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What does this board expect from Tyler White this season?

Posted on 4/10/16 at 10:30 am
Posted by LSUlunatic
Member since Dec 2006
6833 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 10:30 am
He's hit at every level of the minors. Crushed it in AAA last season. Named MVP of the winter league. Crushed it in spring training this year. And off to an amazing start already. Can he keep it going? My corner infielder is Matt Carpenter, and I'm thinking of trading Carpenter to make room for White in my regular lineup. My only concern is AJ Reed. Thoughts?
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31080 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 10:39 am to
I think he could have a .350 OBP with 15 homers if everything works out. However, no one knows if this newfound power is sustainable.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72018 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 11:09 am to
Why don't you trade White and keep Carpenter
Posted by LSUlunatic
Member since Dec 2006
6833 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 11:30 am to
Perceived value. Carpenter's value right now >>> White's value right now. If White is likely to outperform Carpenter, it makes sense to keep White and trade Carp.
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31080 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:02 pm to
Tyler White should not outperform Carpenter.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72018 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Tyler White will not outperform Carpenter.
Posted by LSUlunatic
Member since Dec 2006
6833 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Tyler White should not outperform Carpenter.

I actually think White will come pretty close to Carpenter's 3 year average: 16 home runs, 74 RBI's, 109 runs, .288 avg.

ETA: I actually forecast White to hit more than 16 HR's and have less than 109 runs, but all in all, they're not that far apart. Thoughts?
This post was edited on 4/10/16 at 12:18 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31080 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:27 pm to
I would not look at Carpenter's three-year average. He changed his profile for 2015.

Strikeout rate
2013 13.7%
2014 15.7%
2015 22.7%

ISO
2013 .163
2014 .103
2015 .233

Home runs
2013 11
2014 8
2015 28

Essentially, Carpenter sacrificed contact for power. I have no idea what player he will be in 2016, but 2013/2014 Carpenter =/= 2015 Carpenter. If he keeps a similar profile to last year, then Carpenter will be much better than White. At White's best, he will approach Carpenter's 2013/2014 profile, which is a damn good player.
Posted by LSUlunatic
Member since Dec 2006
6833 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:31 pm to
Yea, and the only way White comes close to 13/14 Carpenter is if he has a job throughout the season, which I'm not sure is a given.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72018 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 12:41 pm to
You can look at carpenters 3 year averages and find a handful of players that hit those numbers consistently

White wouldnt be the first guy to have a hot 5 game stretch and fade away

Surely someone overvalues white. Trade for whatever you can get, keep carpenter
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54752 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 6:48 pm to
Disapproval of my meth operation.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278418 posts
Posted on 4/10/16 at 8:03 pm to
think Jeff Cirillo or Billy Butler when they were good. I think that is his ceiling.
Posted by broeho
Atlanta, Ga
Member since Jan 2013
1815 posts
Posted on 4/11/16 at 3:01 pm to
I think Carpenter and Heyward got caught in a lightning storm together in St. Louis and ended up switching bodies.

Jason Heyward's season last year was ACTUALLY Matt Carpenter and vice versa. It was like a freaky friday type deal.
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