re: i can see play action not being effective early in this game

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Don't think Saban will stack the box he hasn't in years past his defensive front is good enough to not have to except for maybe a few plays here or there

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I think you're right.... difference is I think their DBs/LBs are their weakness (not major, just not as good as in the past). If they do the run blitzes it's going to leave people open. Etling is going to have to find where they are blitzing from and hit that guy (hot route) or hit the one on one deep. If he makes those throws better than 50% of the time they will back off on the blitzing.
Widen the splits and let the horse run.