To those who say you can’t compare CV19 to H1N1

You can’t compare since H1N1 was way worse

US deaths from COVID19 will be dramatically lower than H1N1. Wuhan virus has below 1000 deaths after 4-5 months (we’ve only been testing for 1-2 months the virus has been here longer than we began testing.)

H1n1 over 12k deaths in 13 months. Will be ~2x higher than wuhan virus death toll.

Hard to say. The southern US and Mexico were the epicenter of H1N1 and it was widespread before it was discovered. With CV19 we had several weeks notice and could have accepted tests before community spread happened.

However, CV19 is far more deadly and being above 500 deaths now tells me that holding this to 5k deaths may be just wishful thinking at this point.

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FTR we are at 500 right now.

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We were at 566 as of midnight GMT. 132 people also died today, higher than yesterday, and yesterday was higher than the day before.

How many people did H1N1 kill on a daily basis?

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If, at the end of this, US deaths end up less than H1N1 (roughly 12,000) then wouldn’t that be a massive success? We keep hearing this is so much worse than H1N1, which justifies the closures, panic, etc. But if we end up at say 5,000 deaths, then what?

FTR we are at 500 right now.

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I don’t think 15000-20000 is a crazy number when you compare it to what the flu can do in a given year. I’d like to hear SFP’s prediction. He’s spent the past few days haranguing the Poli Talk board about this being the second coming of the Black Death.

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To those who say you can’t compare CV19 to H1N1

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I think it is an apt comparison to the original H1N1 pandemic in 1918.