re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/26/20 12PM CT Update: 2,305 Cases - 18,029 tested - 83 dead

You have to account for all the people using them for other things too. Car accidents, major surgeries, etc.

good looking out.

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239 on ventilators.

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Given this, and that guestimate 70% on vents pass away and that they are spread out on the vents from lets say 5-7 days. Then (239*.7)/5 = 33.5 a day would pass in the future.

That's completely rookie ballparking it. If over 7 days it would be 24/ day die and if 10 days it would be 17.

Doesn't seem horribly doom and gloom as the amount that recover could be much better than that.

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Lombardy has been on a steady decline in cases.

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Northern Italy doesn’t have more cases than Southern Italy?

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Lombardy has been on a steady decline in cases

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Yeah but only after 7500 deaths. 7500 deaths in LA alone would be insane and the death numbers in Italy are still climbing like a moth f'er

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How do you not notice the qualifier in your own statement?

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Per the handwritten chart, Italy and La. have roughly the same death totals after 14 days of their respective outbreaks. Italy has 14 times the population La. has and you don’t think this is a cause for concern? Why not?

Can someone explain some of these numbers:

Tests completed: 2,254
Commercial Test Completed: 15,775

Are these numbers indicating that LA has completed over 18k tests so far.

Cases Reported: 2305
Deaths: 83
Would we subtract these from the total cases and determined 15.6k were negative or recovered

Cases in Hospitals: 676
On Vents: 239

Is hospital reported as Serious & on vents Critical

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- 83 dead by More beer please
Because it’s a handwritten chart on the internet...

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Post a better one.

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Can someone explain some of these numbers:

Tests completed: 2,254
Commercial Test Completed: 15,775

Are these numbers indicating that LA has completed over 18k tests so far.

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Yes, the 2,254 is the number of tests done by the State Lab. 15,775 done by Quest, Lab Corp, etc

FYI

With respect to how the numbers will look in the coming days/weeks:

I know someone personally that was tested yesterday, who has been exhibiting symptoms for about a week, that was told it would be 5-7 days before the test results would be communicated.

So, I think its safe to assume that people that contracted the disease 10 days ago, will not show in the positive test numbers for another 7 days. I don’t suspect we’ll see numbers dropping anytime soon, even if actual contraction of the disease is shrinking.