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re: Official Week 4 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 9/29/15 at 1:00 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 9/29/15 at 1:00 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Agreed. I wouldn't bet Chicago with your money.
True, they couldn't give me enough points to bet on Clausen.
1
Posted on 9/29/15 at 2:38 pm to D011ahbi11
Not to be a Clausen shill, but he will likely look much different at home against the Raiders than on the road against a desperate 0-2 Seahawks team (without Alshon Jeffrey to throw to).
Posted on 9/29/15 at 3:06 pm to Billy Mays
Absolutely love the Vikes +6.5, will probably buy it up to 7. Additionally I think I'll be playing Texans +6.5 vs the Falcons and Browns +7.5
Posted on 9/29/15 at 5:09 pm to ChemE in the OP
Locked in on some NFL teasers, mates 
Thinking of adding more DENVER-anchored teasers as Peyton looked reenergized this past week... just want to check the early weather forecasts a bit more for Denver this Sunday. Looking forward to getting paid on my season long MLB wagers - will be nice.
Don't have college lines yet with my local guy but I'm envisioning some Denver/Alabama/Seahawks plays
Thinking of adding more DENVER-anchored teasers as Peyton looked reenergized this past week... just want to check the early weather forecasts a bit more for Denver this Sunday. Looking forward to getting paid on my season long MLB wagers - will be nice. Don't have college lines yet with my local guy but I'm envisioning some Denver/Alabama/Seahawks plays
This post was edited on 9/29/15 at 5:15 pm
Posted on 9/29/15 at 5:15 pm to SirWinston
Happy to hook you lot up with the spitouts for this week's NFL action. Will post NCAA in that thread when available. Denver and Atlanta look like strong ML plays and teases. I can't see Aaron Rodgers losing to San Francisco and Kaepernicus again, but numbers say to proceed with caution. Ditto for Seattle, who I can't see losing at home on MNF to Detroit and Caldwell.... but will be mindful of the Lion's talent for sure.
This post was edited on 9/29/15 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 9/29/15 at 7:39 pm to SirWinston
Was +3.5
Apparently people forgot how terrible Philly is.
Gonna wait on the Chicago line and see if the vig will drop on the +3.5.
Apparently people forgot how terrible Philly is.
Gonna wait on the Chicago line and see if the vig will drop on the +3.5.
Posted on 9/29/15 at 10:49 pm to dcrews
Jacksonville a nine and a half point dog @ Indy.
is this a trap?
is this a trap?
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:11 am to ChemE in the OP
Has anyone tracked Cowherd's blazing 5 so far?
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:23 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
Jacksonville a nine and a half point dog @ Indy.
is this a trap?
Jacksonville is terrible but I agree that's too many points. Colts are 0-3 ATS this year and everyone keeps jumping on board each week to lose money on them (65% of the action is on Indy currently).
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:29 am to SirWinston
Nice night on the bases for me - even with the Astros choke job I hit 3/4 and ended up $650. Congrats to those who tailed.
Will likely be adding some NCAA / NFL mixed teasers at some point today, will post the screen caps for those who are interested in tailing.
Will likely be adding some NCAA / NFL mixed teasers at some point today, will post the screen caps for those who are interested in tailing.
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:35 am to Billy Mays
quote:
Jacksonville is terrible but I agree that's too many points. Colts are 0-3 ATS this year and everyone keeps jumping on board each week to lose money on them (65% of the action is on Indy currently).
Colts should be getting Trent Cole and Darius Butler back - getting healthier after a horrendous spate of bad injury luck to start the season. Colts also getting back another TE which gives Luck more options - especially under duress. Indy's top CB Vontae Davis returned last week against TEN.
Jags could be down 2 CB's (Gratz and House) and their third safety (Evans).
Colts will win this game and likely cover (75% chance they win according to spitout and my metrics favor them slightly more).
This post was edited on 9/30/15 at 8:38 am
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:40 am to Dan Bilzerian
NM - was from last year.
This post was edited on 9/30/15 at 8:41 am
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:42 am to Dan Bilzerian
Cowherd is 7-8. 3-2 week 1, 2-3 the other 2 weeks. He had Chicago in week 2 against AZ and called it a steal.
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:47 am to SirWinston
The Colts D has been sliced up by the likes of Fitzmagic, Mariota, and Tyrod Taylor. I think Bortles can backdoor cover this one.
Divisional opponents getting close to 10 points is usually an auto take by sharps.
Divisional opponents getting close to 10 points is usually an auto take by sharps.
Posted on 9/30/15 at 8:49 am to JG77056
quote:
He had Chicago in week 2 against AZ and called it a steal.
Lol, that right there makes me not want to ever play any of his picks
Posted on 9/30/15 at 3:56 pm to Billy Mays
Chad Millman's Behind the Bets podcast had a bookmaker on today who basically recapped my terrible Week 3, like I said, I do well when the books do well and they got slaughtered last week!
Locked in ~
Skins +3.5
Considering ~
Bucs +3
Bears +3
Niners +9
Locked in ~
Skins +3.5
Considering ~
Bucs +3
Bears +3
Niners +9
Posted on 9/30/15 at 3:59 pm to ChemE in the OP
RLM on Baltimore, Denver, and Cincy.
Already have Wash +3, thinking about taking KC +4.5 and Chicago +3. Probably gonna lock in Pitt +3 (B 1/2) tonight
ETA: Also STL. Would like to see Cardinals offense tested for once
Already have Wash +3, thinking about taking KC +4.5 and Chicago +3. Probably gonna lock in Pitt +3 (B 1/2) tonight
ETA: Also STL. Would like to see Cardinals offense tested for once
This post was edited on 9/30/15 at 4:05 pm
Posted on 9/30/15 at 5:57 pm to Billy Mays
I would've thought about Tampa getting points at home but they have one of the worst home field advantages in the league.
they didn't have even one home win last year and have only won 6 games there since the 2012 season.
Carolina hasn't faced a top notch QB yet this year and they get their first rookie to go after this week. At first I wanted to take the Bucs but I changed my mind.
they didn't have even one home win last year and have only won 6 games there since the 2012 season.
Carolina hasn't faced a top notch QB yet this year and they get their first rookie to go after this week. At first I wanted to take the Bucs but I changed my mind.
This post was edited on 9/30/15 at 5:59 pm
Posted on 9/30/15 at 6:08 pm to LooseCannon22282
Bears appear to be looking towards the 2016 NFL Draft, going to be tough to judge from here on out.
Posted on 9/30/15 at 6:12 pm to ChemE in the OP
Mates, the only sharp picks that look tasty to me this weekend are the Chiefs at Cincy and the Saints at home against Dallas (even though I haven't seen a number yet.... especially if it's McCown instead of a 65% Brees and you keep the extra 4 points you'd get from that).
I think it's another "favorites roll" kind of week.
I think it's another "favorites roll" kind of week.
This post was edited on 9/30/15 at 6:13 pm
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