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Started By
Message
Week 12 CFB Bet Thread
Posted on 11/16/15 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 11/16/15 at 12:57 pm
Why has this not been posted yet?
I made 6 plays last night.
Michigan State +13 - W
Florida International +16 - P
New Mexico +1.5 - L
Kentucky -24 - W
Wake Forest +30.5 - W
Penn State +5.5 - L
Waiting for TCU/Oklahoma line. Will be on TCU if Boykin plays. Good buy low spot for TCU and sell high spot for Oklahoma.
I made 6 plays last night.
Michigan State +13 - W
Florida International +16 - P
New Mexico +1.5 - L
Kentucky -24 - W
Wake Forest +30.5 - W
Penn State +5.5 - L
Waiting for TCU/Oklahoma line. Will be on TCU if Boykin plays. Good buy low spot for TCU and sell high spot for Oklahoma.
This post was edited on 11/21/15 at 11:46 pm
11
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:02 pm to accnodefense
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:10 pm to accnodefense
2015: 31-28-1 +4.11u
Already placed:
1) Clemson wins NC +1200 1u
2) Florida wins NC +4000 1u
3) Indiana +3 -110 1u
4) Michigan St +13 -110 1u
5) Notre Dame -16 -110 1u
6) Northwestern +11 -110 1u
7) Southern Miss -20 -110 1u
Watching Duke, South Alabama, & Missouri lines
Already placed:
1) Clemson wins NC +1200 1u
2) Florida wins NC +4000 1u
3) Indiana +3 -110 1u
4) Michigan St +13 -110 1u
5) Notre Dame -16 -110 1u
6) Northwestern +11 -110 1u
7) Southern Miss -20 -110 1u
Watching Duke, South Alabama, & Missouri lines
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:21 pm to accnodefense
Baylor has never won in Stillwater.
Backup freshman QB is dealing with back issues. He should be able to play but won't be 100%.
Defense is banged up pretty bad. Missing 2 DT's (1 starter in Bonds and the first backup off the bench in Blackshear). Safety is banged up as well - Orion Stewart will likely be a game time decision.
Oklahoma State QB JW Walsh will give us big problems, see KSU QB.
All that and Baylor is on the road, where we never play well.
The line was -1 Oklahoma State so you might want to hop on it.
Backup freshman QB is dealing with back issues. He should be able to play but won't be 100%.
Defense is banged up pretty bad. Missing 2 DT's (1 starter in Bonds and the first backup off the bench in Blackshear). Safety is banged up as well - Orion Stewart will likely be a game time decision.
Oklahoma State QB JW Walsh will give us big problems, see KSU QB.
All that and Baylor is on the road, where we never play well.
The line was -1 Oklahoma State so you might want to hop on it.
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:28 pm to BeYou
quote:
Baylor has never won in Stillwater.
Irrelevant for betting purposes
Line looks right. It's a pickem and I am staying away but if I had to play it would be Baylor.
Don't think Oklahoma State is that good. If Iowa State could play defense on 3rd and long they would have won easily. Oklahoma State had about a billion 3rd and long conversions.
Oklahoma State's signature win is a home win over a banged up TCU team. They have had to pull too many other wins out of their arse this year. It will catch to them against Baylor and if not Baylor than Oklahoma.
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:30 pm to BeYou
quote:
Baylor has never won in Stillwater.
JK we won in Stillwater in 1939.
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:35 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Irrelevant for betting purposes
Line looks right. It's a pickem and I am staying away but if I had to play it would be Baylor.
Don't think Oklahoma State is that good. If Iowa State could play defense on 3rd and long they would have won easily. Oklahoma State had about a billion 3rd and long conversions.
Oklahoma State's signature win is a home win over a banged up TCU team. They have had to pull too many other wins out of their arse this year. It will catch to them against Baylor and if not Baylor than Oklahoma.
I actually agree with most of this, but it doesn't give me a compelling reason to invest on Baylor. As unimpressive as Okie State has been, I still think they win this game.
Stidtham is not quite ready for this moment yet, and Baylor just lost their Superbowl last week, so from an intangibles perspective, this is not a good spot. Baylor is a terrible ATS road team especially against decent competition.
The only way I'd consider Baylor is if they are getting a FG or more.
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:43 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Good buy low spot for TCU and sell high spot for Oklahoma
i thought this past weekend was a good buy-low spot for Baylor and sell-high spot for OU
Maybe I'll try again!
Posted on 11/16/15 at 1:53 pm to bamaatlsu
Locked In:
Tenny -9
Minnesota -4.5
LSU +4
USC +4.5
Tenny -9
Minnesota -4.5
LSU +4
USC +4.5
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:02 pm to Louie T
quote:
5) Notre Dame -16 -110 1u
why so confident in this one?
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:09 pm to accnodefense
You gonna get some sheets up this week?
Peejs curse is for real
Peejs curse is for real
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:29 pm to rocket31
My early bets either consist of games I really like or games I like & also think I can middle later in the week. Indiana, MSU, & ND fall into the latter category. I'll decide if I want to let it play out, aim for a middle, or buy off of it throughout the week.
I've seen enough of BC's offense to know ND won't need but 20 points to cover a 16 point spread.
I've seen enough of BC's offense to know ND won't need but 20 points to cover a 16 point spread.
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 11/16/15 at 2:33 pm to rocket31
quote:
why so confident in this one?
Yeah I think that's an awful play, 16 is a lot to cover on the road against a team with a solid defense
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:25 pm to kkhere
quote:
USC +4.5
I would look at the over. USC lost their top two ILBs. It looks like Tyree Robinson at boundary corner will be available for Oregon. At the end of the day, it's going to come to USC OL holing up to our pass rush. Likewise, USC losing to ILBs the game before in a 3-4 and those USC receivers against our secondary is begging to hit the over.
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 3:32 pm
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:44 pm to SDVTiger
quote:I'm holding off till he makes his predictions.
Peejs curse is for real
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:49 pm to Louie T
Ha, you might be right
This will be BCs Super Bowl
Gl
This will be BCs Super Bowl
Gl
Posted on 11/16/15 at 4:11 pm to TT9
quote:
I'm holding off till he makes his predictions.
he predicted ole miss to take LSU to the woodshed
Posted on 11/16/15 at 4:18 pm to accnodefense
Those taking MSU and the points are crazy. Cousins is injured and their defense can't stop Osu. Plus it's at the horseshoe
OSU by 17
OSU by 17
Posted on 11/16/15 at 4:19 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Peej picked OSU to win vs MSU
FML
FML
Posted on 11/16/15 at 4:23 pm to KosmoCramer
Kosmo, I'm the worlds biggest buck fan this Saturday. Harbaugh vs Meyer year one being the battle for the big ten east would be awesome and a return to the days of yore
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