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NFL Week 3 Bet Thread
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:11 pm
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:11 pm
Early Lines I took
Chargers +3
Browns +10
Bucs -4
Chargers +3
Browns +10
Bucs -4
8
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:13 pm to josh336
lol...already lining up for more pain? how does the nfl do it?
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:17 pm to PeteRose
I did pretty solid for week 2
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:24 pm to josh336
Leaning Bills and Colts early.
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:26 pm to josh336
Whose gonna have the balls to bet on the Thursday night game?
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:27 pm to wildtigercat93
Not I. The under would be the only play I'd consider. Maybe player props
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:27 pm to wildtigercat93
texans are gonna destroy the pats. When the hell was the last time the pats were home dogs? The texans are clicking this year, a 3rd string qb isnt about to beat them brissett looked terrible in the 2nd half he almost blew a 24 point lead yesterday.
This post was edited on 9/19/16 at 10:28 pm
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:31 pm to dabigfella
Brissett looked pretty solid actually. He was just running a very limited playbook and was taking the safe route every play
He lead them on two scoring drives that half (one missed Gostowski chip shot) and had some other ones wiped out by penalty
That lead evaporated because they couldn't run their offense on such short notice, and the defense went into prevent mode trying to shorten the game and get out of it
ETA I wouldn't want to be the guy that bet against a home dog Belicheck team
He lead them on two scoring drives that half (one missed Gostowski chip shot) and had some other ones wiped out by penalty
That lead evaporated because they couldn't run their offense on such short notice, and the defense went into prevent mode trying to shorten the game and get out of it
ETA I wouldn't want to be the guy that bet against a home dog Belicheck team
This post was edited on 9/19/16 at 10:32 pm
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:31 pm to dabigfella
Wk 1 was a nice reminder not to mess with the Lloyd be the pAts and the points, if anything. Not touching the Texans
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:33 pm to castorinho
Posted on 9/19/16 at 10:35 pm to dabigfella
Minny catching 7 with that D? hmmm
Posted on 9/20/16 at 9:33 am to PeteRose
Bills are looking like the big play of the week so far.
Posted on 9/20/16 at 9:37 am to josh336
Played the Bills yesterday
Posted on 9/20/16 at 9:44 am to goldennugget
The Bills feel like that sexy contrarian pick this week, that everyone thinks they're so sly for jumping on when everyone is down on Buffalo, that flops big. There's big problems in Buffalo on and off the field and Rex is flat out a terrible coach.
This post was edited on 9/20/16 at 9:45 am
Posted on 9/20/16 at 10:24 am to Broken Ear Glen
Some big early week bets on the Bills, moving that line down. Pats catching steam, back to pk.
Posted on 9/20/16 at 11:31 am to ChemE in the OP
What about Cincy? I recall reading it somewhere 6 months ago that there was an undefeated system of betting against the super bowl winners the following year.
Something along that the defending champs will lose or not cover one of the 1st 3 games of the season. Since Denver has won and covered the 1st 2 game, the play should be on Cincy M/L.
Something along that the defending champs will lose or not cover one of the 1st 3 games of the season. Since Denver has won and covered the 1st 2 game, the play should be on Cincy M/L.
Posted on 9/20/16 at 11:57 am to ChemE in the OP
Texans are now a pick em, I really cant see the patriots beating them. This texans team is loaded, lots of talent on both sides of the ball and osweiler won at new england last year didnt he? I dont know how texans is not the play.Clowney,Wilfork,Watt,Mercilus will be all over this 3rd string QB
Posted on 9/20/16 at 12:06 pm to PeteRose
quote:
What about Cincy? I recall reading it somewhere 6 months ago that there was an undefeated system of betting against the super bowl winners the following year.
Something along that the defending champs will lose or not cover one of the 1st 3 games of the season. Since Denver has won and covered the 1st 2 game, the play should be on Cincy M/L.
Posted on 9/20/16 at 12:30 pm to goldennugget
that's the same reaction i get whenever you mentioned your spreadsheet.
Posted on 9/20/16 at 1:06 pm to goldennugget
Here's some info i was able to dig up. I only could go back to 2002 with ESPN history of score. I'm not sure what the point spreads were in the past, but we can assume that as Super bowl champs, these teams should be favorites in most situations. Only in rare situations where there's a change in QB, the point spreads may not be significant i.e, Denver this year.
2015
NE as champions. Opened the season vs Pitt at Home. I can recall the line for this game around 6.5-7.5. But NE won the game by 7. Hard to make of it.
2014 Seattle as champs. Lost to SD wk 2.
2013
Baltimore as champs. Lost to Denver wk 1.
2012
NYG. Lost to Cowboys wk1.
2011
GB. Won by 7 week 2 vs Carolina. I can't remember this spread. But it was Cam Newton 1st season as #1 overall pick. So I guess the spread would be pretty high. Can anyone confirm this?
2010
Saints. Lost to Falcons wk 3.
2009
Pit. Lost to Bears wk 2.
2008
NYG. Won by 3 at home vs Cincy. I assume this is not a cover for NYG since they were 2-0 going into the game and Cincy was 0-2.
2007
Indy, won by 2 at Tennessee wk 2. Indy must've been a bigger favorite with a young Peyton Manning.
2006
Pit. Lost to Jax wk1
2005
NE, lost to Caroling wk 1
2004
NE, won by 3 at home vs Peyton. Need someone to find out spread for this game.
2003
Oak, lost to Tennessee wk1
2002
NE, won by 3 vs KC in foxboro. NE was 2-0, KC 1-1.
2015
NE as champions. Opened the season vs Pitt at Home. I can recall the line for this game around 6.5-7.5. But NE won the game by 7. Hard to make of it.
2014 Seattle as champs. Lost to SD wk 2.
2013
Baltimore as champs. Lost to Denver wk 1.
2012
NYG. Lost to Cowboys wk1.
2011
GB. Won by 7 week 2 vs Carolina. I can't remember this spread. But it was Cam Newton 1st season as #1 overall pick. So I guess the spread would be pretty high. Can anyone confirm this?
2010
Saints. Lost to Falcons wk 3.
2009
Pit. Lost to Bears wk 2.
2008
NYG. Won by 3 at home vs Cincy. I assume this is not a cover for NYG since they were 2-0 going into the game and Cincy was 0-2.
2007
Indy, won by 2 at Tennessee wk 2. Indy must've been a bigger favorite with a young Peyton Manning.
2006
Pit. Lost to Jax wk1
2005
NE, lost to Caroling wk 1
2004
NE, won by 3 at home vs Peyton. Need someone to find out spread for this game.
2003
Oak, lost to Tennessee wk1
2002
NE, won by 3 vs KC in foxboro. NE was 2-0, KC 1-1.
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