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re: ESPN FPI nonsense

Posted on 10/20/15 at 10:55 pm to
Posted by lsutigers1992
Member since Mar 2006
25317 posts
Posted on 10/20/15 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

I get that they have the easiest path to Atlanta, but I'm curious how strong the West variable is in that computation. because they lost to us, would probably lose to Bama via the model, therefore, even getting to Atlanta should only raise their chance of winning the conference marginally



Ole Miss is still the favorite. At this point, they have to beat LSU and aTm at home and they're basically in because their road games are winnable and they'd own every tiebreaker because their loss is to an East team.

In order for Alabama to get in, their best bet would be to beat LSU and for LSU to beat Ole Miss. Doable but much lower by the percentages.

LSU basically MUST sweep Alabama and Ole Miss, both on the road, to get to Atlanta. If they split, they're probably fricked. This is the hardest road unless Ole Miss just quits on the season.
Posted by Tigerinthehollow
Madison, MS
Member since Sep 2014
5655 posts
Posted on 10/21/15 at 6:47 am to
Dude....ole miss may not even make a bowl. Have you REALLY watched them? No ol...no running game...qb is a turnover waiting to happen and the d is light at lb and poor tacklers and give up around 30 points a game in conference. If they lose this week to a&m they then go to auburn who at 4-2 is improving...they still have LSU and Arkansas and at state....ttheycant run the ball and can't stop the run.
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15051 posts
Posted on 10/21/15 at 8:28 am to
quote:

This is the hardest road unless Ole Miss just quits on the season.

It has nothing to do with Ole Miss quitting. It has everything to do with them being a talented but thin squad, and injuries catching up to them. Ole Miss's first 22 are great, but their second string is typical Ole Miss. As the season wears on those second stringers are going to have to play more and more snaps, and they will regress.
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