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Started By
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re: Weather forecasts and statistics
Posted on 4/28/16 at 9:53 am to KG6
Posted on 4/28/16 at 9:53 am to KG6
They are reporters, not meteorologists. They just report the information the computer gives them. That info is fluid because the computers are constantly updating with the changing weather conditions
1
Posted on 4/28/16 at 10:04 am to Hammertime
quote:
That info is fluid because the computers are constantly updating with the changing weather conditions
Again, I have no issue with this fact. What I take issue with is 0% and 100% specifically. Those numbers are absolutes. Even with the definition of CxA that was provided earlier in the thread. You cannot move from an absolute in my opinion, so why state it if "things are constantly changing". Seems like you would say, "I'm extremely confident that it will not rain this weekend, but we still have a lot of time to have things change, so we'll have to leave it at 10% for now".. To me that means, it's probably not going to rain, which is good enough. But when you tell me it's 0%, then I'm thinking it definitely won't rain, and what if I drop a ton of cash on some outdoor activity, only for you to up it to an 80% chance 3 days later!!!???
I just don't see how we accept this.
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