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re: Now that the regular season is over: A comparison of Harris and Etling

Posted on 11/29/16 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35475 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 12:59 pm to
quote:


Harris

66
56
71
99
95
8
71
3
58
54
51
127
7

avg=

Etling

110
21
18
117
6
110
1
75
92

Avg=

So yes, the he had more cupcakes for his stats are a myth.
Looks to me like Etling has faced 4 stout defenses out of 9, while Harris has played 3 stout defenses out of 13.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11131 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

If teams aren't selling out to stop the run, Danny can't complete passes consistently. That is what he has shown

What. The. frick....
Posted by rob62
Member since Sep 2016
5165 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 12:59 pm to
Dude, the coaches decided. It's over. Your love affair with Harris is duly noted.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

And I am saying that I agree he passes the eye ball test better than Harris. However, that did not translate to better production or most importantly into better play against good defenses. With Etling at QB playing as he has been, we need the running game to flat out dominate the other team for us to win. Against Bama he failed even in a basic caretaker role missing wide open layups multiple times. He either needs to improve or we need to hope there is a better QB on the roster next year.
100% agreed.
Posted by setinways12
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2015
989 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Harris was 2/11 for I believe. I imagine over a season we would go from 42-43%



So you were wrong...I looked at the third down conversions and we were 59/135....which is 43.7%.

Take away Harris's 2 for 11 in the first two games and we're at 57/144....

which is 46%....thanks for pushing your narrative though.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:31 pm to
Yeh you are about 8 pages late on that
Posted by stho381
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4628 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:32 pm to
Here is a better comparison (common SEC opponents: MSU, AU, UF, OM, Bama, Arky, aTm)

Etling (2016):
108/178 60.67% 1,314yds 5TD 2Int

Harris (2015):
94/176 53.41% 1,153yds 6TD 5Int


In the end it shows you that the overall offense generated in the important games on the schedule favors Etling. There is also an experience factor for the skill position players (less drops, etc) and the opponent defenses were different last year. When you normalize the numbers, they are roughly even most likely.

However, when you add in that Etling makes much fewer mistakes mentally, the offense runs more smoothly with him at QB, drives a sustained better because he is more accurate in his throws and he goes through his progression better, it isn't even a contest. Etling at QB works better in the LSU offense this year. Harris's accuracy and touch on his passes is lacking and it hurts us. If he wants to compete for the starting spot next year, he needs to work on his accuracy and touch.
Posted by OneMoreTime
Florida Gulf Coast Fan
Member since Dec 2008
61837 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

With Etling at QB playing as he has been, we need the running game to flat out dominate the other team for us to win
That's been how this team has been built for the past 8 years or so. Play good defense, run the ball, and don't don't let the QB frick up.

I agree that they both leave a lot to be desired against the better defenses (although Harris did have his best game against Florida last year), but Harris even struggled against some of the mediocre and bad defenses

50% passing against syracuse
29% against eastern michigan
55% against western kentucky
51% against Ole miss
33% against a&m

Etling was inaccurate in his first LSU start against Jacksonville St (43%), but after that he hasn't passed below 63% against any defense ranked 50+

We don't know what offense we'll run next year, but most offenses have success if you can accurately complete the short to intermediate passes, and Etling has shown he can do that. With some improvement and an offense that actually takes advantage of matchups, I think Etling could have success against those better defenses next year.
This post was edited on 11/29/16 at 1:42 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Here is a better comparison (common SEC opponents: MSU, AU, UF, OM, Bama, Arky, aTm)

Etling (2016):
108/178 60.67% 1,314yds 5TD 2Int

Harris (2015):
94/176 53.41% 1,153yds 6TD 5Int


In the end it shows you that the overall offense generated in the important games on the schedule favors Etling. There is also an experience factor for the skill position players (less drops, etc) and the opponent defenses were different last year. When you normalize the numbers, they are roughly even most likely.

However, when you add in that Etling makes much fewer mistakes mentally, the offense runs more smoothly with him at QB, drives a sustained better because he is more accurate in his throws and he goes through his progression better, it isn't even a contest. Etling at QB works better in the LSU offense this year. Harris's accuracy and touch on his passes is lacking and it hurts us. If he wants to compete for the starting spot next year, he needs to work on his accuracy and touch.
That is a horrible take

2015- defensive rankings

Bama-3rd
MSU-56
ARKY-58
UF-8th
AU-71
OM-54
A&M-51

2016 defensive rankings

Bama-1st
Msu-110
Arky-75
UF-6th
Au-21st
Om-110
A&M-92



Posted by stho381
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4628 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

That is a horrible take


Both in their first year as starters Harris went against defenses averaging 43rd and Etling went against defenses averaging 59th.

I even qualified it stating that defenses were different between this year and last.

Please enlighten me how this is a horrible take and how you would recommend an objective comparison because Etling wins the subjective one.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 1:58 pm to
Compare them game by game be defensive rankings

Not by team name

According to you, you want to compare Etling against the 110 ranked defense to Harris vs the 54th, simply because their team name is the same
Posted by ItNeverRains
37069
Member since Oct 2007
25612 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:17 pm to
Etling has moxie. He does not play scared

Harris has no moxie. He plays scared

We can actually throw screens, slants, & tight end passes over the middle now.

60% passing vs 54% is pretty big discrepancy at QB
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

He plays scared
I think this is unfair criticism. I have never seen Harris play "scared."

Do I think Etling has better pocket presence? Absolutely. But I think you are just being an a-hole LSU fan calling him scared
This post was edited on 11/29/16 at 2:45 pm
Posted by 5Alive
With Your Moms
Member since Jul 2009
7662 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:33 pm to
Scared is what I saw against Bama. He had that JL vs Bama thing down pat. Just bc the kid takes shots doesn't mean he has heart it means he is bat shite crazy bc if he keeps it up somebody is gonna make him go nite nite and i dont want that for him.
Posted by ssgrice
Arizona
Member since Nov 2008
3060 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

And, Etling had the joy of playing in our new improved offense

There was nothing new and improved about this offensive playbook, they just turned to page 2 of the playbook.
Posted by TIGRLEE
Northeast Louisiana
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:37 pm to
It amazes me after a full year of watching both players that anyone without an agenda could insinuate BH ever play in front of DE, barring injury.


It's pathetic and racial.
I honestly believe that. .... There's no other explanation.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84320 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Do I think Harris has better pocket presence? Absolutely.


Even though I know this is a typo, LO fricking L.
Posted by 5Alive
With Your Moms
Member since Jul 2009
7662 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:43 pm to
Nobody has said that. As usual you are gonna turn this into race. Let's see u pop up for JL/JJ comparison then you disappear for the AJ/BH comparison now you reappear for the BH/DE comparison. So who has a racial agenda? Everyone knows ur the biggest race troll on the board. Stop trying to derail a rather healthy debate about two LSU qbs
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Even though I know this is a typo, LO fricking L.
I mean to say Etling
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95951 posts
Posted on 11/29/16 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

It amazes me after a full year of watching both players that anyone without an agenda could insinuate BH ever play in front of DE, barring injury.


It's pathetic and racial.
I honestly believe that. .... There's no other explanation.
Why do we always have to be so afraid of race?

If we had two running backs putting up very similar numbers, and the black one looked smoother, I think it is fine to naturally lean towards the black running back


I do not think race is the #1 thing. I think people prefer Etling because his pocket presence and footwork is better, making him easier on the eyes.

I do think being white helps, but not for a racist meaning. There have been way more successful white qbs. So we would tend to lean towards wanting a white one. Which is natural, but people are about to freak the frick out because we as a society are a bunch of bitches when it comes to discussing anything race related
This post was edited on 11/29/16 at 2:49 pm
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