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sharing interesting S curve bracket, with predictions for the final field
Posted on 1/24/15 at 9:56 am
Posted on 1/24/15 at 9:56 am
LINK /
This thing has LSU losing a lot of games the rest of the season. But they also have Virginia and Arizona losing two more and U of K losing one.
click on any team and there is a bar graph with their possible seeds, based on statistics, and their possible results in the tournament.
statistics do not match up perfectly. bar graph has LSU with .2 chance of making it to the final four, and words in the webpage say .3 chance of making it to the final four.
Worst thing about it is predicted low percentage of actually being selected at all.
This thing has LSU losing a lot of games the rest of the season. But they also have Virginia and Arizona losing two more and U of K losing one.
click on any team and there is a bar graph with their possible seeds, based on statistics, and their possible results in the tournament.
statistics do not match up perfectly. bar graph has LSU with .2 chance of making it to the final four, and words in the webpage say .3 chance of making it to the final four.
Worst thing about it is predicted low percentage of actually being selected at all.
This post was edited on 1/24/15 at 10:00 am
6
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:11 am to sassyLSU
I think that's about right.
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:18 am to sassyLSU
I question the UGA numbers. (just first glance reaction)
second glace lol@UF.
we dominated and embarrassed them in G'ville and they sit on top of us on that "ranking." amusing.
second glace lol@UF.
we dominated and embarrassed them in G'ville and they sit on top of us on that "ranking." amusing.
This post was edited on 1/24/15 at 10:20 am
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:18 am to sassyLSU
Need to be able to coach offense vs a zone to get into the tournament. Stallings will abuse us today
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:24 am to sassyLSU
SEC tourney winner gets an auto bid and I think our chances would be significantly higher than 1% of winning that tourney.
I get it that it's low because they think UK cleans everyone's clock, but statistically in the history of the universe even the most dominant teams have a higher than 1% chance of losing a tournament game.
I get it that it's low because they think UK cleans everyone's clock, but statistically in the history of the universe even the most dominant teams have a higher than 1% chance of losing a tournament game.
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:27 am to sassyLSU
this is pretty much exactly what i was saying the other day but i was harshly scolded because lsu is in "great position" to make the tourney. i just don't agree. the margin for error is slim. the a&m and mizzou losses are hurting worse than some people are admitting. the other problem is that lsu doesn't have plenty of opportunities to make it up the rest of the way when you look at rpi and sos. yes, the sec is improved but, when you lose those games that you need to win, the chances decrease significantly. obviously, lsu needs to win a lot of games from here on out.
they have lsu winning 7 of the next 13 games. that won't be easy with this team being so inconsistent. the chances of beating ky and ark are pretty low so that likely leaves 11 to win 7.
i would like to think lsu can beat auburn twice and state. that's 3. scar is really crumbling so lsu should take care of business at home. that's 4. i can't say i'm confident lsu could win 4 more against the remaining 7. and that's to squeak in as a 13 seed with top 2 talent in the conference.
i hope i'm wrong and they start playing up to their potential.
they have lsu winning 7 of the next 13 games. that won't be easy with this team being so inconsistent. the chances of beating ky and ark are pretty low so that likely leaves 11 to win 7.
i would like to think lsu can beat auburn twice and state. that's 3. scar is really crumbling so lsu should take care of business at home. that's 4. i can't say i'm confident lsu could win 4 more against the remaining 7. and that's to squeak in as a 13 seed with top 2 talent in the conference.
i hope i'm wrong and they start playing up to their potential.
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:29 am to McLemore
quote:florida's sos is significantly higher than lsu's. if they're within 2 wins of lsu at the end of the season like this predicts, there's no reason to think they won't be somewhere near lsu. with their recent history, it's reasonable that they would get the benefit of the doubt over lsu
second glace lol@UF
Posted on 1/24/15 at 10:54 am to bfniii
this
Florida actually schedule good non-confernce opponents. They played Miami, Georgetown, UNC, and Kansas. LSU's only strong NC games were against WV and Old Dom. The reason Florida's W-L is so bad is because they lost to better teams. LSU keeps losing to chump squads. Hopefully LSU has turned a corner and understand the basketball they have to play in order to win. I think if Florida gets a decent amount of confernce wins and make a deep run in the SEC tourney they will get into the big dance. I really see only 3-4 teams from the SEC make the NCAA tourney. LSU has to play strong basketball from here on out. Having a good home stretch should help after all the road games we have already played.
Florida actually schedule good non-confernce opponents. They played Miami, Georgetown, UNC, and Kansas. LSU's only strong NC games were against WV and Old Dom. The reason Florida's W-L is so bad is because they lost to better teams. LSU keeps losing to chump squads. Hopefully LSU has turned a corner and understand the basketball they have to play in order to win. I think if Florida gets a decent amount of confernce wins and make a deep run in the SEC tourney they will get into the big dance. I really see only 3-4 teams from the SEC make the NCAA tourney. LSU has to play strong basketball from here on out. Having a good home stretch should help after all the road games we have already played.
This post was edited on 1/24/15 at 10:56 am
Posted on 1/24/15 at 11:01 am to bfniii
quote:
Florida's sos is significantly higher than lsu's. if they're within 2 wins of lsu at the end of the season like this predicts, there's no reason to think they won't be somewhere near lsu. with their recent history, it's reasonable that they would get the benefit of the doubt over lsu
Fair. It's just hard to fathom after the other night. But then again, our losses have all been hard to fathom. Especially Clemson, Mizzou and blowing it against aTm. I didn't see the Old Dom game. Wait that's all our losses. We're a bounce or two away from undefeated. But also look uncoached half the time.
But UF looked like garbage most of that game.
This post was edited on 1/24/15 at 11:02 am
Posted on 1/24/15 at 11:33 am to sassyLSU
A projected record of 21-10 means that we would finish 7-6 during our final 13 conference games. There is absolutely no way that finishing with a 10-8 conference record in the SEC will get us to the tournament. The committee routinely screws overs SEC bubble teams.
Posted on 1/24/15 at 12:17 pm to Bonck1987
quote:unfortunately, old dominion's weak sos is causing them to steadily fall down the rpi rankings. that loss isn't looking nearly as good now.
LSU's only strong NC games were against WV and Old Dom
Posted on 1/24/15 at 12:19 pm to saint amant steve
quote:that's another important point. the last 12 games of the season is about to start which is when you want to get hot. lsu can't afford to be inconsistent or just north of .500. they need to take care of business and potentially win one of ky/ark. the 3 remaining games against tenn and a&m are really important now.
we would finish 7-6 during our final 13 conference games
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