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Started By
Message
IHME model is getting better for the US...stabilizing as we get more and more good data
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:45 am
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:45 am
Check out the comparison of the last 3 big updates.
FYI those two states are the ones I care most about so I've been tracking along with US...
Louisiana projections slightly worse, but the US overall WAY better. This is a great story. The data is stabilizing and we are getting better models.
FYI those two states are the ones I care most about so I've been tracking along with US...
Louisiana projections slightly worse, but the US overall WAY better. This is a great story. The data is stabilizing and we are getting better models.
14
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:46 am to TheCaterpillar
Jesus took the wheel.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:48 am to TheCaterpillar
Because Louisiana was one of the hardest-hit states early on, it makes sense that our numbers would stabilize earlier than other states and then adjust upwards a little.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:50 am to TheCaterpillar
You mean they are correcting it for the ridiculous over projections used to take the economy down to get Trump
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:53 am to TheCaterpillar
Doesn't this update assume we stay in lockdown till August though?
or just social distancing? the terminology on this is confusing sometimes
or just social distancing? the terminology on this is confusing sometimes
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:55 am to TheCaterpillar
Literally the flu
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:59 am to TheCaterpillar
excellent news.
now we should get back to work in a week or so, so that we don’t destroy the economy because of media fear mongering.
now we should get back to work in a week or so, so that we don’t destroy the economy because of media fear mongering.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:00 am to TheCaterpillar
Such a tasty nothingburger
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:02 am to TheCaterpillar
It has been a couple of days since I checked--is the model still predicting 5,500 deaths in Alabama by the end of April? Because the Alabama Dept. of Public Health says that there are only 271 people hospitalized state wide for this and I am having a hard time reconciling these figures.
A lot of significant decisions were made based on that 5,500 death projection.
A lot of significant decisions were made based on that 5,500 death projection.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:17 am to TheCaterpillar
Lots of modeling apologists. You cannot put out these ridiculously overstated numbers and expect people to take you seriously next time.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:59 am to TheCaterpillar
Can you give a link to the table?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:08 am to TheCaterpillar
The models being so sensitive makes me question why the confidence intervals around them weren't focused on when they initially were giving out the grim extrapolations.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:21 am to TheCaterpillar
I mean these are drastic changes in the past week. Can’t see how this is not great news
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:27 am to TheCaterpillar
It’s funny how many of y’all were scared at first and wanted your vacation but now that your wife’s boyfriend drinks all your orange juice all the time you want everybody to go back to work
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:33 am to TheCaterpillar
Stay at home is working.
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