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Started By
Message
Harris passes more than 25 times?
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:27 am
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:27 am
The key victory is Brandon Harris completion percentage. If he can connect on 70-75% of his passes the tigers should roll.
14
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:28 am to DieHeartTigah
15 to 18 times. Which I'm ok with if they aren't all screens and flares into the flats.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:29 am to DieHeartTigah
I'm thinking 18-20 attempts
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:31 am to DieHeartTigah
We are going to try to control the clock, so I would expect a heavy dose of LF. Only way he throws 25+ is if we're down significantly in the 2nd half and they manage to completely shut down our run game.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:31 am to DieHeartTigah
quote:
If he can connect on 70-75% of his passes the tigers should roll.
That's true of almost any team, ever.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:31 am to notiger1997
quote:
Which I'm ok with if they aren't all screens and flares into the flats.
This shouldn't be a problem as they account for about 10% of his attempts all year.
I think he has 22-25 attempts, mainly early to back the defense off the line right out of the gate. If he approaches 30, that might mean we are not in a great spot on the score board or in the run game.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:34 am to DieHeartTigah
More. He will have to because we won't be able to pound the rock against Bama's front 7 like we are used to.
Well, yeah that would be nice.....but completion percentage is overrated. He just needs to be a viable threat. I'll take 50% if he is throwing deep to keep the safeties honest and converting 3rd downs.
quote:
If he can connect on 70-75% of his passes the tigers should roll.
Well, yeah that would be nice.....but completion percentage is overrated. He just needs to be a viable threat. I'll take 50% if he is throwing deep to keep the safeties honest and converting 3rd downs.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:37 am to LSU82BILL
I think most agree, given our offensive philosophy, if we throw more than 25 times there is a good chance we are behind late in the game and they are slowing down our running game, so hopefully that is not the case!
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:38 am to DieHeartTigah
quote:
If he can connect on 70-75% of his passes the tigers should roll.
Uhhh yeah I'd say so. That's a crazy good compl %.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:40 am to TheCaterpillar
60% without a turnover will do just fine
Posted on 10/29/15 at 10:42 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Uhhh yeah I'd say so. That's a crazy good compl %
Seriously. If he's sitting in the third at 75% completion rate, I hope we throw it 20 more times in the 4th.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:04 am to TigerAlum93
quote:
I think most agree, given our offensive philosophy, if we throw more than 25 times there is a good chance we are behind late in the game and they are slowing down our running game, so hopefully that is not the case!
We were never behind vs. Florida after tying the game 2:37 into the 2nd quarter and we still threw it 19 times while running for 221 against the #21 run defense. Unless Fournette takes a long one to the house or Bama turns it over 5 times, I don't expect to run for 221 against the #4 run defense. I do think you we will see a lot more zone read and planned roll out with Harris keeping the ball. The roll outs that Harris keeps won't count as pass attempts but for all intent in purpose, that is what they are. Holding on to the ball and gaining a few yards is better than protecting the football by throwing it away.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:15 am to GRTiger
18-20 attempts is what I would think. We'll be able to run the ball against them. I'm not sure if Fournette will hit the homerun, but we'll be able to get 3 to 4 almost every carry.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:16 am to LSU82BILL
quote:
against the #4 run defense
I’m not saying they are not good, but in college football a lot of these stats are useless. Yes, Bama has the #4 ranked rushing defense, but how many of those teams had to essentially abandon the run? Plus, who have they played 88th, 106th, 62nd, 123rd, 22nd, 48th, 95th, 31st.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:23 am to LSU82BILL
quote:
we won't be able to pound the rock against Bama's front 7 like we are used to.
Where do you people get this shite? Just regurgitating shite you hear on ESPN (AKA TMZ Sports)?
Tennessee rushed for 100+ last week on Bama. Hurd was 18 rushes for 92 yards and a TD. Fournette will get close to 30 carries just like against Florida.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:38 am to DieHeartTigah
25 passes at 75% completion on the road against Bama would be an "all-time" performance for an LSU QB
That would likely be 200+ yards with insane efficiency.
That would likely be 200+ yards with insane efficiency.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:40 am to chalupa
I wouldn't be surprised to see LSU be more balanced to try and keep he D on its heels, especially in the first half. I think Harris has 20-25, but at least 5 of them go to LF out of the backfield, or split out wide.
If Bama goes with a base D to stop the run, motioning LF or Guice out before he snap and making an LB or Safety play them 1 on 1 in space is the perfect way to punish them for it. We didn't do it hat often, so it would create some confusion.
If Bama goes with a base D to stop the run, motioning LF or Guice out before he snap and making an LB or Safety play them 1 on 1 in space is the perfect way to punish them for it. We didn't do it hat often, so it would create some confusion.
This post was edited on 10/29/15 at 11:42 am
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:46 am to DieHeartTigah
I'm inclined to prefer a 50 %comp WITH a +9 yds/comp (or 60% with +6 yds/att). That means we're converting 3rd downs and sustaining drives. Assumes at least 25 carries for LF7 (no matter the yds/att for him).
Of course, except for those dink-dunk plays ONLY to keep them honest or setup something else, they don't work very well vs Bama (or us) because of speed and rapid key-reading. Everybody knows that. Or should.
Of course, except for those dink-dunk plays ONLY to keep them honest or setup something else, they don't work very well vs Bama (or us) because of speed and rapid key-reading. Everybody knows that. Or should.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:51 am to DieHeartTigah
The question is, is if Bama will force BH to throw more than 25 times. Cam and Brandon will take what bama gives them, that simple.
Posted on 10/29/15 at 11:55 am to TheCaterpillar
I think its possible with them stacking the box and the way Harris has been playing as of lately why not? They will try to make Harris win regardless.
This post was edited on 10/29/15 at 12:30 pm
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