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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/26/20 12PM CT Update: 2,305 Cases - 18,029 tested - 83 dead
Posted on 3/26/20 at 1:33 pm to jrobic4
Posted on 3/26/20 at 1:33 pm to jrobic4
quote:
don't even have the words to begin to critique you as an amateur immunologist... But I will say this, your data picks and chooses data points to compare certain region of Italy versus the entire state (schools closed-LA day 6, Lombardy day 7), or the entire nation versus our entire state. (lockdown LA day 14, lockdown Italy day 24) with other data points in between to obscure the overall picture and help your Argument
He never claimed those things. He simply posted the chart that compared day 1 of Italy case to day 1 of case in LA.
I am anything but a sky screamer and think we should open things back up....but God damn, how sense you got to be to not see deaths are tracking at the same pace.
The chart was posted four days ago and for four days people have been using the same argument as you, yet the numbers for 4 days straight have held true and on the same path. How can you not acknowledge that.
I personally don't think we will get close to he levels as Italy, but damn man we are tracking at that rate and your dumbass argument doesn't hold up at all.
1
Posted on 3/26/20 at 4:10 pm to lsu777
quote:
The chart was posted four days ago and for four days people have been using the same argument as you, yet the numbers for 4 days straight have held true and on the same path. How can you not acknowledge that.
Because science.
Let's say I have to flip a coin 100x.
50x in and I have flipped 50 heads in a row.
What will the next coin flip be?
In experimental design, if a set of data gives you a result you expect, it does not make the result valid. Quite the opposite. The expectation introduces a bias which shits on your experiment.
The formula is incorrect. The empirical data are valid numbers, yes. But the data are incomplete. Without knowing testing rates, population density, risk factors, eliminating deaths not attributable to the virus, correcting for deaths not being attributed to it, or correctly indexing all of the above into empirical vs normative data sets... The numbers are worthless.
<---Nerd
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