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Message
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Posted on 2/26/19 at 5:27 pm to 610man
quote:
Duke, seemed to have really changed in regards to Saturday and Sunday, what are your thoughts?
The models are really struggling with the set up.
The thinking has shifted to not having a front stall potentially on Friday but instead having one big one push through Sunday. This presents a challenge since there will be a warm air surge coming in to meet the front, and thus can provide some actual instability for thunderstorms on Sunday to spite my thoughts from a few hours ago.
It's a really fricking tricky set up. The timing of the frontal passage is paramount for Sunday. The later in the day, the worse the rain and possible thunderstorm potential becomes.
Expect the forecast to keep shifting around. I wouldn't be surprised we're still pretty uncertain going into Friday.
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