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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:23 am to
Posted by Ron Cheramie
The Cajun Hedgehog
Member since Aug 2016
5149 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:23 am to
Everyone needs to take a breath and zoom out

Look at where this stock was three months ago. It has doubled in 3 months We are good fam
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:33 am to
These big dips on so little volume are so annoying. It takes 10X the volume to get a big move up versus a big move down.
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3154 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:42 am to
Not selling yet but my concern is rising.

No updates in a long time. Lithium market is green across the board again, and SLI is down again.

May be close to taking some profits and diversifying finally.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:42 am to
I agree but technical traders are already talking about how the uptrend has been lost here. We need to get the ball rolling on the JV to get into and hold anything above $7 imho. I'm OK with this consolidation, don't want the huge spike to $20+ until next year when all my shares are long term cap gains anyways...
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:46 am to
quote:

May be close to taking some profits and diversifying finally.


Yeah it's no fun to see ALB/LAC/LLKKF/CYDVF all up and this is down 2-3%. It did run harder than any of those stocks so, so maybe just long term things are averaging out?

Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11876 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:58 am to
I think psychologically it would be easier if we didn’t know news is out there. Tetra PEA in ‘early q3’. Obviously JV. More info on sifter and South American inflow of below battery grade.

Knowing stuff is pending makes it harder
Posted by Krayfish11
Member since Aug 2021
27 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 8:59 am to
Or it’s .80 cents
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:00 am to
I just wish that the people at sli would realize that a lot of us depend on sli to make a living and make the stock go up
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:01 am to
quote:

don't want the huge spike to $20+ until next year

Chill out with the hate speech

Besides kamala is gonna tax those unrealized capital gains next year

Pay ya tax
Wear ya max
Don’t ax

ETA: and most importantly: get ya vax
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:04 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:03 am to
Yeah I'm not expecting JV news for another month or so, but on the flip side I think the lag we expected between the JV announcement and FID being reached on the 1st plant (which I had originally thought would be 3-4 months), will probably be much shorter than that. So they still may get to the same starting point of starting Plant 1 construction at the start of 2022.

I fully expect the shorts and the MM's to make it a painful game for us to wait on the news, but as they say it's darkest before the dawn.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:05 am to
I just need one rocketing stock in my portfolio at all times to keep me from getting bored, haha. ORGN has been good for that the past week.
Posted by Yak
DuPage County
Member since May 2014
4672 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Or it’s .80 cents
What makes you think that?
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:10 am to
Girls at the bar be like:


“He held instead of selling standard lithium for 8.50”
Posted by Hogwallop
Member since Jul 2021
413 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am to
What if dilution happens before JV
Posted by Krayfish11
Member since Aug 2021
27 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:11 am to
Because one year ago that’s what it was worth. Not much has changed since then.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:13 am
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53104 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:16 am to
quote:


Because one year ago that’s what it was worth. Not much has changed since then.



We have a shelf offering now. And t shirts!


ETA: finna plummet below 6. 5.75 inbound
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:19 am
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3154 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:19 am to
Yeh I think the price point is probably settling in at a fair value. That $8-9 range was overvalued for the information the market has available.

My concern is that there are a bevy of guidances on timeline that are all pretty much past due.

PEA of tetra was supposed to be early Q3. Why haven’t they released that? Not terribly late, but it’s one of many.

Sift plant commissioning should have occurred by now. Was scheduled to begin after weatherproofing of the skid in late July. No updates there.

Full economic feasibility of Lanxess/south Arkansas leases was supposed to be done in 2020 and is one of the requirements of the JV. Where is that?

JV is also contingent on successful proof of concept, which includes running the Sift plant for 12 months. Does the run time in Canada count towards this 12 months? Are we still 1 year from the earliest possible JV completion?

The most recent guidance from Standard directly related to the JV says they hoped to have it done in 2020. We are woefully overdue for a general status update on the JV effort.

I’ve been studying the information available to us a bit more closely and realize we are a bit more in the dark than I would like.

Now, that was my pessimistic outlook. There is plenty of positive information you could glean as well. The recent shelf offering would supply over half of the estimated Capex for the commercial scale plant. Is Standard proving that it can supply XX amount of funding to the JV a part of the negotiations, which would now be solidified? Is commissioning of the Sift unit at Lanxess south plant another milestone for execution? Again, they wanted 12 months runtime, but if the Canada run time counts we could just be waiting on the first sample to pop out in Arkansas.

Plenty of big time news could be dropping literally any day.

The market is just so out of the loop now. I may formulate these concerns a bit more eloquently and send Mintak an email to see if he can expound on anything.
Posted by skewbs
Member since Apr 2008
2009 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:30 am to
quote:

The market is just so out of the loop now. I may formulate these concerns a bit more eloquently and send Mintak an email to see if he can expound on anything.


Also ask him if they have an open position for Director of Investor (or Public) Relations. I will apply today.
Posted by adupy
Mandeville
Member since May 2009
67 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Fe_Mike


I don't think it would hurt to drop him a message.

In the interviews he's done historically, he is very specific when he mentions updates/status that this is public information so he can speak about it.

If he doesn't offer anything of substance, perhaps nothing else, it can be a catalyst for a public update.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 9:35 am
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
24272 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 9:32 am to
That would be an excellent email, much more productive than a hat or a shirt solicitation.
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