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Official Week 4 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 9/29/15 at 8:32 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 8:32 am
Brutal week 3 for me! Hope to right the ship this week... Locked one in earlier than usual...

Redskins +3.5

Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66470 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 9:07 am to
frick last week
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12065 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 10:04 am to
Seattle -9.5 at home on Monday night
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66470 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 10:40 am to
quote:

The bad news is that ChemEinthe OP and Carson will snicker at you for being a "square" and make demeaning posts in your direction while you count your money.



Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 10:48 am to
To be fair we snickered two weeks ago as well when he was counting heavy losses, good job by Winston this week though. I stand by my statement that 4-team teasers are negative EV long term.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82265 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:01 am to
I want to apologize to both of you for being a dumbass. I like both of you and honestly like your picking style. I was over the top and hope there's no hard feelings.

It was the free green shots for every Packer TD that did me in
This post was edited on 9/29/15 at 11:02 am
Posted by Cole Beer
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
4588 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:02 am to
Chicago +3 (home vs Oakland) looks juicy

Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66470 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:03 am to
quote:

To be fair we snickered two weeks ago as well when he was counting heavy losses, good job by Winston this week though. I stand by my statement that 4-team teasers are negative EV long term.


agreed. i dont think it's sustainable long term, but he murdered this week
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66470 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Chicago +3 (home vs Oakland) looks juicy


them, washington, and Tampa stand out to me right now

ETA St louis as well
This post was edited on 9/29/15 at 11:08 am
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25289 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:15 am to
Have to agree on Washington. Philly is once again overrated by the public because they beat Ryan Fitzpatrick on the road.

Game should be closer to PK, or Washington -1, IMO.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82265 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:29 am to
I theoretically like Kansas City at Cincinnati but am hoping that line gets pushed up higher before I decide to take it.

My early 3-teamer would be Alabama, Seattle, Green Bay
This post was edited on 9/29/15 at 11:30 am
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66470 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:31 am to
i went ahead and took washington at 3 for even money
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25289 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 11:44 am to
Same
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74306 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:02 pm to
Just gonna say that i fricking hate Arizona State. With that said best of luck and im eyeing Colts GMen Was


I see the Was is a favorite. Anyone like the Colts to cover? GMen +6 looks nice
Posted by Howyouluhdat
On Fleek St
Member since Jan 2015
7496 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Chicago +3 (home vs Oakland) looks juicy




How does this look Juicy? Is Cutler coming back or something? Even if so, they are a shite show right now
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16835 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:30 pm to
Agreed. I wouldn't bet Chicago with your money.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25289 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:32 pm to
I wouldn't be in a rush to bet Chicago either, but Oakland is definitely overrated by the public. They are getting credit for beating the terrible Browns team and winning a home game against a Ravens team that is a shell of it's former self due to injuries (and on a cross-country road trip).

Sometimes the hardest bets to make are the ones that cash, so I wouldn't completely disregard teams like Chicago when looking at the betting market.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6822 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:44 pm to
Not to mention back-to-back east coast trips for the Raiders, and Jeffery is probably coming back.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37347 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

How does this look Juicy? Is Cutler coming back or something? Even if so, they are a shite show right now


No shite. The only way I would consider taking Chicago this week is if they were getting 43 points.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82061 posts
Posted on 9/29/15 at 12:52 pm to
Gun to my head I probably take the Bears and the points. But comes a point where it's hard to pull the trigger on some teams regardless of value.
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