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Beating someone 3 times in the same season
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:19 pm
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:19 pm
Dramatically drops your odds on the third try.
Remember 2000, when Arkansas beat LSU in the Championship game of the tourney.
Like it or not, odds are not in LSU's favor tomorrow.
Remember 2000, when Arkansas beat LSU in the Championship game of the tourney.
Like it or not, odds are not in LSU's favor tomorrow.
8
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:20 pm to ChuckDockery
One of the most useless stats in the history of sports FWIW.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:20 pm to ChuckDockery
May be, but still gotta play it.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:22 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
One of the most useless stats in the history of sports FWIW.
How so??
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:22 pm to ChuckDockery
Any sports streak's continuation odds get worse the longer the streak goes. But odds won't stop Thornton or Mitchell and won't shoot 3s against Temple.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:25 pm to ChuckDockery
RANTARD ALERT
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:27 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
quote:
How so??
If you have already beaten a team two times, odds are you are better than them. So, odds are, you should beat them when you play them a third time.
ETA: It's not like the team that lost the first two games is the only one allowed to make adjustments.
This post was edited on 3/13/09 at 7:28 pm
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:30 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
One of the most useless stats in the history of sports FWIW.
Odds sure do a lot for casinos.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:33 pm to Cornholio
quote:
Odds sure do a lot for casinos.
Lines in Vegas are set to influence betting. If more people buy into B.S., of course it will influence the line.
Are your odds worse for beating a team for the third time instead of once? Sure. Are the odds suddenly against you because you beat a team twice already? Absolutely not.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:34 pm to Cornholio
You're an idiot.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:37 pm to lsu31always
3beating the same team 3 times in a season is no big deal. What bothers me is Moo State really needs the win and we don't
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:38 pm to lsu31always
quote:
You're an idiot.
Wow. Tell us how you really feel.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:40 pm to Tigercat
quote:
Lines in Vegas are set to influence betting. If more people buy into B.S., of course it will influence the line.
Are your odds worse for beating a team for the third time instead of once? Sure. Are the odds suddenly against you because you beat a team twice already? Absolutely not.
I'll give you odds on whether you can explain this principle to the satisfaction of future posters....
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:45 pm to ChuckDockery
Gotta better statistic......this will be their 3rd game in 3 days ...... that accounts for something. 
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:47 pm to puttytat
I remember one year Kentucky beat Bama 4 times
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:51 pm to Lithium
quote:
What bothers me is Moo State really needs the win and we don't
so did Kentucky, and that didn't seem to bother us too much
Posted on 3/13/09 at 7:51 pm to Lithium
Also, LSU will not allow State to get hot from 3 point range like they did today aganist Carolina.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 8:05 pm to coachpenn
State's legs will die in the 2nd half. LSU-UT in the finals...LSU SEC Tourney Champions !!! 
Posted on 3/13/09 at 8:08 pm to ChuckDockery
quote:
Dramatically drops your odds on the third try.
No, it doesn't. Flipping a coin and having it come up heads twice in a row does not reduce the odds of the third flip also coming up heads.
I will bet money, without having done any research, that in games in which the teams are playing for the third time that season and one of the teams has swept the first two, the team that won the first two has a winning record in the third games and the team that lost the first two has a losing record in the third games.
quote:
Remember 2000, when Arkansas beat LSU in the Championship game of the tourney.
It was the semifinal, not the championship. And I can cite 2003, when we beat Arkansas in the SEC tournament after sweeping them in the regular season, as a more recent example that you're wrong.
quote:
Like it or not, odds are not in LSU's favor tomorrow.
I have no idea what the odds are. I do know that the fact we've already beaten them twice has little or nothing to do with it, though. There may be the small possibility of a slight psychological effect from the previous two games, but that will be negligible. Far more important in terms of intangibles will be the fact that we are already a lock to be in the NCAA tournament while they are still fighting for an invitation. As with virtually every game, the winner will be the team that is playing and coaching the best that day.
Posted on 3/13/09 at 8:09 pm to Lithium
quote:
I remember one year Kentucky beat Bama 4 times
1986? They also beat us three times that year.
But we got 'em on the 4th try
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