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re: Hurricane Season - Random Posts Thread - Gulf Record 1,058 Days
Posted on 8/9/16 at 9:37 pm to jlu03
Posted on 8/9/16 at 9:37 pm to jlu03
quote:
Thoughts on development in the gulf?
Too close to land, most of the broad circulation is on shore. If it was 100 or so miles south then it would probably be a TD or TS. There are signs of a sloppy LLC (would probably tighten up if completely over the Gulf), the upper level low has been replaced with an anticyclone, and it is probably warm core by this point.
The NHC highlights it but gives it 0% chance to develop in both the 48 hr and 5 day outlook, this is down from 30% a few days ago. Then beyond that, things look to potentially stay calm for the next two weeks or so with the MJO in Phase 6 and most of the Atlantic basin looking unfavorable overall:
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