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Started By
Message
Basketball Moves Up, 77 RPI and 59 BPI
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:55 am
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:55 am
Moving in the right direction.
10
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:55 am to GeauxTime9
WE GOIN' TO DA 'SHIP!
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:55 am to GeauxTime9
game of the year sat baby
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:57 am to GeauxTime9
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:08 am to No Diggity Tiger
Crazy to look at some numbers...
CBS has LSU's OOC RPI at 204 while their In conference RPI is 9th! So for everyone who looks at wins vs teams like Bama and Vandy on the road as meh, I am telling you, they add up. 9 conference RPI is awesome. That is a good barometer of how RPI thinks LSU has been since getting the full team back (and gelling a few games).
CBS has LSU's OOC RPI at 204 while their In conference RPI is 9th! So for everyone who looks at wins vs teams like Bama and Vandy on the road as meh, I am telling you, they add up. 9 conference RPI is awesome. That is a good barometer of how RPI thinks LSU has been since getting the full team back (and gelling a few games).
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:14 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
CBS has LSU's OOC RPI at 204
quote:
while their In conference RPI is 9th!
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:16 am to GeauxTime9
a win on saturday would be fricking huge!
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:24 am to LSUSoulja08
Just keep winning!
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:31 am to GeauxTime9
I really wonder what a win over OU would put us at. Would we move Top 65 in RPI maybe?
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:33 am to thunderbird1100
quote:
I really wonder what a win over OU would put us at. Would we move Top 65 in RPI maybe?
The way RPI is calculated a loss may move us up...
Posted on 1/27/16 at 9:34 am to GeauxTime9
Sorry I fat fingered a down vote. Should be all up votes.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 10:20 am to thunderbird1100
I would guess we would jump roughly 20 spots. I believe Oklahoma is #1 RPI. If the #69 rpi team in UGA moves us up 13 or so spots, imagine #1
Posted on 1/27/16 at 10:27 am to GeauxTime9
Our bpi with our full team is probably extremely high
Posted on 1/27/16 at 12:00 pm to Pnels08
We will move up in rpi after saturday no matter the result.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 12:06 pm to LSUButt
quote:
I would guess we would jump roughly 20 spots. I believe Oklahoma is #1 RPI. If the #69 rpi team in UGA moves us up 13 or so spots, imagine #1
With our luck LSU will move down with a win.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 12:25 pm to josh336
quote:
We will move up in rpi after saturday no matter the result.
Yep.
Current RPI = .5660
RPI = (WP * 0.25) + (OWP * 0.50) + (OOWP * 0.25)
So basically we have to make this formula be higher than .5660 for the single game to raise our RPI...
WP is winning percentage so if we lose that will be 0. So lets do this formula to see if we raise it with a loss:
OWP is opponents winning percentage Oklahoma is 17-2 which is .900 (if they beat us).
So First part =0
second part = .9*.5
That equals .45
Oklahoma has the 3rd highest SOS with their opponents winning .7202 of their games...
The third part of the equasion would then equal .18 bringing the total RPI for the single game to .63 which is higher than our current RPI.....
So a win would basically have the single game RPI as ~.88 and a loss would be ~.63 so either way we should be in better shape after Saturday.
Holding all else equal (obviously can't happen but just to estimate) our new RPI given a loss would be:
Loss - .569 72nd
Win - .581 57th
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 12:30 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 12:33 pm to SouthOfSouth
bruh.......thats intense. thx
Posted on 1/27/16 at 12:35 pm to pellietigersaint
quote:
bruh.......thats intense. thx
I love high level analytics and math....
But just for the record I hate RPI.
My estimates also need the assumption that all teams keep the exact same winning percentage and opponents opponents keep same winning percentage which is absolutely impossible so it's really just to give an idea of the effect a single game can have on RPI.
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 12:40 pm
Posted on 1/27/16 at 3:05 pm to GeauxTime9
prior to the georgia game, lsu moved up into the 3rd 4 out on this prediction
same thing at this site
the other handful i'm watching haven't changed. lsu isn't on the bubble yet. they pretty much all have 4 sec teams in and lsu isn't in that group. the difference? rpi.
ftr, the rpi is 82. not sure why people keep quoting espn. their number means nothing officially.
i'm curious as to why lunardi is so high on the tigers and no one else is. he might be watching espn's bpi, which is 59. unfortunately for lsu, the bpi predicts lsu to finish at 79, out of the tourney and that's by far the most optimistic number. lsu has passed up the "low hanging fruit" but there are still a few lower conference teams lsu can pick off. the rest are from conferences ranked as good as the sec or better.
as others have said, it's not impossible. i'm not sure what it would take to compensate for the 2-6 road record and no top 50 wins on the road.
same thing at this site
the other handful i'm watching haven't changed. lsu isn't on the bubble yet. they pretty much all have 4 sec teams in and lsu isn't in that group. the difference? rpi.
ftr, the rpi is 82. not sure why people keep quoting espn. their number means nothing officially.
i'm curious as to why lunardi is so high on the tigers and no one else is. he might be watching espn's bpi, which is 59. unfortunately for lsu, the bpi predicts lsu to finish at 79, out of the tourney and that's by far the most optimistic number. lsu has passed up the "low hanging fruit" but there are still a few lower conference teams lsu can pick off. the rest are from conferences ranked as good as the sec or better.
as others have said, it's not impossible. i'm not sure what it would take to compensate for the 2-6 road record and no top 50 wins on the road.
Posted on 1/27/16 at 3:15 pm to bfniii
And there he is 
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