Fantasy Basketball Sleepers/Mega-Thread

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Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too?

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He's hit 4 in the last 4 games..didn't take a shot from 3 last night. Will be interesting to see if it's just preseason "fun" or if he actually developed long range touch.

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But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

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In a redraft, I'd take him behind Bynum and Cousins and over Pau.

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Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant?

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I hate Turner. Wouldn't touch him based on where he's being drafted. JRich and Wright are the two value plays.

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-Amare, Griffin, Nene. Lots of upside here or stay away?

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I'd stay away from all 3 based on ADP. Maybe Nene late, but that's an extremely crowded frontcourt.

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Guys that I like to out-perform their ranking:
Conley, Monroe, Bosh, Gallinari, Unibrow, Holiday, Matthews, Bogut, Varejao, Faried, JR Smith, Lillard, Asik, Pekovic.

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Conley and Monroe were top 25 players last season. Both could propel into the top 15 this season if:

Conley stops shooting so much. His FG% is killer. But he could end up being elite in steals, assists, FT%, 3PM if he "takes the next step". Also rebounds well for a PG.

Monroe could be the Pau Gasol on this decade if he can block a full shot, shot and a half.

Galinari, Bosh, Holiday, Matthews are going to trend downwards IMO.

Unibrow, Faried, Asik, Pekovic are trending upward.

Bogut and Varejao will be who they always are.

JR Smith is meh.

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Other things I'm interested in:
-Serge Ibaka breakout year. Should see an increase in minutes so those raw numbers should go up. Might be dropping the occasional 3 pointer all of a sudden too? But where do you take him in comparison to Bynum, Pau, Cousins, etc?

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Will he get a chance to score (or step out beyond the arc?) with Durant, Westbrook, and Harden shooting the ball? Probably not. His rebounds should increase by default if he plays more minutes. Maybe he becomes a 2 stat guy this year. He is no doubt a dominant shot blocker and plays his role well with the Thunder, but if doesn't bring down double digit boards he will secure his spot as most overrated fantasy player 2 years running. I wouldn't take him over Pau, Cousins, or Bynum in a regular league, but over Pau in a keeper probably.

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Philly's wings. Who out of Turner, JRich, Wright, and Nick Young is fantasy relevant? Turner is going the highest but I don't think he's a lock to keep his starting job. Dorell Wright has the most upside here IMO.

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Don't really like any of them, but Turner had some big games last year when he got a chance.

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-Amare, Griffin, Nene. Lots of upside here or stay away? 3 guys that were elite two years ago but tanked last year.

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Griffin is interesting, but his FT% is killer.

As to other sleepers,

Guys like Klay Thompson, Dragic and Ilyasova will take huge jumps in their rankings from last season.

Grevis Vazquez
Robin Lopez
James Johnson (if he gets minutes)
Alonzo Gee
Chandler Parsons
Trevor Booker
JJ Hickson
Lester Hudson

Some other guys that have looked awesome so far in the preseason:

Eric Bledsoe
JJ Reddick
Jason Richardson
Kemba Walker
Deandre Jordan
Carlos Boozer
Markieff Morris
Damian Lillard
Jonas Valuncianes
Jae Crowder


All could easily outperform their ADP

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Some other guys that have looked awesome so far in the preseason:

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How does this translate to reg season? Thinking of playing for the first time, what are some quick rules different then fantasy football?

Ersan ilyasova
Klay Thompson
Big baby
Damian Lillard
AK47
Chandler Parsons
Jae Crowder

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Eric Bledsoe
JJ Reddick
Jason Richardson
Kemba Walker
Deandre Jordan
Carlos Boozer
Markieff Morris
Damian Lillard
Jonas Valuncianes
Jae Crowder

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Solid list. Did not realize Valanciunas was going so late, everyone should target him. Minutes are going to determine how valuable Bledsoe, JRich, Morris, and Crowder are but I like them all. Boozer (and Elton Brand) seems to go under-drafted in my leagues every year expecting a drop off and it never happens.

Definitely aiming to snag Crowder in the last round while Dirk is out. Who else is out there that can take advantage of early injury situations? Hawes, Ridnour, Hinrich should see lots of minutes.