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Leicester City (EPL) may be longest longshot ever - 5000-1 and currently leading

Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:00 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:00 pm
I don't pay attention or care about soccer outside of the WC, but I found this article on ESPN today pretty damn interesting. Hopefully it doesn't get relegated to the Soccer Board.

Apparently Leicester City is in 1st place by 5 points with 13 games left in the season. They began the season as 5,000-1 longshots at William Hill, an England-based bookmaker.

quote:

Just how crazy is 5,000-1?

Here are some other bets (legal in England, not the U.S.) offered at those odds by William Hill:

• Elvis is found alive.
• Yeti or Loch Ness Monster is proven to exist.
• Christmas is the warmest day of the year in England.
• Kanye West and Kim Kardashian name their next child Sinner.
• Kim Kardashian becomes the U.S. president in 2020.
• Barack Obama plays cricket for England after he leaves Oval Office.



The article also has a list of 10 other incredible longshots that either won or flirted with a title, including:

quote:

1,000-1
2013 Auburn Football

Odds to win BCS championship
The Cam Newton-led championship season of 2010 was nothing but a distant memory at Auburn by 2013. The Tigers went 8-5 in 2011 and 3-9 the next year, leading to Gene Chizik's firing. Auburn was unranked through the first half of the 2013 season, but new coach Gus Malzahn guided the Tigers to a 12-1 record, an SEC crown and a berth in the BCS title game. Auburn came within 13 seconds of beating those 1,000-1 odds, but Jameis Winston's championship-winning touchdown pass capped Florida State's come-from-behind victory.



quote:




999-1
2011 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds to win World Series (late in the season)
Trailing the Atlanta Braves by 4.5 games in the wild-card race on Sept. 12 with 15 games to play, the Cardinals were basically left for dead by Las Vegas oddsmakers. St. Louis was given 500-1 odds to win the NL pennant and 999-1 odds to win the World Series. But the Cardinals closed with an 11-4 run to sneak into the playoffs ahead of the Braves, who lost their final five games. The Cardinals then took down the Philadelphia Phillies in the division series and the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League Championship Series. They were down to their last strike twice in Game 6 of the World Series before rallying to beat the Texas Rangers in seven games. Oh, and one happy bettor in Las Vegas turned $500 into $375,000 thanks to St. Louis' improbable run



quote:

120-1
2004 Red Sox

Odds to win World Series (after trailing 3-0 in ALCS)
Boston's 98-64 record in 2004 was the third best in baseball behind the Yankees and the Cardinals. So while the Red Sox weren't the favorites heading into the postseason, their chances weren't bad. But after they lost the first three games of the ALCS against the Yankees, their World Series odds plummeted, for good reason: No MLB team had ever erased a 3-0 deficit in a seven-game series. Not only did the Red Sox make history by coming back to win their first AL pennant since 1986, but they also swept the Cardinals to win their first World Series since 1918, finishing the postseason with eight straight wins.



LINK

ETA: Welp, apparently this thread wasn't good enough for the MSB.

JBE and finance threads all over the OT, but they police the shite out of the MSB it appears. Oh well.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:30 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:01 pm to
Their domination of Manchester City in an away match put them 5 clear of the 2nd place club.

That kind of really shoved this into a reality.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35555 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Hopefully it doesn't get relegated to the Soccer Board.


ISWYDT
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145253 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:02 pm to
Those are some great 5000-1 comparisons
Posted by RTR America
Memphis, TN
Member since Aug 2012
39600 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:04 pm to
Past 2 months the talk has been that well they are just going to fall off eventually...nope just proceeded to dickslap one of league favorites this past weekend.

They are fun as hell to watch too thankfully.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:05 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

Their domination of Manchester City in an away match put them 5 clear of the 2nd place club. That kind of really shoved this into a reality.


I can honestly say I've never seen an EPL match in my life, but those odds are absolutely nuts.

ETA: Not that there is anything wrong with watching/enjoying soccer, but I've got no clue about the details involved in the EPL or Leicester City and they're ability to actually win the league.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:12 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Those are some great 5000-1 comparisons




I thought so as well, particularly the Elvis one.

I think this is the same place that gave Rory McIlroy's dad some crazy odds that Rory would win a British Open before 27 when Rory was like 12.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6026 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

That kind of really shoved this into a reality.


Kind of like Donald Trump presidential campaign, I keep waiting for them to fall apart. Hasn't happened yet though.
Posted by jackwoods4
Member since Sep 2013
28667 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:19 pm to
Ugh. They moved it again.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:20 pm
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
31929 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:20 pm to
They were the 14th best team in the league last year. It would be like the Pelicans winning the NBA title this year (or at least the regular season title).

And damn, they moved the thread.
Posted by RTR America
Memphis, TN
Member since Aug 2012
39600 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

Ugh. They moved it again.



Hit refresh on the page and everything turned green
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Hit refresh on the page and everything turned green


They're some Nazis on the MSB. This thread really has little to do with Soccer, more so major longshots in sports.

You can post a "Why I hate JBE" thread on the OT and that bitch will stay there all day, but the slightest mention of soccer and you're vanquished to the Soccer Board.
Posted by RTR America
Memphis, TN
Member since Aug 2012
39600 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:35 pm to
Need more space for Cam threads
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:35 pm to
Posted by GeauxColonels
Tottenham Fan | LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2009
25604 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

ETA: Not that there is anything wrong with watching/enjoying soccer, but I've got no clue about the details involved in the EPL or Leicester City and they're ability to actually win the league.

Look at it like this, in the 23 previous seasons of the Premier League there have been only 5 clubs that have managed to win the title:

- Manchester United - 13 times (most recent title 2012-13 season)
- Chelsea - 4 (2014-15)
- Arsenal - 3 (2003-04)
- Manchester City - 2 (2013-14)
- Blackburn Rovers - 1 (1994-95)

Over that same period of time, a total of 47 different clubs have been in the league (with 20 teams in the league in each year). Leicester City have been in the PL in just 10 of those 23 years. In 2008-09, they were in League one, they jumped up to the Championship in 2009-10 and then moved up again into the Premier League in 2014-15. That would be like McNeese State winning the Southland Conference in 2008, moving to CUSA for a few years and winning it in 2013, moving up to the SEC and winning THAT league in only their 2nd year there.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85136 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

- Blackburn Rovers - 1 (1994-95)


I'd imagine they were also a major underdog.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:44 pm
Posted by Tennessee Jed
Mr. SEC Rant
Member since Nov 2009
17909 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

I think this is the same place that gave Rory McIlroy's dad some crazy odds that Rory would win a British Open before 27 when Rory was like 12.


Didn't this happen to a Liverpool player in the last few years?

Dad made a bet that he would play for Liverpool while he was basically a toddler.
Posted by JollyGreenGiant
The Help Board
Member since Jul 2004
24915 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

They are fun as hell to watch too thankfully.





Seriously? When Spurs played them 3 times in like 10 days, that was some awful soccer to watch by them.

Basically just park the bus and counter. They're just really good at it.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:54 pm
Posted by WarSlamEagle
Manchester United Fan
Member since Sep 2011
24611 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

I'd imagine they were also a major underdog.


They were an interesting case. They spent a ton of money in the summer transfer window that year (they had somewhat new ownership) and broke the English money record for strikers twice and another record for a goalkeeper.

Leicester's best players this season played with them in the second division.
Posted by RTR America
Memphis, TN
Member since Aug 2012
39600 posts
Posted on 2/12/16 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Seriously? When Spurs played them 3 times in like 10 days, that was some awful soccer to watch by them.



The two opposite styles don't really add up to producing enjoyable soccer imo. They have the lowest passing % in the league and y'all are the best pressing team in the league.

quote:

Basically just park the bus and counter. They're just really good at it.



Welcome to how most teams are playing nowadays. Hell even Arsenal has begun to embrace it, a lot less "Wengerball" being played by them.
This post was edited on 2/12/16 at 3:59 pm
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