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re: ESPN FPI nonsense
Posted on 10/20/15 at 10:44 pm to Kingpenm3
Posted on 10/20/15 at 10:44 pm to Kingpenm3
I get that they have the easiest path to Atlanta, but I'm curious how strong the West variable is in that computation. because they lost to us, would probably lose to Bama via the model, therefore, even getting to Atlanta should only raise their chance of winning the conference marginally
1
Posted on 10/20/15 at 10:55 pm to WinnPtiger
quote:
I get that they have the easiest path to Atlanta, but I'm curious how strong the West variable is in that computation. because they lost to us, would probably lose to Bama via the model, therefore, even getting to Atlanta should only raise their chance of winning the conference marginally
Ole Miss is still the favorite. At this point, they have to beat LSU and aTm at home and they're basically in because their road games are winnable and they'd own every tiebreaker because their loss is to an East team.
In order for Alabama to get in, their best bet would be to beat LSU and for LSU to beat Ole Miss. Doable but much lower by the percentages.
LSU basically MUST sweep Alabama and Ole Miss, both on the road, to get to Atlanta. If they split, they're probably fricked. This is the hardest road unless Ole Miss just quits on the season.
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