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re: Best place to invest today?

Posted on 5/17/16 at 3:47 pm to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10232 posts
Posted on 5/17/16 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Can you walk through the numbers on selling puts?


Stock XYZ is trading for $10. 100 shares would cost you $1K plus your commission, likely no more than $2.

You sell a $9 put out to October 2017, someone pays you $.50 for the put. One put gives someone the right to sell you $100 shares of XYZ at $9. They paid you $50.00 (.50 X 100 shares).


If the stock doesn't get below $9.00 by expiration date, you keep their premium ($50). If the stock goes to $8.75, the shares are put to you at $9 ($900) but your cost of entry is reduced by premium collected (-$50), so you really bought the shares at $8.50 (exercise costs, commission etc need factored in).

If XYZ goes to $15, likely your $9 put you sold for .50, goes down. Let's say it goes down to a nickel. You can buy back the put for a nickle (closing your exposure). Collected $50, paid $5 to buy to close.

10-12% yield isn't uncommon doing this. Annualized.

But you selling naked, which is to say selling a derivative on a security you do not own, so be prepared to own the stock if things go badly. And you'll own it at the strike price you sold the out at. But likely naked only insofar as your broker let's you. You're going to have margin and cash requirements to do this. At least the vast majority of retail traders aren't going to be getting portfolio margin, and greatly reduced interest rates, costs to exercise, commission etc.

But if you have an account minimum of I think $25K, maybe it's $100K, Interactive Brokers will portfolio margin your account if you pass their risk management requirements, and you'll have direct access to choose where to place the trade, potentially some commission rebate for adding liquidity to the market, and including dark pools of liquidity (to the extent any retail trader can ever get).

I think my trades are below .01 per share, and I think my interest rate is 1 something.

I don't trade a lot, but I do write options, so the lower cost to carry's greatest benefit to me is increased yield when I sell puts. Most times you're really making maybe 5%, but making 5% in some situations in 2 mos, so the annualized yield is pretty large, but it is work. It isn't something you can just do and forget.

Which brings me back to one of the points I've tried to make. My short term put selling strategy is designed to produce yield. My long range put selling strategy is all with stocks that if I end up owning them, I don't mind owning them.

I sell a lot of puts on junior precious metals miners. It is almost entirely for yield. And the puts I sell are largely way, way out of the money. I did get some of these companies put to me, but I kept them until fairly recently, when the junior miners led the minor recovery in gold and silver, and I dumped the securities. But I follow commodities, and the junior miners I sold puts on weren't in any danger of going broke. Following this, I knew when (and that in this case was a couple of years) gold and silver recovered, junior miners are always a leading indicator, and always jump up dramatically. They overreact. Consequently why I sold as soon as feasible. But that money just sat there for a couple of years. One was paying less than a penny in dividend.
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 5/17/16 at 5:58 pm to
on apple what I did was I sold the $60s, why the $60s bc thats where I dont mind stealing apple, honestly $75 and lower I dont mind but for the sake of it all I went with $60. In order to purchase 100 shares at $60 my cost would be $6,000. I received $2.65 in premium so x 100 shares $265 per contract. So if god forbid apple was below $60 by this date in 2018, my purchase price would be $57.35. Would you buy apple at $57.35 today, you damn right you would mortgage your house and do so lol.

So in reality if jan 2018 rolls around and apple is $60.01 or greater I take my profit which is $265 per contract and move on to the next trade. Is that a big money trade, no not really I make 4.4% based on $265 made per $6000 risked, but in reality its higher bc the trade requires 10% margin so you make $265 per $600 risked. Thats actually a 50% cash on cash return. If apple hits $60 in 2018, theyre gonna have like $40/share in cash by then and the buyback on full tilt so by all means the SPY would have to be in full crash mode for that to occur, just my opinion but who knows maybe somehow this iphone 7 is a total flop, but I wouldnt mind bc Berkshire Hathaway just paid $109/share.

Anyways I currently typically take names i like, like apple at its levels and sell puts weekl/monthly at levels I want. Why would I pay full price for apple at $94 today when I can sell a contract and get it for $92 next week or profit. Ya get my drift? From there lets say I get apple shares at $92, I get my premium another say 50 cents a share and my basis is $91.50. I would turn around and sell say $92.50 calls for the following week and hope to get called away or profit and lower my basis.

Selling cash covered puts and covered calls every week is like getting 52 dividends a year and dictating a price you're willing to be a buyer at, its definitely a recipe for a great return on your portfolio annually. Currently im not a big fan of where the market is, there are too many macro events globally from chinese credit issues to venezuela to an election here that Im not really wanting to buy anything so im selling puts on names I like with a little more cushion to the downside.

Give me a few months out and my sold puts on googl at $600, Apple at $60, TSLA at $140, FB at $80 and Im a happy man if I can buy those there.
This post was edited on 5/17/16 at 6:00 pm
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