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44-9 the most wins in a 4 year period and the first time

Posted on 1/2/14 at 6:42 am
Posted by tigger1
Member since Mar 2005
3476 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 6:42 am
ever the Sr. class has won 10 or more games a year all 4 years.

Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85031 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 6:44 am to
Nb4moralvictories
Posted by 2 Chainzzz
Da Booty Club
Member since Dec 2013
257 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:00 am to
Look for the trend to continue. I only see Lsu going up from here.
Posted by Beef Supreme
Member since Apr 2008
1920 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:07 am to
Definately a good stat but is 10 wins really what it used to be now that we play 12 games a season plus potentially a championship game, and then a bowl game?

22 out of the current top 25 teams have 10 win seasons.
Posted by themunch
Earth. maybe
Member since Jan 2007
64655 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:09 am to
quote:

Nb4moralvictories


only took 2 posts
Posted by PG
Mandeville
Member since Sep 2012
2590 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:11 am to
Great Job by Miles.
Makes me feel slightly better giving TAF that 20% donation increase with 4 digits in the amount.
Just win
Posted by Beef Supreme
Member since Apr 2008
1920 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:17 am to
quote:

only took 2 posts


I see how you can take that the wrong way, but its a legit question. Is it right to get as excited as some do with a 10 win season now that we play up to 14 games a year? As I said, 22 of 25 teams in top 25 have 10 or more. More than half of the top 25 currently have 11 or more (14 teams) and 3 teams still have a shot to get to 11.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84081 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:23 am to
quote:

I see how you can take that the wrong way, but its a legit question. Is it right to get as excited as some do with a 10 win season now that we play up to 14 games a year? As I said, 22 of 25 teams in top 25 have 10 or more. More than half of the top 25 currently have 11 or more (14 teams) and 3 teams still have a shot to get to 11.



How many of those teams have done it for the last 4 years?
Posted by Marlin2114
Member since Dec 2009
125 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:34 am to
it will take the negative Nellies a long time to answer your direct question.

Posted by machismo64
Birmingham, Al
Member since Dec 2011
241 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 7:38 am to
My first take on this was "this is somewhat unfair because they play more games today than they used to. What if you reverse this and look at losses?" I looked at our record going back to Huey Long and looked at the non-wins (losses or ties). If you look at streaks of 3 or more years where we have had 3 such blemishes or less on our records, there have been only a few such streaks.

1935-1937 (3 years)
1968-1973 (6 years)
1985-1987 (3 years)
2003-2007 (5 years)
2010-2013 (4 years)

So even by this method, LSU football is still doing quite well historically though perhaps not as much better than other periods if you look at win totals alone as the original poster does. Basically, this method gives the old school Tigers a bit of love too.

This post was edited on 1/5/14 at 11:06 am
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:05 am to
I don't necessarily take pleasure in being the wet blanket, but Les Miles has had the most consecutive seasons of at least 13 games in LSU history as well.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84081 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:09 am to
quote:

I don't necessarily take pleasure in being the wet blanket, but Les Miles has had the most consecutive seasons of at least 13 games in LSU history as well.


Well then the post directly above yours should dry you up.

quote:

My first take on this was "this is somewhat unfair because they play more games today than they used to. What if you reverse this and look at losses?" I looked at our record going back to Huey Long and looked at the non-wins (losses or ties). If you look at streaks of 3 or more years where we have had 3 such blemishes or less on our records, there have been only a few such streaks.

1935-1937 (3 years)
1968-1973 (6 years)
1985-1987 (3 years)
2003-2007 (4 years)
2010-2013 (4 years)

So even by this method, LSU football is still doing quite well historically though perhaps not as much better than other periods if you look at win totals alone as the original poster does. Basically, this method gives the old school Tigers a bit of love too.
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:15 am to
quote:

My first take on this was "this is somewhat unfair because they play more games today than they used to. What if you reverse this and look at losses?" I looked at our record going back to Huey Long and looked at the non-wins (losses or ties). If you look at streaks of 3 or more years where we have had 3 such blemishes or less on our records, there have been only a few such streaks.

1935-1937 (3 years)
1968-1973 (6 years)
1985-1987 (3 years)
2003-2007 (4 years)
2010-2013 (4 years)

So even by this method, LSU football is still doing quite well historically though perhaps not as much better than other periods if you look at win totals alone as the original poster does. Basically, this method gives the old school Tigers a bit of love too.




Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:16 am to
Comparing numbers when you have more games still doesn't solve the issue of proportionality which is inherent in this problem. The second issue is the selection bias. You start with the presumption that what has been done is the best and then you go back and find stats to prove it.

It is using nominal numbers like a drunk uses a light pole--for support, not illumination.

ETA: That isn't to say that I don't appreciate the OP's post and the post that precedes my first post in this thread. Both contain great information, I just think that some context is warranted to understand exactly what we are looking at.
This post was edited on 1/2/14 at 8:18 am
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
30201 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:20 am to
quote:

44-9 the most wins in a 4 year period and the first time Comparing numbers when you have more games still doesn't solve the issue of proportionality which is inherent in this problem. The second issue is the selection bias. You start with the presumption that what has been done is the best and then you go back and find stats to prove it. It is using nominal numbers like a drunk uses a light pole--for support, not illumination. ETA: That isn't to say that I don't appreciate the OP's post and the post that precedes my first post in this thread. Both contain great information, I just think that some context is warranted to understand exactly what we are looking at.



Posted by Moustache
GEAUX TIGERS
Member since May 2008
21556 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Look for the trend to continue. I only see Lsu going up from here.


QB will make or break this incoming FR class.

With QB play we saw yesterday, we'll follow the trend of the Jefferson years (minus the Lee year of '11). 9-4, 10-3 seasons, non BCS bowls.

With a QB who can actualy play, this class has a chance to be Alabama dominant or at worst 03-07 LSU dominant.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84081 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Comparing numbers when you have more games still doesn't solve the issue of proportionality which is inherent in this problem. The second issue is the selection bias. You start with the presumption that what has been done is the best and then you go back and find stats to prove it.

It is using nominal numbers like a drunk uses a light pole--for support, not illumination.


You're trying way too hard to minimize what Miles has done since he's been here.
Posted by DadFanAlum
TEXAS!
Member since Oct 2010
1188 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:23 am to
In today's college football climate, 10 wins is a solid season, something to build on. It is not elite.

Having lost our starting D to the draft, I think our 10 win season deserves a little "attaboy" asterisk. Let's see what happens in recruiting today and if our senior talent stays for next year.
Posted by LordoftheManor
Member since Jul 2006
8371 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:25 am to
quote:

machismo64

quote:

10 posts


I like this guy.
Posted by therick711
South
Member since Jan 2008
25097 posts
Posted on 1/2/14 at 8:25 am to
I like Les. I'm proud of what he's done. I'm trying to help you understand why we should question several things; namely, whether 4 years is the correct period to evaluate, whether raw numbers is the best metric to use, whether winning percentage over some given amount of time might be a useful thing to look at. Just because someone questions the methodology of LSU's manufactured narrative that they have been putting over since we lost our third game does not mean that they are anti-anything other than LSU's attempt to create meaning beyond we won a key bowl matchup and we look solid going forward. I ask that you think about it critically and take it at face value. If after doing that, you still don't see the issues I've pointed out, that's fair enough.

I think if Les does what we think he's going to pull off tonight and holds them until signing day, that accomplishment will outstrip any arbitrary amount of 10 win seasons or bowl championships. It will help set up what I think will be his best run yet.
This post was edited on 1/2/14 at 8:27 am
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