to Sugar unless Bama stomps them. LSU to Cotton seems realistic.

LINK /

Also this was included in the article regarding who Bowls have to pick;

quote:

Most bowls are not obligated -- I repeat, NOT OBLIGATED -- to choose in exact order of conference standings. For instance, "Big 12 No. 3" means "third selection of Big 12 teams," not "the Big 12's third-place team." Bowls often pick a team with an inferior record due to geography, anticipated fan travel, the need to avoid a regular-season rematch or good old backroom politicking.

This post was edited on 11/26/13 at 4:48 am
Posted by BigTiger80
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2012
1180 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 4:59 am to
Another point about Georgia is they aren't even ranked. LSU is 15th in the polls and the Cotton/Outback/Cap One will take a ranked team first. Yes, they aren't obligated to do so but you better believe the TV networks will not be happy about an unranked team being in one of those bowls when they could have selected one that is ranked.

Also, there is no way that SC is in the Sugar if it does not win the SECCC. If they get in the SECCG and lose, they will be 10-3 (or 9-4 if they lose to Clemson). If Auburn wins the SECCG, they will go to the Sugar and Bama will get an At-large BCS bid. If Bama wins the SECCG, they will go to to Pasadena while Auburn would be in the Sugar because they would be 10-2 and likely higher ranked than SC.
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
30374 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:08 am to
You're using the word "seeding", but that has little to do with it. Those are the #s at which a bowl picks. They face a little pressure, but are under no obligation to pick solely based on Conference rankings.


I'm going to hold out hope for:

LSU/Texas in the Cotton OR
LSU/Michigan in the Gator Bowl

If either Bowl (or the SEC) gets to set up those matchups, they will.
This post was edited on 11/26/13 at 8:14 am
Posted by LouisianaLonghorn
Austin, Texas
Member since Jan 2006
14190 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:28 am to
quote:

i'm pulling for music city and don't care about all the rest of the crap. prestige is only there for a BCS bowl and i love to visit nashville.


Then I guess you'll be pulling for Arky to pull the upset on Friday, because it appears that's the only way we'll end up in the Music City Bowl.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:33 am to
quote:

You're using the word "seeding", but that has little to do with it.
Germans, man....GERMANS!
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3432 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:44 am to
Russian, I think they rank the teams by their AP rank and not the SEC ranking. So descending order of teams could change slightly by giving LSU a leg up on UGA as the #5, and with a solid chance to land the Cotton if 2 SEC teams go to BCS games which could only be stopped if Mizzou and USCe lose this week and Auburn get blown out by Bama.

So we are pulling for both USCe and Mizzou this week.

The way I see it if all higher ranked teams win :

Bama to BCSCG
Mizzou to Sugar
Auburn to Cap one
USCe to Outback
LSU to Cotton
UGA to Gator
A&M to CFA
Ole Miss to Liberty


And of course things could get changed if there are upsets.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:50 am to
The BR paper this morning had some good info on the bowl commitments.
For example, this year the Cotton Bowl is the 'fail safe' bowl for the loser of the SECCG guaranteeing the loser will not fall below the Cotton if the Sugar, Outback and Capital One Bowls don't take the SECCG loser.

ETA: Here is that entire scenario:
quote:

This year, the potential road block is the fact that the Cotton is contractually obligated to take the loser of the SEC Championship Game if it’s passed over as a BCS at-large team or the Capital One. Once every four years, the Cap One, Outback, Chick-fil-A and Cotton have to take turns as the “Safety Net Bowl.” And this year, it’s the Cotton’s turn, according to SEC and former LSU spokesman Herb Vincent.

No way that happens, you say. Well, how about this scenario: Missouri loses Saturday to Texas A&M, putting South Carolina in the SEC Championship Game at 9-3 despite a nonconference loss by the Gamecocks on Saturday to archrival Clemson. South Carolina then gets hammered by Alabama (assuming a win over Auburn in the Iron Bowl) in Atlanta.

Under that scenario, Alabama is 13-0 and BCS championship game-bound. Missouri and Auburn are both 10-2, with one likely headed to the Sugar Bowl and the other likely to the Cap One. The Outback could pick 9-4 South Carolina, but it prefers LSU or Texas A&M at 9-3. That leaves the Cotton to save a seat for the Gamecocks.

Such a scenario could put LSU back in the Chick-fil-A Bowl for the second straight year and the sixth time since 1996, which would be the most bowl appearances for LSU in any postseason game in that time span. Some national projections have that happening, but everyone intimately involved with the process seems to be aware of the lukewarm response LSU fans had to the Chick-fil-A last year. They might be downright cold to the idea if the opponent out of the ACC was Duke.
LINK
This post was edited on 11/26/13 at 8:57 am
Posted by Tigertown in ATL
Georgia foothills
Member since Sep 2009
29206 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Georgia owns the tie breaker vs LSU because if its head-to-head win over the Tigers


So out of conference losses don't count?

Personally, I'd love it if we went to the Gator Bowl.

Chick bowl. Please not again.
Music City. Not even worth going.
Posted by MaGoo
Ethel, LA
Member since Jun 2004
628 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Nonetheless, Alleva said, “We’re at their mercy. It’s almost totally irrelevant (what we want). The bowls still pick.”


Usually the case Alleva when you lose to Ole Miss.
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
11177 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 12:37 pm to
I'm not reading the whole thread but from what I've seen, the fact being overlooked is this: there's now an sec east team (mizzou) that's located in the west. This is the first time an sec east team could be more attractive to the cotton than an sec west team. Likewise the eastern bowl games would probably prefer an auburn over mizzou just based on lacation. So the trend of outback taking a top eastern and cotton taking the top west team is shot to pieces. Things could get crazy this year and no doubt will end up with LSU getting hosed again.
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
22758 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

SEC front office screwed us.


Where does this come from? I ask this everytime the whole "SEC office screwed LSU in the bowl selections" meme comes up. No one has been able to give a good answer/provide proof.
Posted by WPBTiger
Parts Unknown
Member since Nov 2011
31161 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Your facts are so off base it's a absurd. So much more goes into bowl selection. Some bowls prefer east teams vs west teams, where they played last year factors in, so basically your entire post is completely off base


This. LSU was screwed last year.
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
73147 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 3:25 pm to
LSU versus Duke in the chick fil a bowl

YIPPPIEEEEE
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66739 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 3:29 pm to
except apparentyl none of that matters, as the Cotton bowl does what it wants (see last year)
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
11177 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Where does this come from? I ask this everytime the whole "SEC office screwed LSU in the bowl selections" meme comes up. No one has been able to give a good answer/provide proof.


It comes from LSU getting passed over by bigger bowls several times recently and always ending up in the chik fila. Its not only up to the bowls, the SEC office has considerable say in negotiating who goes where, and recently they havent cared much about putting LSU in bowls we deserve. I remember Skip Bertman talking about this when he was AD.
Posted by LouisianaLonghorn
Austin, Texas
Member since Jan 2006
14190 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

LSU versus Duke in the chick fil a bowl


Last year LSU sold only around 12K of the 17K tickets that the school was forced to purchase. As a result, LSU had to eat the other 5K and lost money. If the CFA Bowl is stupid enough to pick us again, LSU needs to be prepared to lose even more money than last year, because we would have an even worse fan turnout if we end up playing Duke.
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
22758 posts
Posted on 11/26/13 at 5:10 pm to
So the SEC office can go to the Cotton Bowl committee and say "hey, don't take LSU we want you to host A&M"? And they'll listen?
This post was edited on 11/26/13 at 5:11 pm
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