- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:01 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:01 pm to rds dc
Recon found a pretty disorganized wave and the popcorn nature of the convection hasn't really allowed for any vertical growth. There is very little in the way of 500mb vorticity associated with the wave. Research shows that shallow waves are less likely to develop than deeper waves.
4
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:04 pm to rds dc
quote:
Research shows that shallow waves are less likely to develop than deeper waves.
HWRF is pretty bullish with this system, but it always is. GFS and EURO are polar opposites. They are all pretty consistent with something reaching the Bahamas.
If the past couple of years are of use as an analogue, the models will predict a catastrophic 910 mb bomb and it will dissipate before even gaining tropical depression status. I'm keeping a distant eye on this until we see a closed circulation.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:06 pm to rds dc
Also, 12z HWRF came in with what might end up being a more realistic upper level setup and doesn't blow the system up. It gave up on having a giant anitcyclone over the top and has a more sheared system. Model flip flopping in full force 
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:08 pm to rds dc
Can you translate this into something that anyone understands?
Posted on 8/28/16 at 1:20 pm to rds dc
thanks ! rdsdc , what you said sounded positive !
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News