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re: CBS or ESPN for 2009
Posted on 1/11/09 at 5:29 pm to ZereauxSum
Posted on 1/11/09 at 5:29 pm to ZereauxSum
CBS will surely pick the Florida @ LSU game for their one primetime broadcast in 2009. Other than that, give me as many of those 6:45 ESPN games as LSU can get.
Even though Traci Wolfson is an uber-MILF......
Even though Traci Wolfson is an uber-MILF......
0
Posted on 1/11/09 at 5:46 pm to ZereauxSum
quote:so, in your analysis, the only variable is time of start? You didn't control for any other variables (team rankings).
ZereauxSum
We play 3-4 cupcakes a year - all at night since they aren't televised. that is ~25% of our games which could drastically skew your statistics.
Let's assume you can factor those out of your analysis, (which you didn't) let's just look at LSU against ranked opponents. How many games against ranked opponents do we play in the day, and how many at night?
Posted on 1/11/09 at 8:25 pm to Spirit of Dunson
@Spirit of Dunson
This is a list of our games against ranked opposition for the past five years:
Year Date Opponent Location Time Result Score Day/Night
2008 Sat Nov 08 #1 Alabama * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 21-27 Day
2008 Sat Sep 20 #10 Auburn * at Auburn Ala. (Jordan-Hare Stadium) 6:45 p.m. W 26-21 Night
2008 Sat Oct 11 #11 Florida * at Gainesville Fla. (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium) 7:00 p.m. L 21-51 Night
2008 Sat Oct 25 #9 Georgia * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 38-52 Day
2007 Sat Sep 22 #12 South Carolina * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. W 28-16 Day
2007 Sat Nov 03 #17 Alabama * at Tuscaloosa Ala. (Bryant-Denny Stadium) 4:00 p.m. W 41-34 Day
2007 Sat Oct 13 #17 Kentucky * at Lexington Ky. (Commonwealth Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 37-43 (3OT) Day
2007 Sat Oct 20 #18 Auburn * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 8:00 p.m. W 30-24 Night
2007 Sat Oct 06 #9 Florida * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 7:28 p.m. W 28-24 Night
2007 Sat Sep 08 #9 Virginia Tech Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 8:15 p.m. W 48-7 Night
2006 Sat Sep 16 #3 Auburn * at Auburn Ala. (Jordan-Hare Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 3-7 Day
2006 Fri Nov 24 #5 Arkansas at Little Rock Ark. (War Memorial Stadium) 1:30 p.m. W 31-26 Day
2006 Sat Oct 07 #5 Florida * at Gainesville Fla. (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 10-23 Day
2006 Sat Nov 04 #8 Tennessee * at Knoxville Tenn. (Neyland Stadium) 2:30 p.m. W 28-24 Day
2005 Sep 10 #15 Arizona St. at Tempe 8:15 p.m. W 35-31 Night
2005 Sep 26 #10 Tennessee Baton Rouge 6:30 p.m. L 27-30 OT Night
2005 Oct 15 #11 Florida Baton Rouge 2:30 p.m. W 21-17 Day
2005 Oct 22 #16 Auburn Baton Rouge 6:45 p.m. W 20-17 OT Night
2005 Nov 12 #4 Alabama at Tuscaloosa 2:30 p.m. W 16-13 OT Day
2004 Oct 09 #12 Florida at Gainesville 6:45 p.m. W 24-21 Night
2004 Sep 18 #14 Auburn at Auburn 2:30 p.m. L 9-10 Day
2004 Oct 02 #3 Georgia at Athens 2:30 p.m. L 16-45 Day
Over that period, we're 7-2 at night and 6-7 during the day against ranked competition. I counted a night game as any game that kicks off after six.
Not trying to publish a paper or anything, so if you want to control for anything else, you'll have to do it yourself.
This is a list of our games against ranked opposition for the past five years:
Year Date Opponent Location Time Result Score Day/Night
2008 Sat Nov 08 #1 Alabama * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 21-27 Day
2008 Sat Sep 20 #10 Auburn * at Auburn Ala. (Jordan-Hare Stadium) 6:45 p.m. W 26-21 Night
2008 Sat Oct 11 #11 Florida * at Gainesville Fla. (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium) 7:00 p.m. L 21-51 Night
2008 Sat Oct 25 #9 Georgia * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 38-52 Day
2007 Sat Sep 22 #12 South Carolina * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 2:30 p.m. W 28-16 Day
2007 Sat Nov 03 #17 Alabama * at Tuscaloosa Ala. (Bryant-Denny Stadium) 4:00 p.m. W 41-34 Day
2007 Sat Oct 13 #17 Kentucky * at Lexington Ky. (Commonwealth Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 37-43 (3OT) Day
2007 Sat Oct 20 #18 Auburn * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 8:00 p.m. W 30-24 Night
2007 Sat Oct 06 #9 Florida * Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 7:28 p.m. W 28-24 Night
2007 Sat Sep 08 #9 Virginia Tech Baton Rouge La. (Tiger Stadium) 8:15 p.m. W 48-7 Night
2006 Sat Sep 16 #3 Auburn * at Auburn Ala. (Jordan-Hare Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 3-7 Day
2006 Fri Nov 24 #5 Arkansas at Little Rock Ark. (War Memorial Stadium) 1:30 p.m. W 31-26 Day
2006 Sat Oct 07 #5 Florida * at Gainesville Fla. (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium) 2:30 p.m. L 10-23 Day
2006 Sat Nov 04 #8 Tennessee * at Knoxville Tenn. (Neyland Stadium) 2:30 p.m. W 28-24 Day
2005 Sep 10 #15 Arizona St. at Tempe 8:15 p.m. W 35-31 Night
2005 Sep 26 #10 Tennessee Baton Rouge 6:30 p.m. L 27-30 OT Night
2005 Oct 15 #11 Florida Baton Rouge 2:30 p.m. W 21-17 Day
2005 Oct 22 #16 Auburn Baton Rouge 6:45 p.m. W 20-17 OT Night
2005 Nov 12 #4 Alabama at Tuscaloosa 2:30 p.m. W 16-13 OT Day
2004 Oct 09 #12 Florida at Gainesville 6:45 p.m. W 24-21 Night
2004 Sep 18 #14 Auburn at Auburn 2:30 p.m. L 9-10 Day
2004 Oct 02 #3 Georgia at Athens 2:30 p.m. L 16-45 Day
Over that period, we're 7-2 at night and 6-7 during the day against ranked competition. I counted a night game as any game that kicks off after six.
Not trying to publish a paper or anything, so if you want to control for anything else, you'll have to do it yourself.
Posted on 1/11/09 at 8:58 pm to ZereauxSum
I love night games, more time to tailgate!!!!!
ESPN!!!
ESPN!!!
Posted on 1/11/09 at 9:04 pm to THATLSUBOY
I hate 2:30 games.
Posted on 1/11/09 at 9:20 pm to ZereauxSum
quote:-Hi 5-
ZereauxSum
I appreciate the effort! Good to see facts on the rant. Since you put some work into it, so will I.
I also looked at your numbers. I figured the other major factors would be the respective ranking, and the homefield advantage.
First the night/day comparison - as you pointed out, the winning percentage for those were 0.778 and 0.462 respectively. This creates a relative factor of 1.69 (winning percentage of night games divided by the winning percentage of day games). The greater this number the more a factor that variable plays.
If you separate by ranking, our winning percentage against opponents ranked 10-17 was 0.700, and against top 10 opponents was 0.500, creating a relative factor of 1.4.
Looking at the game location the winning percentage for home games was 0.667 and for away games was 0.538 - a relative factor of 1.24.
So based on this (albeit small sampling) analysis: the day/night variable played a more significant role than did the game location and relative opponent ranking.
This post was edited on 1/11/09 at 9:42 pm
Posted on 1/11/09 at 11:07 pm to Spirit of Dunson
quote:
the day/night variable played a more significant role than did the game location and relative opponent ranking
FINALLY! Scientific evidence that we do better at night!
Posted on 1/12/09 at 3:00 am to ijdo3
OK, two things; first:
I would personally take Erin Andrews every day of the week and twice each on Saturday and Sunday.
Second, wayyy too much splitting of hairs here. I think it is established that LSU plays better in Saturday night games in Tiger Stadium and the atmosphere is irreplaceable in Saturday night games in Tiger Stadium. Agreed? Now, if we are on CBS we are going to be playing in the afternoon. Right? So we want to be on ESPN.
If you are at the game, you want Saturday night in Tiger Stadium. If you are playing in the game, you want Saturday night in Tiger Stadium. And if you are watching the game, I think Mark Jones and Bob Davie are much better than Vern Lundquist and Gary Danielson. But thats my opinion. The other two are facts. Afternoon games in Baton Rouge piss me off.
quote:
Traci Wolfson is an uber-MILF......
I would personally take Erin Andrews every day of the week and twice each on Saturday and Sunday.
Second, wayyy too much splitting of hairs here. I think it is established that LSU plays better in Saturday night games in Tiger Stadium and the atmosphere is irreplaceable in Saturday night games in Tiger Stadium. Agreed? Now, if we are on CBS we are going to be playing in the afternoon. Right? So we want to be on ESPN.
If you are at the game, you want Saturday night in Tiger Stadium. If you are playing in the game, you want Saturday night in Tiger Stadium. And if you are watching the game, I think Mark Jones and Bob Davie are much better than Vern Lundquist and Gary Danielson. But thats my opinion. The other two are facts. Afternoon games in Baton Rouge piss me off.
Posted on 1/12/09 at 8:59 am to Spirit of Dunson
quote:
the day/night variable played a more significant role than did the game location and relative opponent ranking.
Now THAT was unexpected! Nice work!
If I weren't so lazy, I'd pull more data (like you said, it's a small sample size). But I think that we can agree that we fair better at night than we do during the day.
Posted on 1/12/09 at 9:31 am to olmec26
quote:
FINALLY! Scientific evidence that we do better at night!
+1
Posted on 1/12/09 at 9:45 am to ZereauxSum
quote:No joke. We all know that we fare better at night, but I always chalked it up to the marque matchup that a day game usually entails. What was more interesting to me was the away/home factor.
Now THAT was unexpected!
Posted on 1/12/09 at 10:11 am to ijdo3
Maybe with the 5 loss season, we can go back to Saturday night at Tiger Stadium. 
Posted on 1/12/09 at 10:14 am to Weaver
It cannot be denied that the feel of the Alabama game was VERY different when the sun went down in the 4th quarter.....the whole mood of the stadium changed and the momentum was going the Tigers way.....until JL threw the pick....
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