re: TDFL Week 11

Gyno has a comfortable enough standings+points lead to lose tonight and next week and still finish Top 2 w/ bye. Boom, Honk, CE all have a chance to tie Gyno at 8-4 if he loses out, but I think only Honk would have a legit shot to pass Gyno in points.

Honk needs a monster game from Gronk tonight to finish Top 6 and keep that chance alive.

Honk, CE and Boom are all in the running for 2nd bye. Boom has secured a win this week to move him to 7-4. Honk and CE need wins to keep pace, with CE likelier to get a win this week IMO. Boom will have points on CE and would move into 2nd place, controlling his own destiny.

That leaves Gyno (bye), Boom(bye), CE (needing win and points for bye), Honkus (needing week 12 win and CE and Boom losses in week 12 for bye). Regardless, all 4 should be considered playoff locks at this point. It would take back to back losses and lots of +points from multiple field teams to unseat one of those 3.

As for the field:
Toula has a leg up in record at 6-5 for the 5th spot. Lots of teams nipping at his heals though. 5 teams are likely to be 5-6 after this week: OMT, Alum, Drizztiger, PCT and 21JS. I will have points advantage, but OMT and 21JS will have points on Toula and PCT almost tied.

Projected winners after MNF:
Drizztiger
Boom
21JS
Papps
CE
Gyno or Honk

Projected standings after Week 11:
Gyno 9-2
Boom 7-4
CE 7-4
Honkus 6-5
Toula 6-5
Drizztiger 5-6
OMT 5-6
21JS 5-6
PCT 5-6
Alum 5-6

I was bored waiting for LSU basketball game. Above is just IMO, but looks like it will come down to the wire with 10/12 teams still alive. 3 games on Thanksgiving coming up too.