quote:

Except for the reality that mortality shoots through the roof in multiple places where population density causes a flood of cases.

For what you say to be sure, you wouldn’t see the pattern in multiple countries of a localized area accounting for a disproportionate portion of mortality vs population.

Social distancing doesnt impact severity of the illness, just the slows the rate of infection for fricks sake. This means that of those who get infected the same mortality rate will be seenit just spreads out the same mortality rate in time. A virus doesnt work harder to kill you because you live in New York vs Idaho.
Social distance flattens the curve, it doesnt reduce the area under the curve. Flu vaccines do both.

This post was edited on 4/18/20 at 10:17 pm

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Posted by Volvagia

Fort Worth

Member since Mar 2006

51948 posts

Posted on 4/18/20 at 10:41 pm to AMS

quote:
Social distance flattens the curve, it doesnt reduce the area under the curve. Flu vaccines do both.

In theoretical absolute terms, you are correct.

But the real world is not in a vacuum.

Or are you the only “Muh flu” who doesn’t think there are drugs which have efficacy against coronavirus?

The point of “flatting the curve” isn’t just to prevent overwhelming the health care system in the short term. Granted, it hasn’t been a prominent talking point else where so I wouldn’t expect you to be aware.

It gives a chance to find what drugs help in what manner, and start spoolling up logistics to deliver that care.

And yes, developing a standard of care and having a clearly defined disease pathology does impact mortality in a positive manner.

quote:
This means that of those who get infected the same mortality rate will be seenit just spreads out the same mortality rate in time. A virus doesnt work harder to kill you because you live in New York vs Idaho.

Okay.

Then explain why every single country with more than 20k cases has at least one region with a local CFR more than double the national average.

China, Italy, US, France, Spain, hell even Germany has that pattern.

I offered an explanation. Could be wrong of course, but your response was that because you couldn’t explain away reality, so reality didn’t exist.