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Message
re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 9/23/16 at 6:04 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/23/16 at 6:04 pm to rds dc
Another crazy run for the GFS at 18z and won't post what it does after this:
Also, the 12z Euro didn't develop anything from P39L but somewhere b/w 1/3 and 1/2 of the 12z Euro EPS members develop the system. The D10 mean is a weak system in the WCAB, so that gives some hints about the members that do develop:
Also, the 12z Euro didn't develop anything from P39L but somewhere b/w 1/3 and 1/2 of the 12z Euro EPS members develop the system. The D10 mean is a weak system in the WCAB, so that gives some hints about the members that do develop:
2
Posted on 9/23/16 at 6:21 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/23/16 at 9:28 pm to rds dc
Typically, the earlier a storm develops the better b/c the odds of it turning out to sea are much higher. The GFS has been pretty insistent on developing this system pretty early on but it keeps a monster blocking ridge right over the top of the system not letting it go anywhere but west. This shows up nicely in the 18z GEFS:
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