Started By
Message

re: 3 Scenarios for making the playoffs

Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:25 pm to
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:25 pm to
Miles does not have the players to beat Saban. Simple as that. He is a good coach, but Saban is a great coach. Use your brain.
Posted by TigerFanForLife1967
Warner Robins GA
Member since Nov 2015
55 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:31 pm to
Look bama deserves to be in playoff. And LSU doesn't. I hope we don't getin. And doubt we will
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17408 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

TigerFanForLife1967
quote:

I hope we don't getin.


Does not compute.






Please see the eternal optimist's post at bottom of page 1. Thanks, pessimist.
Posted by HollierThanThou
Member since Jan 2012
6209 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:41 pm to
I feel Bama is going to win out so I'm seeing 3 open spots between 7 teams (assuming we win out)

Stanford lose to Oregon or Cal
Notes Dame lose to Stanford
Clemson lose to UNC OR USCe
OK State lose to Baylor or Oklahoma
Baylor lose against OK, OK State, TCU or Texas
Ohio State lose to Michigan or MSU

Iowa is not getting into the playoff so I'm discounting them.

I could see the loss scenarios above realistically playing out. So we still have a decent shot of getting in as long as we take care of our own business and maybe throw some style points in.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32628 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:47 pm to
There's a few things that could happen but most realistic.

1st and foremost we have to run the table.

-TCU beats Baylor --> Baylor beats Okie State

-Bama loses to Mississippi State

-Stanford beats Notre Dame --> Stanford loses to Utah or UCLA in title game

-UNC beats Clemson in ACC title


It's possible we get it, improbable, but possible.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18135 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Scenario 2 is an SEC gets left out of the playoffs scenario.


this is correct. No way the committee invites an SEC team that didn't even win its division. Just not going to happen.

Posted by TigerFan55555
Tomball, TX
Member since Nov 2008
9577 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Nut up you son of a bitch. I'd rather get beat again in the playoffs than be sitting at home twiddling my fingers after playing Duke in the chicken bowl.


Amen! i want that arse again!
Posted by TigerFan55555
Tomball, TX
Member since Nov 2008
9577 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:23 pm to
I think this is what is going to happen..
(If LSU wins out of course, and thats a big if, Arkansas is for real, its our rival and they play us well every year, plus they came off a big win and we just came off a big loss)

I think two SEC schools get it. Bama and LSU
Bama Runs the Table and LSU gets better after loss (Harris starts to throw the shite out of it and people want to see a rematch)

Ohio St will lose to Michigan. I have $300 on it now.
Stanford will lose late again
Notre Dame will lose to Stanford
Baylor still has OK State and TCU left, they will lose one
OK State has a tough schedule left.

I dont see clemson losing (so you have clemson, Bama, LSU, plus one (I think Notre Dame has the best shot)

The only thing that could hurt LSU is not playing the McNeese Game and having the 9-1 record vs others with 10-1 records (Ok st/Baylor/Notre Dame/Ohio St)

It could come down to committee decision of who they think the best team is and who is playing the best. it would be hard to leave out an LSU team that handled Arkansas/Ole Miss/ and TAMU. Style points will matter over the next 3 games.
Posted by HollierThanThou
Member since Jan 2012
6209 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:28 pm to
I don't think we need Bama or Clemson to lose...would certainly help and be awesome but not likely imo.

If we are ranked 6-7 tonight and win our remaining three games by double digits, and have the needed teams lose ahead of us, then I think we are in. Realistically every team ahead of us have real potential losses ahead on their schedules. We only need 3, maybe even only two to happen.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18135 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

I think two SEC schools get it. Bama and LSU


Wishful thinking.

The committee isn't going to put in two SEC teams this year.
Posted by lsub16
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2014
376 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Miles does not have the players to beat Saban

Doesn't have the players? This year we have better players than bama, in 2011 we had better players than bama and they made us look stupid in the NC game.
Posted by PrideofTheSEC
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
4980 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:47 pm to
i wont believe we are out of it until we have 2 losses. simple as that, 14 point loss on the road to Bama is not a bad loss.
Posted by PrideofTheSEC
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2012
4980 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

this is correct. No way the committee invites an SEC team that didn't even win its division. Just not going to happen.
hmmm.... what if Bama's only loss was to LSU by 14 points in Baton rouge? role reversal, id say bama would get in.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18135 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

we are out of it until we have 2 losses. simple as that, 14 point loss on the road to Bama is not a bad loss.



Uh, did you actually watch the game???

Yes, the scoreboard said we lost by 14, but we were completely dominated and the game stats clearly show that. The committee will take notice.
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 5:16 pm to
He loses because his team is not nearly so good as that of Saban's.
Posted by lsusa
Doing Missionary work for LSU
Member since Oct 2005
4508 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 5:21 pm to
There are many more than 3....



Playoff Order:



Four of these five are IN if they happen.

Clemson (as undefeated ACC Champ)

Alabama (as 1-loss SEC Champ, Florida or LSU in as well, but likely lower seeded)

Undefeated Big Ten Champ (Ohio State or Iowa)

Undefeated Big 12 Champ (Okie State or Baylor)

1-loss Pac Ten Champ (if Stanford ) OR Notre Dame)

Now here’s where it becomes a real complicated case…You know, a lot of ins, a lot of outs, a lot of what-have yous.

1-loss Big 12 Champ (if Baylor or Oklahoma State)

1-loss non-champion LSU

1-loss Big Ten Champ (if Ohio State)

1-loss Pac-12 Champ (If Utah)

1-loss Big 12 Champ (if TCU or Oklahoma)

1-loss ACC Champ (Clemson or UNC) …team would have likely lost to South Carolina!

1-loss Big Ten Champ (Iowa, Michigan State)

2-loss Pac 12 Champ (Stanford, Utah)

2-loss Notre Dame

2-loss Big 10 Champ (Michigan)



No doubt- the committee will probably not want two teams for the same conference. Based on that and the fact that the Big 12 got left out last year, I think one-loss Baylor or Okie State with a “quality loss” would get in over 1-loss LSU…though there always could be some pro-LSU sentiment because of 2011. Ohio State could also be in the discussion based on the manner of loss – although the overall weakness of their schedule hurts them.

Assuming Bama wins out, LSU’s loss (#2 Bama) would be much better than Utah’s (18 to USC) Oklahoma’s (Texas) or TCUs (20 points to Okie State, who would obviously fall in rankings). 1-loss ACC Champs would be UNC (South Carolina) beats Clemson in title game or Clemson loses to South Carolina the week before. 1-loss Iowa as Big 10 Champ most likely is loss to Nebraska, which would also be 1-loss Michigan State’s.

Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 5:30 pm to
Odds are LSU loses much worse in a re-match.
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9036 posts
Posted on 11/10/15 at 5:32 pm to
LSU's loss is to a top three team. If the play off committee uses the same criteria they used to rank teams last week LSU should be ranked #5 and if they win the next three games they are in.
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 11/14/15 at 8:30 am to
Odds of LSU winning out are very long indeed.
Posted by GetmorewithLes
UK Basketball Fan
Member since Jan 2011
19049 posts
Posted on 11/14/15 at 9:16 am to
You left off the possibility that Bama could lose to College of Charleston...
first pageprev pagePage 2 of 3Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram