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Predict Megatron's Output vs. Seattle (PPR)
Posted on 10/3/15 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 10/3/15 at 2:30 pm
Now that my weekly points monster (Antonio Brown) was held to 9 points, I have Megatron as my number 2 who must produce to beat this week's opponent. I do have Macklin on the bench (@ Cincy), but I certainly wouldn't start him over Megatron, right?
That said, what would be a REALISTIC 1PPR output for Megatron on Monday?
That said, what would be a REALISTIC 1PPR output for Megatron on Monday?
Posted on 10/3/15 at 2:34 pm to MUMFORD
quote:how the frick would any of us know this?
That said, what would be a REALISTIC 1PPR output for Megatron on Monday?
70 points
Posted on 10/3/15 at 2:37 pm to Fearthehat0307
quote:
how the frick would any of us know this?
70 points
Thanks for your prompt and insightful contribution to this post. Your are indeed a treasure.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 2:53 pm to MUMFORD
quote:I don't know what you are expecting. do you think someone on here has enough insight and knowledge or perhaps a delorean and can give you an accurate prediction?
Thanks for your prompt and insightful contribution to this post. Your are indeed a treasure.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 3:03 pm to Fearthehat0307
quote:
I don't know what you are expecting. do you think someone on here has enough insight and knowledge or perhaps a delorean and can give you an accurate prediction?
I think that's why it's called a "Prediction". Btw, I guess you would also call into question similar fantasy sites that also make similar projections? These boards sometimes........
This post was edited on 10/3/15 at 3:04 pm
Posted on 10/3/15 at 3:17 pm to MUMFORD
Some of those websites use actual statistical modelling to make what are called projections. What you are asking for here is for us to make a wild arse guess. It's a worthless and silly proposition.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 7:03 pm to MUMFORD
Depends on his breakfast. Last time he went shredded wheat, he had to go pants to ankles at halftime. If he goes oatmeal (and assuming non-teriyaki jerky pre-game) I could see home holding it until after the game. I'm thinking 2 logs, significant splash, 2 wiper single flush.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 7:17 pm to MUMFORD
You need to start both those wrs every week no matter who is throwing to them or who their match-up is.
Don't try to out think it. Calvin can out match any cb any week, it all comes down to opportunities and execution, and only his qb and coach have any control over that
Don't try to out think it. Calvin can out match any cb any week, it all comes down to opportunities and execution, and only his qb and coach have any control over that
Posted on 10/3/15 at 10:18 pm to NotoriousFSU
quote:
11 Rec. 128 yards. 2 TDs.
Given Seattle's D, that type of production would be huge and would offset A. Brown.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 10:20 pm to slapahoe
quote:
8 for 110 1 td
Would not complain with this line one bit.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 10:22 pm to TaderSalad
quote:
11.76pts
With Antonio putting up 9pts, this would most likely sink me. I'm expecting the guy I'm facing to drop up a big number.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 10:31 pm to jamarcus comeback
quote:
You need to start both those wrs every week no matter who is throwing to them or who their match-up is.
Don't try to out think it. Calvin can out match any cb any week, it all comes down to opportunities and execution, and only his qb and coach have any control over that
Thanks. My cerebral side is saying that and more, but those pesky emotions. Was actually hoping to have someone make the case for not starting Megatron. No way I think Macklin @ Cincy is a better option, but Stafford and Detroit's O-line scare me against Seattle's Defense.
Posted on 10/3/15 at 10:55 pm to MUMFORD
this guy may be able to help you
Posted on 10/3/15 at 11:05 pm to Fearthehat0307
quote:
how the frick would any of us know this?
Posted on 10/3/15 at 11:36 pm to MUMFORD
Lets say you have same PPR scoring as me except for the 1 point PPR(I adjusted the points accordingly to factor that in)
@SD 2 Rec 39 Yards 0 TD 5 Points
@Min 10 Rec 83 Yards 1 TD 24 Points
Den 8 Rec 77 Yards 0 TD 15 Points
With Chancellor and Thomas playing and considering Mega has not gone over the 100 yard barrier so far I would say it is safe to assume he would not do so against Seattle either. Considering YAC will come at a premium. Yard points(6-9)
Mega is used all over the field especially in the slot so worrying over Sherman who never leaves his outside spot would likely be a minimal factor on limited plays if at all.
Stafford has averaged 42.6 pass attempts this season/42 attempts over the past 4 years. Factor in his erratic throws and lets just say roughly 10 of those attempts have no chance of being completed. Leaving 32 realistic in play targets.
Considering the lack of rush attack established by Detroit already. Seattle has not given up a rushing TD this season and also ranks as the no.1 fantasy rush D. Plus side Det will be forced into the air...bad news is Seattle knows and welcomes it.
Seattle has given up points this season on the road(31 to STL and 27 to GB). However safety play has to be factored in those performances. Chancellor DNP in either of those games and Thomas was returning from injury in the second against AR.
At home albeit against Jimmy Clausen, Seattle forced a doughnut on the scoreboard. Offensively the Lions are probably somewhere in between GB and Chi to be honest...they have put up points only in the teens against solid defenses thus far and barely. Realistically Detroit will score 1-2 passing TDs.
On any TD pass by Stafford Megatron is guaranteed a look as either 1st or 2nd progression however in the RZ Ebron is emerging as a target as well(only probable vulture).
Yard Points 6-9
Targets 7-11
TD 0-1
My Expectation - 10 Targets, 6-7 Rec, 70-80+ Yards, 1 TD
Megatron = 19-21 points/ I would say last weeks production plus a score is a pretty fair prediction. Not every team can employ Aquib Talib on Mega the whole game...even still if it had not been for Holding and Pass Interference calls his score even last week would have been better.
He is the no.1 target on an offense that is going to throw a lot. Not well...but a lot.
@SD 2 Rec 39 Yards 0 TD 5 Points
@Min 10 Rec 83 Yards 1 TD 24 Points
Den 8 Rec 77 Yards 0 TD 15 Points
With Chancellor and Thomas playing and considering Mega has not gone over the 100 yard barrier so far I would say it is safe to assume he would not do so against Seattle either. Considering YAC will come at a premium. Yard points(6-9)
Mega is used all over the field especially in the slot so worrying over Sherman who never leaves his outside spot would likely be a minimal factor on limited plays if at all.
Stafford has averaged 42.6 pass attempts this season/42 attempts over the past 4 years. Factor in his erratic throws and lets just say roughly 10 of those attempts have no chance of being completed. Leaving 32 realistic in play targets.
Considering the lack of rush attack established by Detroit already. Seattle has not given up a rushing TD this season and also ranks as the no.1 fantasy rush D. Plus side Det will be forced into the air...bad news is Seattle knows and welcomes it.
Seattle has given up points this season on the road(31 to STL and 27 to GB). However safety play has to be factored in those performances. Chancellor DNP in either of those games and Thomas was returning from injury in the second against AR.
At home albeit against Jimmy Clausen, Seattle forced a doughnut on the scoreboard. Offensively the Lions are probably somewhere in between GB and Chi to be honest...they have put up points only in the teens against solid defenses thus far and barely. Realistically Detroit will score 1-2 passing TDs.
On any TD pass by Stafford Megatron is guaranteed a look as either 1st or 2nd progression however in the RZ Ebron is emerging as a target as well(only probable vulture).
Yard Points 6-9
Targets 7-11
TD 0-1
My Expectation - 10 Targets, 6-7 Rec, 70-80+ Yards, 1 TD
Megatron = 19-21 points/ I would say last weeks production plus a score is a pretty fair prediction. Not every team can employ Aquib Talib on Mega the whole game...even still if it had not been for Holding and Pass Interference calls his score even last week would have been better.
He is the no.1 target on an offense that is going to throw a lot. Not well...but a lot.
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