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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:45 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85467 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

how will intensity affect track? Will a weaker storm normally go farther west?


I couldn't tell you, but from what I can gather in this thread and from the NHC discussion, it seems as though this system will essentially get pulled to the northeast, so I'm not sure if the intensity will change that prognosis.
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
8673 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:54 pm to
Man I wish this damn thing would go ahead and hook right and gtfo
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85467 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:56 pm to
One thing that has changed in some of the guidance in the last 12 hours is that they've backed a Florida landfall up 12 hours or so. The 12z HWRF is basically in the same spot, but 12 hours later than the 06z run. The 12z CMC is 18 hours later in the same area of the panhandle as the 0z run.

Then again, the 12z GFDL is 6 hours faster than the 6z run and to the east of the 6z run. The 12z and 6z GFS have no notable time or landfall area changes.
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