- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
0
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:05 pm to Lsujacket66
LSU was favored over Moo St. by 18 before the game started. How'd that turn out?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:05 pm to Eighteen
quote:
It’s possible, and really COVID would be mostly to blame.
The Dow has been restored pre-covid levels, unemployment is set to be back in the 7-8% range by election time, and consumer confidence (index) is back above 100 for the first time since the pandemic. He has quietly righted the ship, and he needs to hammer this home.
Biden will certainly hit him with the 1/5 deaths bullshite so he needs to point out that our case positivity rates and death rates are completely consistent with EU28 nations that have similar demographics and response protocols.
This post was edited on 9/29/20 at 1:08 pm
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:09 pm to Lsujacket66
Ha. The polls are cooked to get rid of the electoral college after Trump wins.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:10 pm to mightyMick
quote:
Fake news uses fake polls.
is fox fake news?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:11 pm to ksayetiger
They are arguably one of the worst polling outfits out there.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:13 pm to Lsujacket66
I don't believe R favorable polls exist.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:13 pm to ksayetiger
quote:
is fox fake news?
almost 100% of it, yes. And their poll is probably the worst one in the entire nation, and thats saying something.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:14 pm to ksayetiger
quote:
is fox fake news?
Depends. They tell you want they want you to hear but they don't always tell what you need to hear. Kinda a mini CNN.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:15 pm to Lsujacket66
quote:
I feel like Trump is probably 50/50 right now
and you just showed how retarded you are or you area bad troll
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:17 pm to Lsujacket66
When screaming liberal Martha Raddatz admits that she has been traveling all over the country and she has seen "no enthusiasm for Biden anywhere". That tells me all I need to know.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:18 pm to ksayetiger
quote:
is fox fake news?
Fox News is the worst poll there is. That is widely known.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Why not just wait and see?
Why do you people come to this board assuming we know the answer to this question?
What is the point?
Because this is a message board and a place for discussion?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:20 pm to ChexMix
quote:
Dems hail mary on voter fraud
This. Hopefully the Project Veritas video hurt them a bit. They say there is more to come.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:21 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
It has been very frustrating to see little to no pushback against these pre-planned media fake news stories coming out each week.
Or you can take it as a sign his internal polling has him up huge.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:26 pm to Lsujacket66
The first problem w your premise is “the polls suck”, they don’t. People love to say they were wrong in 2016, they weren’t, in fact just the opposite (esp on the national level).
Polls aren’t binary (right or wrong), they’re quantitative, as in margin of error. National avg margin of error going back about 50 years is 4.1, they were 3.1 in 2016, substantially better. State historic avg is 4.8, they were 5.1 in 2016, slightly worse.
But if you insist on just a “right or wrong” metric, which is foolish but whatever, even then they call general elections correctly about 84% of the time. If the polls are just as wrong as they were 2016 (same margin of error, and well just assume going DJTs way, which is no lock), Biden wins comfortably, if nothing changes from now and Election Day.
So yes, he’s behind and in trouble, but he could definitely still win.
Polls aren’t binary (right or wrong), they’re quantitative, as in margin of error. National avg margin of error going back about 50 years is 4.1, they were 3.1 in 2016, substantially better. State historic avg is 4.8, they were 5.1 in 2016, slightly worse.
But if you insist on just a “right or wrong” metric, which is foolish but whatever, even then they call general elections correctly about 84% of the time. If the polls are just as wrong as they were 2016 (same margin of error, and well just assume going DJTs way, which is no lock), Biden wins comfortably, if nothing changes from now and Election Day.
So yes, he’s behind and in trouble, but he could definitely still win.
This post was edited on 9/29/20 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:32 pm to Lsujacket66
The polling experts didn't know how to poll Trump in 2016.
This is not the same electorate as 2016. How to measure enthusiasm is guesswork at best. Whichever side is motivated to go to the polls in the Rust Belt will probably win this election.
It's hard to imagine that Democrats are more enthusiastic to go to the polls than they were with Clinton, but it's impossible to measure how many stayed home in 2016 because they thought she was guaranteed the win.
This is not the same electorate as 2016. How to measure enthusiasm is guesswork at best. Whichever side is motivated to go to the polls in the Rust Belt will probably win this election.
It's hard to imagine that Democrats are more enthusiastic to go to the polls than they were with Clinton, but it's impossible to measure how many stayed home in 2016 because they thought she was guaranteed the win.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:43 pm to IslandBuckeye
quote:
Just show up to the polls and vote.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:50 pm to Lsujacket66
He is losing and is going to lose. No one on this board with admit it but covid, mail-in voting, and other factors are too much to overcome. Biden is a slobering basement dweller and crushing the polls. simply because OMB
Posted on 9/29/20 at 1:51 pm to chaseutvols
quote:
He is losing and is going to lose. No one on this board with admit it but covid, mail-in voting, and other factors are too much to overcome. Biden is a slobering basement dweller and crushing the polls. simply because OMB
Well put, and I agree.
Page 2 of 3
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News